Youtube comments of 0x777 (@0x777).
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Homeopathy is so last-gen. I do Pizzapathy now.
Every time I have a headache, I eat a pizza tonno and about 1 to 20 hours later, my headaches are gone. Like they never existed. OK, sometimes my headaches get worse. That's how I know that the pizza is actually working, that's the so called initial worsening. But I just eat another pizza tonno and it usually gets better.
But you can't just eat pizza tonno, that depends on what pizza type you are. You should get a pizza type consultation done first, to make sure you take the right pizza. With a friend of mine, tonno doesn't work and he has to use cardinale.
Also, if a pizza doesn't work for some reason, it's not because the pizza isn't a cure for headaches, it probaby was not stored properly or the store you got it at interrupted the freezing chain. These things should definitely only be handled by professionals and not treated like it was just some foodstuff.
Those pizzas are made by a company here called "Dr. Oetker", as you can see in the name, it's been developed by a doctor. Still, therapeutic pizzas are still not covered by medical insurances because of a conspiracy by the pharma corporations who know that nobody would ever touch their expensive pills if people finally realized that all they have to do is eat tasty pizzas!
And don't you dare tell me it's just imagination and placebo effect. HE WHO CURES IS RIGHT!
(and yes, just in case... this is satire)
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Homeopathie ist sowas von gestern. Pizzapathie ist die Zukunft! Das geht so: Wenn immer ich Kopfweh hab, ess ich eine Pizza Cardinale. Und schon 2-20 Stunden später ist das Kopfweh weg. Gut, nicht immer, manchmal wird's von der Pizza auch schlimmer. Daran seh ich aber erst, dass die Pizza wirkt. Das ist die sog. Erstverschlimmerung. Aber eine Pizza später geht's mir wieder gut.
Die Pizzen sind von Dr. Oetker, also wie man unschwer erkennen kann, von einem Arzt entwickelt. Allerdings hat die böse, böse Pharmaindustrie es bisher erfolgreich geschafft durch extremes Lobbying zu verhindern, dass Pizzen als Arznei anerkannt und von den Kassen übernommen werden. Ist auch logisch, sobald die Menschheit erkennen würde, dass man nur eine schmackhafte Pizza zu sich nehmen müßte statt bittere Pillen zu schlucken würde doch niemand mehr schulmedizinischen Krempel nehmen!
Man sollte übrigens unbedingt zuerst eine Pizzaberatung machen damit man auch die richtigen nimmt, Cardinale ist nicht für jeden das Richtige. Das kommt sehr auf den Typ an, bei einem Freund ist es beispielsweise Pizza Tonno, die funktioniert bei mir wiederum gar nicht.
Und falls es nicht sofort wirkt, nicht verzweifeln, das kann auch daran liegen, dass die Pizza vielleicht falsch gelagert wurde oder zusammen mit anderen Präparaten, die die Wirksamkeit vermindern. Das bedeutet keinesfalls, dass die Pizza unwirksam ist, da war nur was beim Lagern falsch. Versucht mal die Präparate von Wagner und probiert aus was bei Euch besser wirkt.
Und sagt mir nicht ich bilde mir das nur ein! WER HEILT HAT RECHT!
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As an Austrian, he would have known to make up a "better" fake address. Everyone in Austria knows that Vienna's zip codes all start with a 1, with the next 2 numbers being the district number. So "1010 Vienna" is an address in the first district of Vienna. That's pretty much common knowledge. A person of his age would at the very least be very familiar with the zipcode of 1136 Wien, which was the zipcode you pretty much heard at the very least once a day on state-owned TV until well into the 1990s, because that was the zipcode of the national TV station's PO-box used for quizzes and letters to the "Österreichischer Rundfunk" (Austrian TV and radio station).
The Zipcode 4472 also doesn't exist. It would be a code belonging to the state of Upper Austria (zipcodes staring with 4 are from that state). Also, in Austria zipcodes are written before, not after, the town. I.e. "1010 Wien" instead of "Wien, 1010".
"Ainstettersn" also isn't something you would find in a name of a road here. No later than the "rsn" at the end, which is very, very uncommon for any kind of German word to end in. It may sound German to the "foreign" ear, but the word doesn't "sound right" to a native speaker. Likely, it's a malapropism of a German word he knew, maybe heard somewhere in the news. The Austrian town of "Amstetten", which does have a remarkable similarity with the word used there, got into international news around that time, where he may have picked it up.
That kinda tells me wherever that person was from, it's probably not Austria.
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It is actually much simpler than that. The numbers represent codes found in a book. The agent has said book with him and of course has to keep it secret. In this book, there is a load of number combinations (or letter combinations, depending on the style used). For example 43526 52351 could mean "lie low for a while, we think they are onto you". This combination is transmitted once, and only once, ever. So other combinations mean the same thing, in case a certain message has to be sent again. That way, someone eavesdropping cannot infer from the message and potential behaviour what the message contained.
In case a nonprepared message has to be transmitted, a one time pad is being used. This is, in its simplest form, a string of numbers that you would have to add to the encrypted message to get the clear text. Unless it is reused (which it obviously should never be) this is not breakable. And I don't mean "so unlikely to get the key that you'd need a billion cloud computers...", I mean UNbreakable. For obvious reasons.
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Daniel Justin There are actually pretty good counter arguments for both these "arguments"
"You can't prove that God doesn't exist, can you?"
When trying to achieve knowledge of what really is, there are logically two starting points you can work away from. You can either work from the point that nothing is that isn't shown to exist, or you can work from the point that everything is possible until proven wrong. What you can't do is pick and choose. Either nothing exists until proven to exist or everything (possibly) exists until falsified.
I doubt that a theist wants to start from the second, the "all is that isn't disproved", point. Because then he would bear the burden to prove the nonexistence of Ra, Thor, Vishnu, Allah, God, Zeus, Toutatis, the flying spaghetti monster and the invisible pink unicorn, to name a select few of the pantheon of millions of (potentially) existing gods. And no, your god doesn't get a special dispensation, either you prove that yours exist or you prove that all the others do not. Your choice.
"So who created this universe then?"
A similar problem. Even assuming that it was created, we're dealing with a lot of conflicting creation myths in various religions. By their very nature they might all be wrong but they can't all be right, so we're back to the theist having to show that his creation myth is the one that is the true one.
And no, "because it says so in my book" doesn't mean jack. The guy over there holding a completely different book makes exactly the same argument.
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@brianjungen4059 Sorry, but no. Not like Luke did. She has the powers of Luke in Ep6 with the training and guidance that Luke had in Ep4.
The problem is also not that Luke is a powerful character or that Rey is. The problem is that Rey has no limitations. Even in his finest hour, at the pinnacle of his success, when Luke told the Emperor to go fuck himself, that he's a Jedi and never will succumb to the dark side, even at this moment of ultimate triumph, he was about to be killed by the Emperor if it wasn't for Vader who redeemed himself by defending his son and sacrificing himself in the process.
If this had been Rey, I fully expect that the end would have been her pulling a light saber just as the Emperor is about to fry her, reflect the lightning back to the Emperor, then reveal that she knows some ancient Jedi ritual that could allow Vader to live without his suit, which impresses him so much that he instantly returns to the light side.
Now you tell me which is a better story.
This is the key difference here. Luke had to rely on his friends in every moment of his story arc. From Obi Wan who protected him in the beginning to Han who had his back at the trench run so he could fire those torpedos and blow up the Death Star to Leia rescuing him when he lost the duel with Vader to ultimately Vader who saved him from the Emperor's lightning.
Rey, well, not. She's basically an unstopable one-woman army where there is literally nothing I could imagine by now that would stand in her way and she wouldn't just brush it aside without any trouble. How is such a character interesting?
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@mikhailmik A fair number of volunteers from some countries, yes, some of them NATO members, have decided to join the Ukrainian army. This is not NATO sending them, this is people deciding for themselves that they want to do that. Some countries, iirc among them Germany, explicitly stated that serving in another military is not an option for their citizens and that they would consider this a punishable action, but that is by far not the same everywhere.
Frankly, I don't think a country should tell its citizens whether or not they may fight in a war they deem justified, as long as they don't drag that country into the war. As a private person, people should have the right to do whatever they think is the right thing to do.
What this has to do with NATO is beyond me, though.
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That's the funny thing: They cannot.
