Comments by "R Johansen" (@rjohansen9486) on "Putin's War Gets Massive Boost; Russian Army Recruits 280,000 More As Offensive Grinds On" video.
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@lucasholy7821 Metro,uk: Deluded Putin ‘thought he would capture Kyiv in three days’
Vladimir Putin initially thought Russia could defeat Ukraine and overthrow its government in just three days, according to leaked FSB intelligence.
Almost exactly a year since Putin launched his disastrous invasion of Ukraine, the leaks appears to confirm what has long been suspected: FSB spies had been feeding him false intelligence in the build-up to the war which told the Russian despot exactly what he wanted to hear.
According to the leaks, first published by The Sun, Putin’s spies assured him there were over 2,000 armed and trained Ukranians in every city who were waiting to rise up and topple Zelensky before welcoming the Russians with open arms.
The report comes from a source known as Wind of Change and was initially sent to Vladimir Osechkin, a Russian human rights activist and founder of ‘Gulagu’, an organisation which highlights abuses in the country’s prisons.
The emails were initially thought to be the work of a lone FSB officer, but it is now believed several people contributed to the leak.
‘We issued reports that at minimum about 2,000 trained civilians in every major city in Ukraine were ready to overthrow Zelensky,’ the source said.
‘And that at least 5,000 civilians were prepared to come out with flags against Zelensky on the beck-and-call of Russia.’
Wind of Change then explains that the FSB thought that once Zelensky had been overthrown, the Ukrainians would then fight amongst themselves to win Putin’s favour.
‘Do you want a laugh?,’ says the source.
‘We were expected to be the arbitrators for crowning Ukrainian politicians who were supposed to start tearing each other apart competing for the right to be called aligned with Russia.’
Russian troops came within 19 miles of Kyiv but were defeated around April last year, forcing the Kremlin to refocus their efforts on the east of the country.
Experts have put the Russian failure to secure victory on a range of things including poor intelligence, equipment and tactics.
According to Winds of Change, nobody among the Russian leadership had a backup plan ready in case they failed to take the Ukrainian capital.
‘“What if it doesn’t work?” This question was left unanswered when they planned to take Kiev in three days,’ they said.
Since then Russia has gone on to suffer as many as 200,000 casualties as well as a number of humiliating defeats, including losing Black Sea flagship the Moskva and the partial destruction of the Kerch Bridge, which links Russia to occupied-Crimea.
Meanwhile Zelensky remains in power and has seen his approval ratings amongst Ukrainians skyrocket to over 90% since the conflict began, rising from a pre-war nadir of just 27%.
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@patrickkoh1056 The total number of Ukrainian and Russian casualties in military personnel is estimated to have reached almost 500,000 in the year and a half of the full-scale war, most of them Russians.
According to US estimates, the total number of Russian losses is 300,000, of which 120,000 are killed and 170,000-180,000 are wounded. According to the same calculations, Ukraine’s casualties amount to about 70,000 soldiers killed and 100,000-120,000 wounded.
Leak from the Kremlin
Russia: Losses 340,968. Sunday, August 13, 2023, in a morning report to Putin: irrecoverable military-operational losses of living personnel of the RussianArmy - 264,776 people. Data as of 6 am Moscow time today. This figure does not include the data on losses of PMCs.
As of Tuesday, August 1, there were 76,192 dead. Most of the Russian PMCs have come under the control of the Ministry of Defence, and their losses are now a part of the total losses. Starting from August 1, there is no separate count.
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@kahutochishisumi9056 The "trust me bro" sources are the ones that states 3000 Ukrainian deaths per day, and max 5 Russians.
The info I gave is from the US intelligence and are of course approx numbers.
If you prefer Russian info: Leak from the Kremlin.
Russia: Losses 340,968. Sunday, August 13, 2023, in a morning report to Putin: irrecoverable military-operational losses of living personnel of the RussianArmy - 264,776 people. Data as of 6 am Moscow time today. This figure does not include the data on losses of PMCs.
As of Tuesday, August 1, there were 76,192 dead. Most of the Russian PMCs have come under the control of the Ministry of Defence, and their losses are now a part of the total losses. Starting from August 1, there is no separate count.
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