Comments by "possumverde" (@possumverde) on "CBS Evening News"
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Robert Schultz
Depending on how many cases of covid 19 the US ends up with, the number of deaths could potentially get pretty high.
During the 2018-2019 season, ~16,500,000 people sought treatment for the flu in the US (~5% of the population) and ~34,000 died from it (~0.01% of the population) for a mortality rate of ~0.2%. At a mortality rate of ~4.25% (13,600/320,000), covid 19 would only need to infect ~800,000 people (~0.24% of the population) to match those deaths. Were the number of US covid 19 cases to match those of the flu, a 4.25% mortality rate would lead to ~700,000 US deaths (~0.2% of the population.)
It's highly unlikely that there will be anywhere near that number of US cases and the mortality rate will likely end up being much lower. As such, there is definitely a good bit of fearmongering going on. However, a healthy dose of concern is warranted if we want to minimize the overall threat.
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