Unlike western countries, Russia can hardly defend against a nuclear counter strike. It's just too friggin' huge. And that's the thing about nukes: They don't just hit where they hit. The fallout spreads for thousands of miles. I can drop a nuke in the middle of Sibiria and depending on where the wind blows, a couple cities with millions of people will get affected by the radiation. You can even do this with Moscow, there, too, is plenty of indefensible space to target.
The fun bit is that this what made Russia so very well suited to a conventional defense, it's insanely vast and empty land, is the worst enemy when trying to defend against a nuclear war.
That's heaps easier for the West. Smaller countries, very densely populated and you can't just target barren lands outside the populated ones, because that would attack a neutral country. And take a wild guess what happens then, when attacking a neutral country back in 2022 already drove two others that were staunchly neutral for almost a century instantly into the arms of NATO.
And then there's the diplomatic problem. Whoever throws a nuke first is the international pariah. It's pretty much the instant death spell to any kind of diplomatic option you had, and no country in the world will continue doing business with you, unless it's already tied to you for good or ill like Belarus or North Korea. China, India, Brazil, they will instantly sever ties to not get tangled in that mess. And at least two of them will train their missiles your way now because they have them, and use used them.
Russia using nukes would pretty much mean Russia is done for.
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There is more than one problem with Admiral Pinko.
First of all, commanding something like a ship (and I can only assume it's not that much different for a starship), you are 100% dependent on your bridge crew. If they don't support you, you're done for. These are the people you trust with your life, and that of everyone on board of the ship. You have to. If you don't, replace them. Now.
She basically showed off a textbook example of what you can do wrong as a commanding officer in a crisis situation. She did not relief Poe of his duties, she did not inspire confidence in her officers, she did not show them that she has confidence in them, hell, Poe even asked her to tell them that there is a plan and that there is hope, and she refused to do even that.
This is kinda like begging for a mutiny.
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@Алексей-я5т6э 1. Ukraine wins with every day they are not defeated. Russia is bleeding dry. In manpower, resources and international support and credit. Ukraine on the other hand is being propped up by the most powerful economies on the planet. If you think back to the 1980s, Reagan's strategy was to topple the Soviet Union not by attacking it but by forcing its economy into a ridiculous arms race that the US could easily fund but the USSR could not. And it worked out. Same strategy this time. Russia cannot sustain these expenses and sooner or later it will collapse under it. Quite frankly, we have waited for Russia to make a stupid move like that. I frankly didn't think that it would be Putin to make it and was fully expecting that we'd have to wait until he isn't running the show anymore, but here we are.
2. Bakhmut served a dual purpose. One, it kept the Russian forces occupied and tied down so they could not attack on any other front. And that worked quite beautifully, there was practically no movement anywhere in the past 9 months along the whole front while Russia's army along with Wagner bled out. It was costly for Ukraine, too, but in total, Russia wasted a hell of a lot more resources on this war of attrition and, as said above, time is not on Russia's side. But the other purpose it served was to show the West that Ukraine will fight tooth and nail for every inch of ground. The West, and here especially the US, is terribly afraid of supporting a country with modern equipment only to see that equipment fall uncontested into enemy hands. This is what happened in Iran in 1979 and the US still don't sell top shelf equipment easily. Bakhmut showed to the US that Ukraine will fight, and that they would never hand over anything without a fight to the end.
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@cte4dota By that logic, my home country should rule Hungary, Croatia, Serbia, Slovakia, the Czech republic, parts of Ukraine, parts of Romania, parts of Poland, Slovenia...
At some point in history, someone else ruled your home country. You wanna surrender Russia to Norway? Because a while ago, the Vikings settled there and created the first Rus state, you think that's a good idea?
No?
Then I guess you might want to reconsider that statement.
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Also bitte... die AfD ist genau so 'ne Populismuspartei die die FPÖ in Österreich, FIDESZ in Ungarn oder die PiS in Polen. Da ist recht wenig Ideologie dahinter außer das Ziel, möglichst viel in die eigenen Taschen zu stopfen und hinter mir die Sintflut. Dazu wird ein Feindbild aufgebaut, dieses dämonisiert und als Sündenbock hingestellt um damit von der eigenen Unfähigkeit abzulenken, die Probleme zu lösen, die die Menschen wirklich plagen. Funktioniert in Polen und Ungarn eigentlich ganz prima (also, für die Parteien, weniger halt für die Bevölkerung), hat auch in Österreich recht gut funktioniert (bis das blöde Video aufgekommen ist, in dem der FPÖ-Chef recht offen einer vermeindlichen russischen Oligarchenmatratze erklärt hat, Österreich stehe mehr oder weniger zum Verkauf wenn die FPÖ ans Ruder kommt), kann in Deutschland auch funktionieren.
Wär zwar schade um's Land, aber gehen tät's sicher.
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I think I can shed some light onto why people want to believe bullshit stories.
When we find something out, when we have a revelation, our brain releases endorphins. We like learning stuff. More, we like discovering stuff. Understanding gives us an actual high.
Now, there are people who don't get that a lot. For ... obvious reasons. To have a revelation, you have to understand something. To understand something... how do I put it nicely... you have to have the mental capacity to do that. And since the scientific low hanging fruits have been picked ages ago, what's left for discoveries is stuff that is really, really hard to wrap your mind around. Even if you happen to be smart.
And this is where pseudoscience comes in.
Pseudoscience is easy to grasp. It's not complicated. It gives a simple to understand narrative that doesn't require a lot of ... erh... brain processing power to follow. More, it doesn't require a lot of prior understanding and prior learning (actually, considering that this would allow you to actually understand that it's bullshit, it would be detrimental).
Now, sadly, our brain doesn't really care if the revelation you give it has anything to do with reality. It only has to sound like it's true to the brain and you get your dope.
And of course people like that high. So they dig deeper into that bullshit, and since debunking it would take away their fix, they'll double down and defend their precious.
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I do this thing called pizzapathy. When I have a headache, I eat a pizza. And 2-3 hours later, my headaches are gone, so this proves that the pizza works great against headaches. Sometimes it doesn't work, that's called initial worsening, usually taking another pizza a few hours later cures it. From time to time, though, I have to switch pizzas, currently I work with pizza tonno, but until recently cardinale was the right kind of pizza for me, it varies from person to person and it also fluctuates with time. I have to do more research into the matter.
Originally I had the idea 'cause the smell of anchovies makes me sick to my stomach, so I had that bright idea that eating a pizza with anchovies would cure it, and what can you say, it worked.
Only side effect I can see so far is I put on weight...
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@jeremyj5932 That's fairly easy to explain when you look at a topography map of Ukraine and Russia. Russia has that pathological fear that the West could for some reason want to destroy it. No idea why I'd want a useless pile of land and people, but hey, you can't argue with insane people.
So when you look at the topology there, especially between the Ukrainian border with Russia and the way to Moscow, you'll notice three things:
1. It's insanely flat.
2. There's barely any relevant settlements with more than 100,000 people.
3. There's no rivers whatsoever.
So a flat, easily maneuverable landscape with no obstacles and no chokepoints, a few 1000 miles wide. If I actually wanted to conquer Moscow, this is how to do it. Roll with a modern army all the way there and there's literally nothing to stop you, no place to cut off your supplies, no sensible way to create a blockage, this is absolutely indefensible.
So what Moscow tried to do is create such a thing.
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@poopuluxe4507 I guess it happens by itself if you have a few traits that eventually push you in that direction. An affinity for computers and mathematics, curiosity that doesn't accept "because" as an answer and wanting to have an answer to the "what does this button do?" question.
Part of it was certainly also a bit of a psychology topic. I had very little control over what's going on in my life as a teen and there was chaos all around me. That way, I could at least get some control over the machine and bring a tiny bit of order into the sea of chaos. Computers are deterministic machines. A defined input will invariably lead to a defined output. Every single time. Predictably. Reliably. That was a big deal for me back then.
The learning itself... it just happened. It sounds weird, I know, but it just did. I had a couple manuals for the machines I had, I bought every book about the languages I wanted to learn that I could afford and I played around with it. Today, that's easier and way harder at the same time, easier because with the internet, you have access to all sorts of materials and the tools got way, way better, harder, because not only the tools but also the machines got way, way more complex.
My tip when starting to learn assembler today would be to start with embedded machines. The Arduinos and the like, they can be programmed in assembler, too, not just with the programming tools the platform offers, and they are WAY easier to handle than modern PC shit. Way less variables and bells and whistles to take care of, a single core, no abstraction layers and most of all, no operating system that insists in butting in and ruining your fun.
