Comments by "0x777" (@0x777) on "BBC News" channel.

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  5. Putin went into this war with a few wrong assumptions and expectations that turned out to be catastrophic. First, he assumed that he could blindside Ukraine like 2014 when he captured Crimea. This was supposed to be Crimea 2.0. Take the capital, waltz into the eastern regions and dictate the conditions before anyone could react. The date for the press conference was even set. The invasion started Thursday, there was a press conference set for Tuesday ... that never happened. What he did not expect was a surprisingly tough and well prepared defense that pretty much mopped the floor with his assault on the capital and stalled his advance in the East for days and weeks. The Russian troops were not prepared for that. They had supplies for a week and there wasn't any logistics even prepared. The whole show should've been over in 5 days. Second, he did not expect the West to react like this. He absolutely thought that again the West would just stand by and shrug. That not only there would be sanctions up the ass but also as much support and supply for Ukraine, which amounts to pretty much "as much as you can give without actually joining the battle", that was certainly not what he'd have expected. And finally, he did not know that the level of corruption and wasting in the Russian army was that bad. Even during the first weeks we already saw that the equipment is in abysmal repair, that many of the more sophisticated and delicate weapon systems simply don't work due to a lack of maintenance, that corruption and outright theft caused critical parts to fail or simply go "missing", and that the general state of the troop is severely lacking, from morale to equipment to training to even the most fundamental necessities for a fighting troop. The combination of that is what we witness here.
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