Comments by "possumverde" (@possumverde) on "CNBC International Live" channel.

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  23.  @charleslloyd4253  When has the Russian military really been tested? Until Ukraine, never (and in the action they have seen, they've underperformed.) People just transfered the Soviet military's reputation onto them when the USSR fell apart. The two are not the same. The Soviet military could get away with using conscripts and morale killing brutal tactics because they had Commissars up front to crack the whip. The Russian military kept the conscripts and tactics but dropped the Commissars. You can't win a war if your soldiers' morale is gone...just draw out the inevitable. On paper Russia should have steamrolled the whole of Ukraine in two weeks tops. In reality, they tripped allover themselves and troop morale ran out about 2 1/2 weeks into it. From then on all they were doing was long range artillery and missiles with the occasional airstrike when their air farce could canibalize enough parts to get some of their jets airworthy. They couldn't get their ground forces to go in and occupy the last cities they had besieged, lost a few generals who went to the front to play Commissar only to come back in a bag, and pulled back. Even pulling back they had problems as they were unable to maintain troop discipline and some ran amok. That is not an army to be concerned about. The morale issue alone isn't really fixable without reorganizing the entire way they do things and they simply aren't very well trained or supplied. Their equipment looks ok on paper until you factor in the piss poor maintenance it receives due to corruption. Very little of the funds allocated for their military actually makes it there. The bulk ends up in private bank accounts. Also, their tanks have a fatal design flaw that all the caging they can weld on to them won't fix (their auto-loader system has almost all of their ammo up in the turret which is not as well armored as it should be. Set one round off and the entire tank goes up.) Their army wouldn't last two weeks against a well supplied and structured NATO force along with the Ukrainian military. At least not while trying to fight on the offense. They might hold some already occupied cities for a couple more before morale issues ended things. Their air farce would be pushed out in a few days (lack of maintenance means they can only field a fraction of what they have) and their offensive ground forces would have to follow soon without air support. Anyone who thinks Russia would go nuclear if pushed out of Ukraine is just being silly. It would serve no purpose, and immediately cost them the few "allies" they have left. While pretty much turning the rest of the world against them. Russian generals may get their positions based on politics rather than merit, but I doubt many would be dumb enough to even think that would be a good idea. If NATO would just grow a pair and go in, it would be over pretty quickly and the way Russia is, Putin would likely be disgraced and possibly removed if he refused to step down. I'm curious, where exactly do you think such an army could expand the fight to once pushed out of Ukraine? If NATO simply held at the border with the occassional air assault to take out active artillery/missile launch sites in Russian territory, what then? It would be on Russia to attack and they would simply be stopped. Also, remember that despite being "allies" China and Russia have had an ongoing border war of sorts going on in the east for decades. Were Putin to pull anymore troops from that region than he already has, China might just decide to help themselves to some areas they've been eying for a long time. They're definitely not impressed with Putin or his military at this point.
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