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Yes, this alone is worrysome. Back when I was a kid, dressing up as Jedi was a staple of Haloween. Well, with good reason, it was a pretty cheap costume. All you need is some old robe, if you somehow manage to have something that doubles as a light saber you're golden. But kids also loved it.
Not a single kid, not one, neither this year nor the last couple years, that came to my door was dressed as anything from Star Wars. I've seen quite a few superheroes and more Deadpools than I can shake a stick at (and let's be honest, Deadpool is maybe NOT the most suitable superhero character for kids...), but it seems Star Wars doesn't even exist for them.
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@ross2405 Ukraine controls a considerable amount of resources, as well as being one of the biggest producer of food on the planet, over 50% of Ukraine soil is rich, black soil, perfect for agriculture. That's almost as much as the rest of Europe combined. Ukraine has a lot of gas and oil (in Europe, only Norway can boast more reserves).
If Russia controls this, Russia controls a considerable amount of steel, coal, gas, oil, food and more. All things Europe is fully dependent on if we don't want our economy to suffer considerably from having to get this at much, much higher prices.
As you can see right now.
Wars are not just fought on battlefields. The war of today is an economy war. And we're damn right in the middle of it, Ukraine is just fighting the visible part of it.
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Bischen komplexer war's dann schon.
Die Römer hatten eigentlich kein großes Problem mit Jesus, oder mit irgendeinem von den anderen Predigern und Propheten die um die Zeit so rumeierten um Jerusalem. Das ist in der Geschichte des Judentums ja auch nix neues, dass jedes Mal, wenn dort 'n Besatzungsheer einreitet, die Propheten aus dem Boden schießen wie anderorts, wo's auch mal regnet, die Pilze. Also waren dort auch hinreichend Prediger unterwegs.
Was den Jesus jetzt da zum Problem gemacht hat war, dass der die Torah recht gut kannte. Und damit vor allem der dortigen Marionettenregierung auf den Sack ging. Die Römer waren ja nicht blöd. Klar, es gab überall im römischen Reich die Statthalter und Gouverneure, aber sie haben üblicherweise die dort vorher herrschenden Machthaber, sofern sie sich brav untergeordnet haben, weiterhin so tun lassen als ob sie was zu sagen hätten. Ist ja auch clever, weil üblicherweise außer der lokalen Aristokratie ohnehin niemand die notwendigen Skills hat 'nen brauchbaren Widerstand aufzustellen. Da regiert sich's gleich leichter.
Blöderweise beißt sich da ein bisschen was davon heftig mit dem was in den heiligen Schriften der Torah (und angeschlossener Werke) so drin steht. Und dieser Jesus hat das gewusst und hat auch noch blöderweise dem Pöbel das erklärt.
Und sowas geht gar nicht.
Also hat's 'n Grund gebraucht den los zu werden. Und da ist dann wieder das nächste Problem, weil ... wofür willst den aufhängen. Gotteslästerung wär's schon, zumindest nach jüdischem Recht, nur spielt da blöderweise das Römische Recht nicht mit, weil dafür, sich zum Gott zu erklären, naja, wenn das ein Problem wär hätten die Kaiser selbst da am Kreuz abhängen müssen. Also geht nicht. Und einfach nach jüdischem Recht aburteilen geht auch nicht, weil auch wenn die Römer üblicherweise die diversen Stammesrituale zugelassen haben, Todesstrafe gab's nur nach römischem Recht. Also wieder 'n Schuss in Ofen.
Blöde Sache das.
Das ist übrigens auch der Grund warum sie probiert haben Jesus mit der Steinigung der Sünderin zu "legen". Weil nach jüdischem Recht, dessen Vernachlässigung er ja den lokalen Nobilitäten angekreidet hat, wär die Alte zu steinigen gewesen. Nur durften nach jüdischem Recht keine Todesstrafen ausgesprochen werden. Dementsprechend wollten's ihn damit legen: Sagt er, dass sie getötet gehört ist er ein Aufrührer weil er damit sagt, dass ihm das römische Recht am Arsch vorbei geht, sagt er sie soll gehen, dann bricht er jüdisches Recht.
Der Ausweg war, dass er eben zeigen konnte, dass die, die die Dame sterben gehen lassen wollten, bereits das Recht brachen, weil auch der Typ mit dem sie Hauruckdiewaschfraumitjuche gemacht hat eigentlich nach dem Gesetz sterben müßte (5.Mose 22,22). Und scheinbar war der wichtig genug, dass man den nicht umbringen wollte.
Soviel zum Thema "er wollte sie schützen", aber das nur nebenbei.
Aber man brauchte halt einen Grund, damit man den an die Latten tackern konnte. Und damit tat sich Pilatus hart, weil auch wenn er den Störenfried los werden wollte, er konnte nicht einfach nach Belieben irgendwen mal eben antackern. Schon gar nicht jemanden, der inzwischen so 'n Haufen Leute hinter sich hatte. Weil dann gibt's sicher Krawall.
Und Judea war so schon nicht das friedlichste Pflaster. Warum sonst hätt man jemanden wie Pilatus, der als "Friedensstifter" der Marke "wer in Frieden ruht gibt auch welchen" bekannt war dorthin geschickt?
Entsprechend ist die ganze Hygieneorgie in Unschuld nach der Verurteilung wahrscheinlich 'n Part, der nach dem Aufstand 70/71 dazugedichtet wurde, als es grad nicht mehr so opportun war als jüdische Sekte rumzugeistern und den Römern die Schuld am Tod des Heilandes zuzuschanzen.
Hat auch so noch lang genug gedauert, bis das Bekenntnis zu den Jesusfans zu gehören nicht für eine Freikarte für den Zirkus gereicht hat.
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If the military runs the country, we call that a junta and it usually ends in chaos.
If politicians run a war, we call that ... well, we don't have a name for that, but time and time again, we've shown that this also usually ends in chaos.
And this is why Ukraine is winning.
Selenskiy lets his general, whose name I honestly forgot because, well, he doesn't even show his face at all, run the military while he's doing the morale part. And lo and behold, it works great.
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Mama Baer Asooo, das ist nicht der echte Islam. Komm bitte, no true scotsman, jetzt schon?
Das Schöne an unseren Gesetzen ist, dass wir, wenn wir draufkommen dass sie Schwachsinn sind, diese ändern können um den Notwendigkeiten der Zeit Rechnung zu tragen. Das geht bei sogenannten heiligen Büchern nicht. Da kann noch so 'n menschenverachtender Dreck drinstehen, das hat mal irgendein schmallippiger Kontrollmaniker so aufgeschrieben und jetzt erhäng Dich damit, weil ändern kann man den Sermon nicht, nur weil wir draufkommen dass es vielleicht nicht sonderlich sinnvoll ist, Menschen zu verstümmeln oder umzubringen weil sie bei der kollektiven Geisteskrankheit genannt Religion nicht mitspielen wollen.
Ernsthaft? Sowas hältst Du für gut und sinnvoll? Selbstgewählte Unmündigkeit?
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Why should he see a shrink? He's not the adult with imaginary friends...
By the way: ICD-10, F22.0, Delusional Disorder. Symptoms:
The patient expresses an idea or belief with unusual persistence or force.
That idea appears to have an undue influence on the patient's life, and the way of life is often altered to an inexplicable extent.
Despite his/her profound conviction, there is often a quality of secretiveness or suspicion when the patient is questioned about it.
The individual tends to be humorless and oversensitive, especially about the belief.
There is a quality of centrality: no matter how unlikely it is that these strange things are happening to him/her, the patient accepts them relatively unquestioningly.
An attempt to contradict the belief is likely to arouse an inappropriately strong emotional reaction, often with irritability and hostility.
The patient is emotionally over-invested in the idea and it overwhelms other elements of their psyche.
The delusion, if acted out, often leads to behaviors which are abnormal and/or out of character, although perhaps understandable in the light of the delusional beliefs.
I leave the interpretation to the reader.
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@Solder-of-Empire Well, technically, they already have. Russia currently doesn't produce enough ammunition, especially high tech ammunition, to keep up the pace it tried to push during the first few months of the war. What's currently happening is that they manage to keep a trickle of ammo coming, enough to ensure that they don't have to withdraw from position, but you might have noticed how the attacks become few and far between, and the artillery shellings also are not on the same level as they used to be.
