Comments by "红火树 RedFireTree" (@firetree2007) on "Former Maldives VP Ahmed Adeeb takes on China over Maldives' economic crisis | WION Dispatch" video.
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In the past, Modi's method of creating India's 'fastest growth' was primarily through infrastructure development, financed largely by borrowing money, including from sources like the AIIB (often referred to as a debt trap). The problem with this approach is that while it can create a temporary illusion of rapid growth, it’s not sustainable. Infrastructure does benefit the country in the long run, but it doesn't generate money quickly enough to even cover interest payments, since the rate of return needs to be higher than the interest rate. The real engine for quick money generation is manufacturing. While infrastructure helps, it cannot replace manufacturing. Under Modi, however, India's manufacturing share of GDP has dropped from 16% to 13%, and over 30 million manufacturing jobs have been lost, falling from a peak of over 60 million to just 27 million now. No jobs mean no consumption, and no consumption leads to no growth. This is exactly what's happening in India now, with growth already dropping to 6.7%, and it’s likely to fall further. There seems to be no way out.
But he does not care, just fly around to make 'world peace".
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It is true, China BRI also charge for interest for the loans, however, difference is , China buy back the raw materials and goods from those in BRI to let the country to pay back the interest and several time China has forgiven or extended the pay back terms, for example, China has a load for Sri Lanka for it building a new oil refinery, with $4 billion, Sri Lanka can pay back by the money it made from selling refined oil products, of course India is not in BRI, therefore, India's interests from borrowed money need to be managed by itself.
The real growth, is the growth in manufacturing, China,s manufacturing in 1990 was 2.9% of the globe, in 2023 it is 31%, increased more than 10 times, India was 1.1% in 1990, now, it is 3.1%, less than 3 times. China's manufacturing in GDP is 31%, compare to India's 13 % in its GDP, 20% is the standard for a country is an industry country or not, China is an industry country, India is not.
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