Comments by "红火树 RedFireTree" (@firetree2007) on "History Scope"
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India has 25% arable land than China, but the total grain yield is less than 1/2 of China's total grain yield, with similar population size, China has grain per capita 487 kg, India about 211 kg. India's problems are fundamental problems, cannot be solved. so this country will keep this way,
do a simple math for its growth
China's GDP is $14.72 Trillion, India is $2.632 Trillion
14.72/2.632=5.59
to get to the level of China, assume India with growth rate 1% more than China, that will need 173 year, if 2% more than China, that will take 86.5 years, 4% more than China, it will take 43.3 year, 8% more than China, that will take 21 year, etc,
Assume China growth rate is 5%, India growth keeps at 6%, India will get the same amount of GDP of China in 173 years.
the reality is , India growth in 2021 predicted will be 8.4%, but growth at 2020 was -7.3%, so for 2 years, it is (-7.3 + 8.4 )/ 2 = 0.5%.
China in 2020 growth was 2.2 and 2021 (predicted) 6 %, so for 2 years, (2.2+6)/2= 4.1%, China growth is 4.1-0.5=3.6% more than India,
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