In general, Russia still has ammo and if you demand that "running out of" means "no" ammo, then yes, they will never run out of ammo. But then again, by that definition, Germany never ran out of tanks in WW2. They still had a few when they surrendered...
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@ChibiViolin Ukraine does have modern surface-to-ship missiles. That's what sank the Moskva (right, I forgot, it wasn't the missile, it was that Russian sailors can't handle those treacherous Beaufort 2 gales... yeah, c'mon). That's also what renders Sevastopol as a port useless, Russian war ships have to come all the way from Novorossiysk, which severely limits their operation time and radius, because, and that's another problem of the Russian fleet, they are not sea resupply capable. Twice so without reliable air cover.
That show of force is nice, but anyone who at least has a modicum of understanding knows that it's just posing with very little substance.
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That's not what he said. Allow me to translate the quote from the interview he gave:
"You don't need to send NATO soldiers to Ukraine. I take my uniform off, sign a contract, and go to Ukraine. I'm not a member of the Austrian armed forces anymore, I'm a civilian employee. That's the solution we can see here. What we can see in this is that there are foreign mercenaries in Ukraine, but they are not NATO soldiers"
Note that the key here is that these people are not NATO soldiers. They quit their service, then go to Ukraine. Which has additional problems for these people, because when a couple of people went to Syria and Iraq to join ISIS, most European countries issued laws that outlawed the participation in foreign military services to their citizens. And these laws are still in effect.
So two things: First, no, they are not NATO soldiers, they are ex-soldiers that went there to work as mercenaries. And second, they won't enjoy their return home, so it's not exactly likely that it will be many that are stupid enough to do just that.
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Is there a possibility that Adams simply didn't know the political baggage this phrase carries? Much like, I'd guess, about 53% of the black people?
Because otherwise, how could you not agree with "it's ok to be white"? I mean, duh. It's not like I have a huge choice concerning my skin color. That changes considerably of course when you know that the phrase is used as a fighting slogan by a hate group.
When I first heard the phrase "All lives matter", my reaction was also "well, duh?", because I also didn't know of the political baggage it carried. BLM isn't that big over here in Europe, so I had no idea that it was used as a fighting phrase against it. So yes, I was kinda taken aback when I heard that there's a considerable push back against it from the BLM movement. How the hell could they, I mean, why shouldn't ALL lives matter?
What I didn't know was that it's a politically loaded phrase. That it was used by white supremacist groups to combat BLM. And yes, when I learned about that, I could see why "all lives matters" isn't exactly something you can get behind. Not because of the statement itself, but because of its political baggage and how it is used to fight a social movement.
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Das hat diverse Gründe.
1. Demographischer Wandel. Die "Boomer" gehen in Pension, die "Zoomer" sind nur ein Bruchteil derjenigen die da wegfallen. Es kommen jedes Jahr rund 10-20% weniger Arbeitskräfte nach als in Pension gehen. Ja, tatsächlich. Schaut mal die Alterspyramide an. Wir werden bis 2035 etwa 20% unserer Gesamtarbeitskräfte einbüßen. Das ist, gelinde gesagt, sehr viel.
2. Verrückte Anforderungsprofile. Anders kann man's nicht mehr ausdrücken. Da wird erwartet, dass man 50 Stunden (all-in) die Woche arbeitet, mindestens 5 Jahre Erfahrung (oft genug mit einer Technologie die's noch nicht mal so lang gibt) und alles für Mindestlohn. Dass man dafür bestenfalls den berühmten "Finger" statt einer Bewerbung bekommt sollt klar sein.
3. Keine Wertschätzung. Mein Großvater war von seiner Ausbildung bis zur Pensionierung in der gleichen Firma. Dort gab es diese. Kein "socializing" oder "teambuilding", sondern gegenseitigen Respekt. Sein Chef war vom ersten bis zum letzten Tag für ihn "Herr Direktor" und er war "Herr (name)". Worauf es aber ankam war, dass der Chef von JEDEM Mitarbeiter die private Situation kannte. Der hat auf dem täglichen Weg durch die Halle mit den Arbeitern gesprochen, hat den, bei dem grad ein Kind krank war gefragt wie's denn wurde und, etwas das mein Großvater immer wieder erzählt hat, weil's ihn eben beeindruckt hat, als das Kind von einem Mitarbeiter starb war Herr Direktor auf der Beerdigung. Da konnte man vom Mitarbeiter auch etwas erwarten, weil auch er wußte, dass er nicht nur "irgendwer" war sondern ein wertgeschätzter, wertvoller Mitarbeiter. Nicht wegen des Lohns, sondern weil er auch das Gefühl hatte, als Mensch zu existieren.
In kurz: Ihr habt uns die ganze Zeit wie das notwendige Übel zur Leistungserbringung behandelt. Jetzt behandeln wir Euch wie das notwendige Übel um an Geld zu kommen.
Payback's a bitch!
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@schmetterling4477 Russia has a huge demographic problem. Russia already had a very severe lack of young (20-35 years of age) people. Yes, that's a global problem, but if you look at the age pyramid of Russia, it is severely lopsided here.
And now it is losing even more of these people, part of them because they flee the country, part of them because they die in Putin's ridiculous adventure.
Russia reminds me more and more of a radiation victim. Sure, it seems to recover, but it is living on borrowed time. Just like a burn victim that seems to recover after the initial burns, Russia looks kinda ok, but there isn't any substance, any young cells (or people) to replenish the old ones that die off.
As soon as the old cells/people die off, the body/Russia is done for.
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@anthonymitchell8893 Russia lacks any and all high tech industry. Russia's industry depends heavily on energy. Gas, oil, coal, to a degree uranium, as well as some heavy industry. What it's totally lacking is any kind of high tech industry. And the only country still willing to provide this to Russia is China. Who of course abuses this position as much as it can, having Russia pay through the nose for second rate chips with a failure rate nobody who actually had a choice would accept.
But beggars can't be choosers...
The problems Russia is currently facing in the production of anything more sophisticated than a dumb bomb can be seen in how its rocket assaults on infrastructures keep getting further and further apart. To actually disrupt the Ukrainian power grid on a strategic level, the attacks would have to happen way more often. In general, you want to attack while the enemy is still busy repairing them, so you not only knock out the infrastructure but also destroy its ability to repair them. What Russia can deliver, though, is far from that. So what Russia has to settle with is to destroy it with longer and longer pauses in between as the Russian capability to produce rockets is shrinking while at the same time Ukrainian air defense capabilities are growing and overwhelming those air defenses requires more and more rockets.
We have already arrived at the point where those attacks are no longer really sensible. But hey, I'm the last one to stop Russia from trying to do some propaganda grandstanding and wasting their missiles, at least they can't use them for anything sensible in the meantime.
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@diakonhexxen6505 Who cares about money, it's the entertainment value I get out of this that keeps me going. At this point, it's almost comical what level of denial Russia is going to to pretend that everything's fine.
I keep wondering, and maybe you'll be the first one to answer this, but do you honestly believe what you write, are you trying hard to convince at least yourself or is that just an attempt to find someone stupid enough to swallow it and you don't really believe it yourself?
Because first of all, Ukraine isn't exactly running out of equipment, what they lack is the same that Russia lacks: Ammunition. And for the same reason, there's simply not enough being produced. They get a lot from the former East Bloc countries who in turn switched them out for new stuff, but sooner or later that stuff simply gets depleted. And even capturing half the Russian stuff isn't exactly going to be a suitable replacement because you rarely get them including ammo. You might have seen that if you hit Russian tanks that still contain ammo, they do a jack-in-the-box and aren't exactly usable anymore afterwards. Not even if you manage to get the smell of burned flesh out of the upholstery.
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WER HEILT HAT RECHT!
Deswegen mache ich jetzt Pizzapathie. Das geht so, wenn ich Kopfweh hab, esse ich eine Pizza Cardinale, und schon so 2-20 Stunden später sind die Kopfschmerzen wie weggeblasen. Manchmal wird's auch auf die Pizza schlimmer. Daran merke ich, die Pizza funktioniert. Das ist die sogenannte Erstverschlimmerung. Aber dann einfach gleich noch eine Pizza hinterher und es wird spürbar besser.
Die Pizzen sind von Dr. Oetker, wie man sieht, einem Arzt. Allerdings hat die Pharmalobby viel daran gesetzt, dass diese einfachen und (naja, mehr oder weniger...) natürlichen Präparate nicht als Medizin verkauft werden dürfen, damit ihre überteuerte Chemie weiter überhaupt noch Abnehmer findet.
