Comments by "Lepi Doptera" (@lepidoptera9337) on "Understanding Quantum Mechanics #4: It's not so difficult!" video.
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When I throw dice and the outcome of a throw is four, does that make the probability of the outcome four 100%?
You are mistaking a property of an ensemble of systems (i.e. infinitely many copies of the same system) with the measurement of a state of a single system.
After you have done your measurement in quantum mechanics, the system is destroyed. It's not simply repeating itself with a new initial value. A typical quantum system is a decaying nucleus. When you make a measurement, then you will find one of two states:
1) The original nucleus is still there or
2) The nucleus has decayed and instead there is a new nucleus in its place. The other decay product, e.g. a released gamma, has deposited the decay energy in your detector.
You never get back from state 2) to the initial state. There is no "ensemble" to be had from the same experiment. You have to start over with a "brand new", not yet decayed nucleus.
This is the gist of all quantum mechanical experiments: they are, by definition, unique and irreversible. We can make many copies of the same setup if we like and do the measurement over and over, again. That will, eventually, give us an estimator for the square of the absolute value of "the wave function". We will never get the wave function itself. The measurements can only give us the absolute value at any give time and place but never the phase.
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