Comments by "红火树 RedFireTree" (@firetree2007) on "Indian Economy In 2025. Will Bad News Outweigh The Good News? | World Business Watch" video.
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The so-called "fastest growth" in recent years was largely driven by the BJP/Modi government's massive investments in infrastructure, including roads, bridges, airports, and more. However, no fundamental changes have occurred in the economy. Manufacturing, which is critical for growth and industrialization, saw its share of GDP drop from 17% before Modi to 12.8% in 2023. Similarly, employment in manufacturing, crucial for job creation, fell from over 60 million to about 27 million. Young people, unable to find factory jobs in cities, are forced to return to rural areas, which lack the conditions for fast growth.
The infrastructure investments have not generated sufficient returns and are unsustainable due to the high costs of repaying interest on borrowed funds. In the 2024 budget, 25% of expenditures are allocated just for interest payments, significantly higher than the U.S.—a country with massive debt—where the figure is 16%.
As one report highlighted, an IT master's graduate observed well-built roads in front of his house but lamented that he still couldn't find a job.
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