Und sagt mir nicht, ich bild mir das nur ein! WER HEILT HAT RECHT!
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@goofychannel25 These are unguided rockets. They have an uncertain burn time. Which doesn't matter too much in their intended application, i.e. launching them directly at a target, they will end up there provided they are fired no further away than the specified minimum range.
If you fire them indirectly, they will fly for any range from what they were specified to to... well, whatever the actual burn time is. That is fairly predictable, but only within a few 100 meters.
In other words, hitting with them anything in an indirect way is a matter of luck. Yes, you could simply throw a dozen or so of them into the sky, then, by the laws of probability, some of them will hit their target... but you sure as all hell don't want to be closer or further away than the intended target because you will be hit, too.
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Haben sie nicht unbedingt, aber man muss sie halt richtig einsetzen.
Panzer haben 2 große und unlösbare Probleme. Erstens, sie sind groß, schwer und laut. Die Dinger "verstecken" oder unbemerkt irgendwo hin zu bekommen ist de facto unöglich. Wenn ein Panzerzug anrollt weisst Du das lang bevor er da ist, die könnten Dir genauso gut ein Telegramm schicken dass sie kommen wollen. Also bist Du darauf vorbereitet, dass die kommen.
Zweitens, Du siehst wirklich einen DRECK in so einem Trumm. Der Fahrer sowieso mal gar nicht (ausser er sitzt draußen... was in einem potentiellen Gefecht eher unintelligent ist, davon abgesehen dass, je nach Panzer, er damit den Turm blockieren würde), aber auch der Kommandant ist, wenn er drin sitzt, nicht sonderlich gut informiert. Nach vorn geht's noch halbwegs, nach hinten bist Du de facto blind. Nicht mal mit moderner Ausrüstung und dem viel beworbenen "rundumsicht" System der US Panzer geht da viel weiter, und wie's in einem alten T-72 ausschaut will ich mir gar nicht vorstellen.
Anders gesagt: Ohne Infanterie würd ich das Ding keinen Meter in Feindesland bewegen wollen. Muss nicht um mich rum stehen, aber sie sollte da sein und aufpassen auf das Ding.
Panzer sind, auch aufgrund moderner "panzerknacker" Waffen nun wirklich nicht mehr die unzerstörbaren oder zumindest schwer bekämpfbaren Waffen die sie früher waren. Was sie halt immer noch sind, ist eine unheimlich schlagkräftige Waffenplattform. So 'n Geschoß macht Eindruck. Und hinterläßt Abdruck. Damit kannst schon mal eine Kompanie Infanterie auch wegblasen wennst sie gut triffst.
Nur reicht halt eine Javelin um den Panzer auf Rente zu schicken.
Entsprechend, mit Infanterie, die dafür sorgt dass er seine Arbeit machen kann, ist so ein Panzer immer noch 'n schwer zu widerlegendes Argument. Ohne allerdings ist er einfach nur 'n sehr teurer und schwerer Sarg.
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Russia has an advantage in the number of barrels but, and that's the problem for them, they have a real problem getting enough ammo to the frontlines.
Also, Moltke? Really? That guy has been relevant 150 years ago, try to get a more contemporary strategy on the battlefield, what Moltke considered an appropriate approach to win a war hasn't been relevant for at the very least 100 years now. His strategy was tried by the Germans in WW1 only to get a very, very bloody nose.
But hey, forget what I say, please keep following outdated doctrines. It worked so great for your tanks, didn't it, keep doing that.
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Putin went into this war with a few wrong assumptions and expectations that turned out to be catastrophic.
First, he assumed that he could blindside Ukraine like 2014 when he captured Crimea. This was supposed to be Crimea 2.0. Take the capital, waltz into the eastern regions and dictate the conditions before anyone could react. The date for the press conference was even set. The invasion started Thursday, there was a press conference set for Tuesday ... that never happened. What he did not expect was a surprisingly tough and well prepared defense that pretty much mopped the floor with his assault on the capital and stalled his advance in the East for days and weeks. The Russian troops were not prepared for that. They had supplies for a week and there wasn't any logistics even prepared. The whole show should've been over in 5 days.
Second, he did not expect the West to react like this. He absolutely thought that again the West would just stand by and shrug. That not only there would be sanctions up the ass but also as much support and supply for Ukraine, which amounts to pretty much "as much as you can give without actually joining the battle", that was certainly not what he'd have expected.
And finally, he did not know that the level of corruption and wasting in the Russian army was that bad. Even during the first weeks we already saw that the equipment is in abysmal repair, that many of the more sophisticated and delicate weapon systems simply don't work due to a lack of maintenance, that corruption and outright theft caused critical parts to fail or simply go "missing", and that the general state of the troop is severely lacking, from morale to equipment to training to even the most fundamental necessities for a fighting troop.
The combination of that is what we witness here.
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@Writeous0ne So Russia planned to tank its economy by buying Rubles to keep the rates from crashing through the floor? Weird strategy... but then again, I've seen the war, apparently their financial strategies are as bonkers as their military ones.
Also, Europe's gas problems are not as severe as you may think. The problem right now is less that there ain't gas, the problem is getting it in. Off the coast of Spain a fleet of tankers with liquid gas is idling about, what Europe lacks right now is enough places to pump it. That's going to be resolved in about 3-4 months when the harbors are retrofitted. Yes, liquid gas sure is more expensive than simply pumping it through pipes, but at the current price tag, it's quite interesting.
Europe also spent a good deal of money to wane itself off gas. You currently pretty much get half the price of a new heating system paid for if you switch away from gas, which is what a lot of people did, we're now at the point where the price of gas is getting so low that a lot of people are cursing that they switched to wood because gas would actually now be cheaper to heat with... weird how this went.
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@mohammadazraazriazhar2170 I easily believe you anything that doesn't affect me. If you tell me you had cereal for breakfast, I don't insist in pumping your stomach to get proof of it. Mostly because there are few things I could care less about.
If you want to propose something is true that does affect me, like saying that some being put down some laws that you want me to uphold, then I do insist in proof. First of all that the being exists and second that the laws are actually from aforementioned being. Else, why bother upholding them?
Furthermore, do you have any sources for whatever Muhammad did that aren't in any way related to the faith he invented? Because, well, according to ancient Egyptian sources, Ramses II was the greatest troop leader of all times and according to North Korean sources, Kim Il Sung and Kim Jong Il invented pretty much everything there is. And guess what, neither is true.
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@mohammadazraazriazhar2170 First, please try to get your answers into one reply. It's easier to answer and it's less likely that I miss one.
Why I follow man made rules? Because I don't want to pay fines or go to jail. And unlike gods, these laws created by humans can and do get executed. Gods are pretty weak when it comes to this, they usually needs humans to do their dirty work.
Concerning the biography of your prophet: Do you have any sources besides islamic sources? Because if not, it's about as good as a biography of Harry Potter. Some book, written by someone, telling the story about some character.
Concerning believing: Your point is that I first have to believe something, then everything else can be believed. By that logic, I can as well believe any kind of story that establishes its own reality, and within that reality everything works out. That works for every (decent) fictional universe ever created, from Discworld to Star Trek. And I hope we can agree that neither Discworld nor Star Trek have anything to do with reality.
Concerning the life of Muhammad: Again, the first problem is that we have very little unbiased sources for this to actually have been the case. But even assuming that it is true it means fairly little. A lot of myths and folk tales talk about people getting visited by gods or gaining messages from them which caused them to perform all sorts of feats, often at great personal sacrifice. The christian bible has such a story about Paul, a noble Roman who had an epiphany and converted to christianity, dedicating his life to spreading the faith and eventually dying for the faith. Does that mean that he was visited by christ? Sorry. This is no proof for anything. It means that some human had some sort of experience that they attributed to a divine being. Not that such a being exists.
Concerning the quote (and pretty much any quote from a holy book): Meaningless to someone who doesn't believe that book. To give you an idea what this means to me, you could have quoted Harry Potter and it would be about as convincing. Someone wrote something in a book at some point in time. There is exactly nothing that points to anything of this actually having any meaning in reality.
