Comments by "Lepi Doptera" (@lepidoptera9337) on "Sabine Hossenfelder"
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@eljcd The initial calculation by Feynman? It is not naive. It's actually quite congenial and it works, with some difficulties. What is certain is that we haven't found anything better for over 70 years, which tells us that it's not all bad. Is it the best possible model for how quantum fields work? Certainly not. I am highly skeptical that the real/virtual particle picture is the best way to describe quantum fields myself.
That, however, has absolutely nothing to do with the multiverse question. QFT tells us how to calculate with quantum fields and which kinds of quantum fields can exist, at all, but it does not tell us which kinds of quantum fields should actually exist. I am not aware that there were a whole lot of complaints about that in the past. If we were to put the same "prediction" criteria for the universe on plain QFT that we are putting on string theory, then we would have to conclude that it predicts an infinite number of possible universes. Instead we accept that it can't predict any. It can only describe the one we see.
What happened with the introduction of string theory is that people had overblown hopes that it would reduce the number of possible quantum field theories to one. It didn't do that. It seemingly reduced it to a very, very large number. Unfortunately, so far nobody seems to have found the actual solution to the universe inside string theory, either. It may be in there, it may not be.
And with that a serious philosophical mistake crept into the discussion: since string theory (which effectively has done nothing for physics proper so far) predicts a very large number of possible low energy universes, then maybe there have to be a large number of low energy universes. That is total nonsense, of course. The situation on the ground has simply not changed: we can describe the low energy universe very well, but we still can't predict it. We are still roughly where we were in the 1970s, when the SM was more or less finalized structurally. That is not a very long stretch of stagnation in physics. It was much worse in the 19th century when we had a more or less spotless (if inaccurate) theory of motion of matter without having any theory of matter, at all.
So take the "discussion" with a grain of salt. It is far more about egos of different groups of people, neither of whom has a solution, than it is about the actual state of physics. Physics is just fine, it simply didn't make as much progress as some elderly physicist would like to have seen. Will Susskind be able to die in peace, having seen the holy land at least from afar? No. He can talk to Moses and Newton and Einstein about that experience when he gets to heaven. :-)
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@eljcd I think there are a number of attempts to use more or less plain QFT to work around the gravity problem. There is the double copy group which says that basically two copies of the color force can produce gravity. I have yet to understand how that is supposed to work even even at the kindergarten level, so I can't comment. Then there is an attempt at making gravity a massive field, which could possibly explain dark energy, but the model seems to suffer from cosmological stability problems... quantum gravity seems a bit like playing Whack-a-mole, whenever a model is successful in one area, it has serious, if not deadly problems in another.
My perspective as an experimentalist is a bit more focused on observations, right now. I don't believe that we will get the funding/develop technology to get beyond the 1TeV accelerator barrier within my remaining lifetime. So that leaves astronomical and cosmological observations. If you have been watching the success of gravitational wave astronomy and radio astronomy to image black holes, then it becomes somewhat evident that building new (space based?) observatories for gravitational, optical and radio-astronomy is the way to go. Nature has given us such a beautiful laboratory of absolutely monstrous extreme systems in the universe. We can never hope to replicate the conditions near and inside those objects in the lab, but we can harvest much of this information from a distance. That is where the near term progress of physics lies, IMHO.
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