Comments by "0x777" (@0x777) on "Russia changes leadership of faltering invasion of Ukraine" video.
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@davidbrown5411 Unfortunately I know Soviet military tactics way, way better than I'd care anymore. Fortunately that part of my life is behind me.
Russian military tactics can work if, and only if, executed correctly. Most of all it depends on things going according to plan. If they went, this would have worked great. The thing is, they didn't. Russia, unlike the West, operates on the plan that a military battalion can operate independent from logistics and supplies for a week. They have that amount with them. US doctrine dictates that logistics have to touch down with the soldier. Frankly, by now often the logistics is in place before the first soldier hits the beachhead. Kinda insane. But that's one of the core differences. This is why Russia stalled after the first week because the war was supposed to be over by then. They had no logistics prepared. Because it was not supposed to last more than a week.
Establishing Russian logistics is also not easy. The Russian logistics network relies heavily on trains. That's why you had this ridiculous hodgepodge of civilian transport vehicles doing logistics at the start of the war (and spawned the joke of "an operation so special it's supplied by short busses").
And so on. Believe me, I do understand Russian tactics. And I know when I see Russia struggling with supply problems. Because one of their doctrines, and they try to stick with it despite the shortages, is to rely heavily on artillery. That's a solid strategy, if you start out on the defense. It only has two very relevant drawbacks, it is very slow and it relies on being able to transport those heavy pieces into battle, both problems Russia is suffering from. You'll notice that as soon as battles start to become static, Russia is doing fairly well after it had time to get its artillery into place. One should (and frankly, I did) expect that to be way more effective, though.
The reason it is not is that Russia is lacking the capacity to produce enough shells to actually pull through with this strategy. Kherson should essentially be indefensible if Russia has the artillery shells it needs.
It doesn't.
And that's exactly the problem Russia is facing right now.
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