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@mohammadazraazriazhar2170 Concerning laws: My country defines laws negatively. As in you're allowed to do what is not explicitly forbidden. I prefer laws that can be adjusted to events on the world and development of science, morals and ethics. Since no divine almighty being ever came down to rule, instead we had OCD freaks with power fantasies pretending to speak for such beings, I can't really say whether a divine benevolent being would be a better way to rule something. What I can say, from experience, both historic as well as current, is that theocracies are more like the playground for aforementioned control freak fantasies than some divine, sublime and perfect places.
The world you describe here, where some control freak dictates what I can eat, drink, wear and do is hell. Literally hell. If that's what your god offers, please keep him as far away from me as possible. I don't want to be subjected to the whims of such a petty deity.
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What is the alternative? Because one thing is certain, if we don't do what we can to slow the infection rate as best as we can, our medical facilities get overwhelmed. And this isn't like the flu. Yes, the flu kills ten-thousands each year. But what can you do against the flu? Nothing. Stay in bed, take some meds, hope for the best. Some people die. That's not the difference yet.
The difference is that with this disease, there is something that can increase your chance of survival ten- or even twentyfold. Ventilators and trained medical personnel that can operate them is basically what separates someone with a 15-20% chance of death from someone whose chance to die is around the 1-2% mark. Now, ventilators and medical staff are short in supply. And even if Elon Musk or whoever the saviour of the day is can produce them in quantity, it does not increase the number of people who can actually make them work. You still need trained medical people to use them. And you can't simply shake a tree and they fall out of it, that takes years of training to do more good than harm with those things.
If we don't flatten that curve of infections, we'll see hospitals starting to make decisions on who gets to live and who gets to die. There are already stories from certain countries that I can't verify, so that that with a grain or two of salt, that hospitals there don't even bother trying to save people past 70 or even 60 years of age, because they are running out of medical equipment and staff.
Now ponder for a moment what will happen with a country when people get told that their father, grandfather or even son gets to die while someone else gets to live. Likely because they have more money or are otherwise deemed "more important".
If that happens, it's not the virus that's going to be the main culprit for a high body count. And I guess I do not have to tell you what we have at our hands then. Because yes, then there is definitely no turning back.
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The speed will highly depend on the quality of the compiler used. With GCC or VC, I agree, especially when writing code for modern superscalar CPUs, they are awesome at optimizing rearranging instructions to maximize throughput, better than anything you could probably hope to do by hand. But there are some compilers, mostly for embedded MCs, that are horrible at optimization and you will gain a LOT of speed by using assembler rather than relying on them.
Which is kinda painful when you think about it, not only is power consumption and runtime often crucial in them, we're also talking about clock speeds that are measured in MHz rather than GHz, where wasting 1000 cycles actually results in measurable longer run time and thus power consumption. If you now also take into consideration that binary size does actually matter when your instruction memory is measured in kilobytes, it really, really hurts. Why can't they provide sensible compilers?
This aside, assembly language has very little use in "hacking". It, or rather, knowing it, is useful to reverse engineer software and to take a closer look at malware, something I did for quite a while in the early 2000s for a living, but most malware these days is actually written in high level languages. Malware has long become a business, and pushing out software is critical. The days of creatively hand-crafted, self modifying code written in assembly by masters of the art are long gone. What matters in terms of malware today is to pump out new variants quickly, and assembly language isn't exactly known for its speedy production cycles.
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@-isaku265 Really? Well, let's head over to trading economics and take a look.
"Natural gas futures in Europe continued to decline to below €30 per megawatt hour, the lowest since June of 2021, following a 7.9% fall in the previous week and bringing the year-to-date drop to 60%"
Electricity costs about 28 cents a kWh right now (EU average), depending on where you are it can be as little as 9 cents in Hungary or as much as 50 cents in Ireland, but that's the average. That's not THIS far off what we paid back in 2020.
In a nutshell, yeah, energy prices went insane in 2022. But they're pretty much back to 2021 levels now. Maybe if you try to get more contemporary news instead of relying on some that are half a year old you get a better picture of what's going on in Europe.
Oh, and as for Rubles vs Euros, back in 21 I got 90 Rubles for an Euro, about as much as I get now. Yeah, there was some turmoil in between, going from 150 to 57 in 2022. Wonder what could have been the reason for that fluctuation. But now, we're pretty much back at 21 levels.
How 'bout Russia? Also everything going just as well as it did back in 21?
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Das österreichische Selbstverständnis, insbesondere dem nördlichen Nachbarn gegenüber, ist in diesem Spiel perfekt abgebildet.
Fragt man einen Österreicher nach der größten Leistung, den dieses Land im Fußball jemals erbracht hat, sollte man doch annehmen, dass die Weltmeisterschaft 1954 genannt wird. Damals erreichte Österreich den 3. Platz, und auch sein bestens Ergebnis im Internationalen Fußball.
Das weiss in Österreich praktisch niemand.
Warum?
Weil's nicht zählt. Deutschland war da Weltmeister.
Nein. Die größte und noch immer im Herzen jedes Österreichers eingebrannte fußballerische Leistung ist das Spiel 1978 in Cordoba, als Österreich, bereits vor dem Spiel als sicher ausgeschieden feststehend, durch einen Sieg auf Biegen und Brechen Deutschland ebenfalls nach hause geschickt hat.
Andre Heller sagte mal, die Schweiz ist eine Eidgenossenschaft, Österreich eine Neidgenossenschaft.
Ich glaube, er hat recht.
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@trololoev There's plenty of videos where you see a tank with Russian markings getting hit and blows its turret off. C'mon, it's not exactly hard to find one (but it's kinda hard to watch, considering that you pretty much know what's going on there...).
Yes, whether the turret does a jack-in-the-box or not isn't exactly what makes or breaks a destruction, but... let's put it that way, I don't have to sever the head from the torso to kill a person, but if it happens, it surely does kill the person. Same with tanks, I don't have to blow the lid off, but if it happens, it's a telltale sign that the tank is done for.
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@factsoverfear9771 That's the thing, though: They don't.
Tacitus, who is often used as a reference here, is writing about Christians as part of his history of the great fire in Rome during the rule of Nero. Now, aside of a few inaccuracies concerning Nero who he obviously didn't really like, he writes about how Christians are blamed for it, and how these Christians worship Christ as their saviour, who was someone who was crucified during the rule of Pilate in Galilea.
What this doesn't say, though, is whether this Christ existed at all. What Tacitus says is that they worship that person. Well, the Egyptians worshipped Ra. Does someone writing about that make Ra real now?
Tacitus does not claim that this Christ even existed, he doesn't even claim that he believes that any of this is real. Only that there are people who think it is.
And people who think some religious person is their saviour, well, there has never been a shortage of that. Ask the average cult member.
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@jorllx Ukraine doesn't have to recover anything. All they have to do is stall Russia 'til Russia is bankrupt and has to go.
Take a look at the victory conditions. Russia needs to get Ukraine to agree on handing over the contested oblasts. Which Ukraine can easily refuse since it will be funded 'til the heat death of the universe by the US as long as it keeps Russia hemorrhaging money and resources, and keeps Russia's army from being in any way usable in any other conflict. And that's something they do quite effectively right now. The US and EU will fund this 'til the end of times if need be. Actually, the longer this takes, the happier US and EU are. Every single day of war is absolutely fine in the books of everyone opposing Russia. Russia is getting economically more and more beat up every single day this war lasts.
The victory condition of Ukraine is just that they don't lose. They don't need to reclaim any land. They don't need to make any significant progress, even. At least from a purely military point of view, all they need to do is sit there and let Russia run on against their ever increasing wall of force. They will eventually, when Russia is sufficiently beaten up, push them over, sure, but at its core, all they really have to do is sit and let Russia butt its head against that wall 'til the headache is bad enough that Russia concedes.
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@GARDENER42 I actually missed that. Damn, I never get to see anything good.
Also, extreme leftist? C'mon, I'm actually a conservative. The thing is I also think that there needs to be a balance between the sides. Thatcher did some things right, but she went off the deep end when she went hardcore. There is a delicate balance between the left and the right and she decided that she wants to play hardball.
You can do that, but you have to deal with the fallout. And, well, she did have to deal with that fallout. There would have been a much more agreeable way to handle that, but not for her.
I didn't exactly like her style. If anything, she got me REALLY close to side with labor for a change, and considering that Kinnock was a total waste of oxygen every time that goofball drew a breath, that kinda means something...
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Russia is in a similar situation as Germany was a century ago. A very militaristic history, a country that learned that the only way to progress and to prosper is by taking with force what it wants. And it did, well, kinda, work for the most part. For Germany back in the 1800s and for Russia in the 1900s. Both have a centuries old history of militaristic expansion and militaristic prowess. And if all you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.
The thing is, though, that the times when you could gain anything by war are over. No war in the past 100 years left the victor more prosperous than before. In every single war, both sides lost. Some more, some less, but there has never been anyone who was truely better off after the war. That time is over. The only way to prosper today is by economic buildup and economic power.
Russia would actually hold all the trump cards for being an economic powerhouse. It has vast, VAST resources. Oil, gas, precious metals, uranium, steel, you name it, Russia has it. There is no shortage of anything you could want to have. Russia has people who can and do work hard, who are also smart and ingenius, they have an inventor spirit, by necessity of the Soviet shortages, that is unique on the planet. They only need to develop that and their economy could easily match that of China, EU and USA.
That, though, is hampered by one thing, and one thing only: The insane corruption and cronyism in their leadership. Russia could take the world by storm. Not by military, but by economic power. But only if this power is not siphoned away by a bunch of bandits and crooks running the show and stealing the wealth of Russia from its people.
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No. Sorry, but no. Russian propaganda used to be marvelous. Masterpieces. Impossible to unravel and debunk. Russia was the unrivaled master of propaganda, they could produce videos and pictures that you simply had to believe because there wasn't any way around it, they took great care to fit it to confirmed information and crafted it with a subtle nudge towards the "correct" interpretation so you had that feeling that you came to that conclusion yourself, and that's really powerful and compelling. You WILL believe that, because it's you who is convincing you, not someone else.
This is, at best, amateur level. Not worthy of Russian propaganda. This is abysmal. Blunt. Unrefined. And easy to pick apart and debunk.
C'mon, Russia, you used to be good at this, what happened?
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Then they still lost.
Russia's economy is shot. We're talking about a country that has a GDP of about 1.7t. US and EU, who are bankrolling the opposition, have more than 20 times that (23 and 17). If Russia went into total war mode and put its whole economy behind the war effort, all the West would have to put against it is about 5% of their economy to match it.
No matter how you spin it, this pretty much means that Russia will suffer.
Even if they turn out to win this war, their economy is shot, their international credit is shot, their international credibility as a military power is severely shaken (I mean, how much do you think a country could protect you from "the West" if they can't even win a war easily against a vastly inferior foe when they are really invested in?). Russia will descend into economic, political and military insignificance. Yes, they have nukes (that may or may not work...), but aside of that, why take them in any way serious? They'll be akin to North Korea: Annoying, but mostly irrelevant.
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@Scar626 You'll still find that most former British colonies have fairly good relations with their former "ruler", from Canada to Australia, at least if they didn't try to force them to stay. Like, say, Northern Ireland.
Empires in the past had one key advantage over those that try to uphold something like this today: The idea of a "nation", and "national heritage" is fairly young. That whole thing only became a reality around 200 years ago. Before that, a "nation" was considered a bunch of people who happen to have the same tradition, but this had little, if anything, to do with what we today understand when we consider a "nation", i.e. a sovereign, self-administered country. That concept is really new, actually. This is why large empires could exist in the past. The people didn't consider themselves a self-governing body.
Russia will eventually have to choose whether it wants to be a union of independent countries that may even have a formal unifying "emperor" as their figurehead, much like a lot of the British former empire still has the British King as their formal head of state (even though he has little, if any, say in politics), or whether it wants to break apart into squabbling and bickering countries like Austria-Hungary did after WW1. An enforced union simply has no lasting future.
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Russia must leave and end this war before the only thing left is hatred. Hatred between France and Germany at the end of WW1 led directly to WW2. Hatred between Russia and Ukraine will lead to more of the same.
Germany, too, thought that its only chance for prosperity is war and occupation. For centuries, the German society was heavily militarized and sought war and conflict with its neighbors in a bid to gain the prosperity it wanted. It failed. Throughout the centuries, it failed. Only when Germany concentrated on building instead of destroying after WW2, it became the prosperous, rich nation it is today.
Russia can do the same. More, Russia has all the great resources Germany lacked. It is rich in oil, in gas, in metals, it has all the riches. It only needs to get rid of the corruption in its upper management and government ranks and it can boast an economy that can rule China, rule Europe, even rule the USA.
Without a war. With economic power. Russia can do that. It has the resources, it has the people and it has the will. All it lacks is the leadership that wants to build up instead of steal and pillage.
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@davidbrown5411 Unfortunately I know Soviet military tactics way, way better than I'd care anymore. Fortunately that part of my life is behind me.
Russian military tactics can work if, and only if, executed correctly. Most of all it depends on things going according to plan. If they went, this would have worked great. The thing is, they didn't. Russia, unlike the West, operates on the plan that a military battalion can operate independent from logistics and supplies for a week. They have that amount with them. US doctrine dictates that logistics have to touch down with the soldier. Frankly, by now often the logistics is in place before the first soldier hits the beachhead. Kinda insane. But that's one of the core differences. This is why Russia stalled after the first week because the war was supposed to be over by then. They had no logistics prepared. Because it was not supposed to last more than a week.
Establishing Russian logistics is also not easy. The Russian logistics network relies heavily on trains. That's why you had this ridiculous hodgepodge of civilian transport vehicles doing logistics at the start of the war (and spawned the joke of "an operation so special it's supplied by short busses").
And so on. Believe me, I do understand Russian tactics. And I know when I see Russia struggling with supply problems. Because one of their doctrines, and they try to stick with it despite the shortages, is to rely heavily on artillery. That's a solid strategy, if you start out on the defense. It only has two very relevant drawbacks, it is very slow and it relies on being able to transport those heavy pieces into battle, both problems Russia is suffering from. You'll notice that as soon as battles start to become static, Russia is doing fairly well after it had time to get its artillery into place. One should (and frankly, I did) expect that to be way more effective, though.
The reason it is not is that Russia is lacking the capacity to produce enough shells to actually pull through with this strategy. Kherson should essentially be indefensible if Russia has the artillery shells it needs.
It doesn't.
And that's exactly the problem Russia is facing right now.
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Well, he has. Or rather, Russia has.
Russia is without any esteem or credit in the world. Right now, it's become blatantly obvious that a word or signature of Russia is worthless. No later than last February, this has become obvious. Russia also is no longer a protective force to be considered. Who'd seek protection by a country that can't even win a war for itself? Why would I expect such a country to be capable of defending me from my neighbors? If I fear the US, China is the country to turn to for protection. Russia is a has-been power.
Russia is also bleeding dry when it comes to talent and young personnel. People 20-30 year old are either bleeding out on the frontlines or fleeing the country, and the higher the skill, the more likely they flee, because they know that they can easily get accepted anywhere in the world as high-demand workers. The West is in dire need of engineers, skilled IT personnel, biologists, researchers, and we do welcome them with open arms, not only paying them magnitudes more than they could get in Russia but also saving them from the looming sword of Damocles called draft. So people are fleeing in droves, and it's not the stupid ones.
Russia is done for. No matter how this war ends.
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@lesterbeedell9725 I happen to have some insight into the Russian economy since I have insight in one of the companies still doing business in Russia. The Russian economy isn't exactly doing well. Russia had a pretty nice surplus last year, which was mostly due to an elevated gas and oil price and a lack of imports due to sanctions, but this isn't really very sustainable. Russian Ural (the kind of oil that Russia is selling, yes, there are "oil brands" in the oil market) goes for about 45-50 bucks a barrel. For comparison, Brent goes for about 80-90. Sounds like not much, but you might want to compare that to the over 100 Ural was sold a year ago. There's also volume, since Europe is no longer importing oil from Russia and the trade partners for Russia now are India and China, and neither of them is as stupid as Germany to become fully dependent in Russia without reservations.
And Russia's economy is to 2/3 dependent on oil and gas. In other words, this is not going to be a good year for Russia, at least it doesn't exactly look good for the Russian economy.
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Russia is already done for. International without any esteem, everyone knows they don't honor their word or contracts, nobody considers them a protection power anymore because they can't even fight their own wars, why should you expect them to fight yours, so countries are turning their backs on Russia and, if they don't want to deal with the US, turn to China instead. The war is costing Russia a fortune every day, not just in resources but more damaging in their young, reproductive generation. Russia's population is already dwindling, and losing the 20-30 year old generation fast sure isn't helping, either by them bleeding out on the battlefield or them fleeing the country, and especially the educated sliver of the population is leaving. Fast. Russia already has a severe shortage of engineers, IT professionals, doctors, biologists. Anything that could be considered "high-tech" is struggling to find personnel, because everyone is leaving.
Not that I complain, we do need good personnel in the West, too.
The country is finished. NO matter how this war ends.
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@mavilaru1 Well, I've had my share of dealing with Soviet technology, and say what you want, it was crude, it was low quality, it had all sorts of flaws, but as long as you had a hammer, a screwdriver and some sheet metal, you could fix it to work again ... somehow. Crude, low quality and very likely not very long, but everything was very "field repairable".
As in, what you need to repair it can probably be found in a field.
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@stoso9864 Oh, so taking back lands where people who are of your tribe is a-ok? Great, then please hand over Königsberg to the Germans, pretty much all of the lands west of the Ural to the Polish-Lithuanian empire, Karelia to the Finns and roughly the South of Russia to the various tribes that live there who will gladly take the opportunity for independence that you offer them so graciously.
While we're at it, I'm pretty sure Germany would love to have half of Poland back, the Czech would want parts of Slovakia, Hungary parts of Romania and of course Turkey pretty much the whole of the Balcan, Greece and ... hold on, if we go back far enough, Greece would certainly want all the areas back 'til over to India that they held when Alexander the Great ruled...
Is it silly enough already or do I have to go on why whatever happened in the past is ridiculous as a claim to land?
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Russia already lost. It doesn't even matter how this war ends, Russia is finished.
Russia is bankrupt. It's main export is oil and gas, and the only country that still buys it in at least halfway relevant quantities is China. And China knows that it has Russia by the balls with this and buys just as much as they want and at the price they dictate, and Russia has no choice but to grin and bear it. Russian international esteem is shot for good. By now it's common knowledge that Russia does not honor its contract, the Russian word is worthless. That's about the WORST that can happen to a country, its international credit is gone for good. And worst of all, the Russian army is known to be a comedy troop. Nobody will turn to Russia for protection from its neighbor's hunger. That role will go to China, too, for all those countries that don't want to turn to the US for one reason or another.
China will be the big winner of this war. The next match between superpowers will be between the US and China. Russia will be at best a junior partner of China. At worst a has-been superpower like Britain: Once mighty and powerful, and maybe still considering itself a global player, but nobody really takes them serious anymore. Unlike Britain, though, Russia also has no international credibility or trust left.
Russia is finished.
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It isn't. But Putin made it his personal showpiece for Russian military supremacy when he declared that Russia will take it easily. Four (or was it now five?) MONTHS ago.
What makes Bakhmut strategically important for Ukraine now is that very fact, and that they can now show the West that they are determined to defend at all cost. That's important. Ever since 1979 when the US delivered top notch military gear to Iran (yes, back then that was an ally) and then that Ayatollah made a coup and the military surrendered without putting up a fight, ever since then the US is very, very wary to deliver any modern equipment to a state that isn't in some direct military alliance with them. Because, well, what if Ukraine decides to surrender to Russia without a fight and all those modern weapons now are in Russian hands, for them to dismantle and reverse engineer? That would be WAY worse than what happened in Iran in 1979, back then they at least only used those F-14s and Phoenix missiles.
The value of the battle for Bakhmut is in showing the West that Ukraine does not surrender. And, lo and behold, suddenly modern Western armor is going their way.
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If you could point out the protective emblems, I've been trying to see them but couldn't find them. And believe me, that's the first thing I look for when watching videos like this.
Maybe an unblurred version of that video would show something like this, which would be interesting, considering that according to my information Russia tends to hand their field medics weapons, like, well, pretty much any army, and thus can't label them noncombatant humanitarian workers. But if you have diverging information, please share it, I'd be very interested.
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@ayoolukoga9829 Oh please, c'mon, even if you don't know anything about the book you so worship, you have google, at least TRY to get some information for a change. Here's a freebie for you:
Deuteronomy 33:17
His glory is like the firstling of his bullock, and his horns are like the horns of unicorns: with them he shall push the people together to the ends of the earth: and they are the ten thousands of Ephraim, and they are the thousands of Manasseh.
Unicorns? Did they fart the rainbow after the flood?
Well, of course not. Let's take a look at the Latin Vulgata. Not quite the original, but my Hebrew is really sub-par:
Quasi primogeniti tauri pulchritudo ejus, cornua rhinocerotis cornua illius: in ipsis ventilabit gentes usque ad terminos terrae. Hae sunt multitudines Ephraim: et haec millia Manasse.
I leave it to the student, even if he doesn't speak Latin, to figure out what MIGHT have been a better translation...
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At some point they will have to if they want to retain a Russia that doesn't look like Germany after WW1.
Putin knows that his time is over as soon as this war is lost. Either he gets killed outright or he'll be delivered to The Hague as part of the peace treaty. He knows his time is up. He will keep this war running. And this war is bleeding Russia's resources dry. Russia is bleeding money, it is bleeding resources and it is literally bleeding manpower that will be missing in production. Productivity suffers badly from this war, while at the same time the rest of the world has no problem keeping theirs up, which means that the Russian economy gets worse and worse with every day this war is running.
And the war will not result in a victory. Even assuming that Russia gets all they want, that victory will only be Phyrric, with a Russia that "won" on paper but is so crippled and bankrupt that it may as well have lost.
This fate can be avoided still, if they manage to end the war quickly, because now, acceptable peace conditions are still very possible. But as long as Putin is in charge, there's no chance for that. He will ride this to the end. He literally has nothing to lose, unlike his country. He will ride this to the end, and he will drag Russia into the abyss wtih him, if Russia doesn't kick him in first.
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The West, at least so far, didn't exactly commit to this war. What happened was that we sent our outdated and obsolete junk that we were about to throw away anyway, so if Ukraine folds like a wet sponge, at least nothing of value is lost.
The West, and the US in particular, are still traumatized from what happened in 1979 in Iran. Back then, they pumped the most modern equipment into the Shah's army and they surrendered to the revolution without even firing a shot, and all those cutting edge weapons were then in the hands of the mullahs. So the US is kinda wary to hand modern equipment to an ally that may be stable but also may fold.
By now, Ukraine showed that it will and wants to fight, to whatever ends, and this started to convince the West to actually give them more than some MANPADS and a few outdated pieces of Soviet crap. But it takes a while.
Give it time. We'll come.
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There is a difference between a chord progression, of which there are only so many different ones that work in a song (seriously, watch Axis of Awesome's four chord songs, they made a medley of the various songs that use the I V vi IV progression, with ever changing lineup because there are simply SO many in pop music, or simply ponder why mashups actually work) and melody.
And let's be honest here, Lana Del Rey used virtually the same melody that Radiohead uses, while Radiohead uses not even quite the same progression the Hollies used (Creep uses two bars of each chord while TATIB goes 2 I, 2 III, 1 IV, 1 iv, 2 I). TIMC uses exactly the same chord progression as Creep, along with a melody that is practically identical for the first 4 bars, even including the trail in "weirdo" or "manifesto", respectively. I mean, if the Hollies suit against Radiohead was successful, this should be an open-shut case.
I don't think suing her for all her proceedings was a smart move, as you said we're not talking about a huge number 1 platinum hit, and probably demanding something like co-writer credits and some token sum would have been more suitable, because the PR looks really crappy for them now, but I can understand why their legal team wants to make sure that this ain't going to "inspire" more people to do the same.
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@antoniussamuelson3748 The bolshevik revolution required way more than just the WW1 debacle. There was already a lot of unrest and discontent with the Romanovs long before WW1, there were quite a few, and even a few successful, assassination attempts on various Czars. WW1 was only the catalyst necessary to tip the balance.
Russia was, at least from my vantage point, fairly stable before the war. Yes, there were people who were unhappy with the situation, but in general, there was no unrest. There were no attempts on the lives of the various political leaders. I don't think that the loss of this war will lead to another revolution in Russia.
What it may lead to is a change of power. Hopefully towards something better. What I do rather expect, though, is an outcome not unlike that of Germany after WW1: The victors will dictate a peace that aims at the annihilation of the country, leading to the rise of someone even more militaristic and blatantly autocratic.
I do hope that the West is smarter than Clemenceau was after WW1. The world needs Russia, as much as it needed Germany. But just like with Germany, we need the Germany we got after WW2, not the one we had after WW1.
We need the same in Russia.
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