Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "Can Russia win the military production race?" video.

  1. A couple of points: 1: I wonder if there is a way to include a corruption adjustment to this calculation. If one third of Russian military spending is being wasted due to corruption that should figure into the calculations. On the other hand, there was a CBS news piece that investigated the problem that the American military has regarding sticking to just one manufacturer for some types of military equipment and (more importantly) replacement parts. Apparently decades ago the American military used multiple manufacturers for each type of equipment but somebody decuded that it would be simpler and more efficient to use just one supplier for each type of military equipment which means that if a part needs to be replaced the U.S. military must pay whatever price the company demands no matter how outrageous. That's not a very efficient way to spend money on a military. 2: As someone else has pointed out Russian forces are not just using and losing equipment produced now but also using a lot of equipment built over many decades. Based on some of the analysis available Russia seems likely to have used up all of its inventory of old tanks by spring 2025 if the war goes on that long and Russia might get to that point sooner than that given that it has certainly been refurbishing the old tanks in the best condition and the remaining old tanks must be in worse condition and possibly many of them are not salvageable. On top of that is the possibility that they have been cannibalizing the remaining old tanks for parts and don't have the spare parts for all of the remaining old tanks. Once Russia runs out of old tanks it's current tank production will have no hope of keeping up with immense losses of tanks and by the summer of 2025 Russia will likely have gone from having far more tanks than any other country to effectively having no tanks on the battlefield. And I assume that the same will happen with a lot of Russia's other heavy military equipment. Makes me wonder - Russia may be able to keep producing or buying artillery shells but when will it run out of guns to fire them?
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  2. ​@zomfgroflmao1337 I think that the Baltic states and at times Poland understand the threat that Russia poses.
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  3. Apparently the Canadian government was told that it would cost a huge amount of money (one or two billion dollars) to build a plant to manufacture artillery shells and that it would take a long time to build the plant and so the government decided to not build such a plant. Government politicians may have assumed that the war would be over or almost over by the time that the plant was built and, given that there has been no need for such a plant for almost 80 years until this war and there likely will be no need for such a plant after the war the government politicians were possibly afraid that opposition parties would say that the government wasted money on a useless plant. The government already got attacked by the opposition for putting a lot of money into a vaccine plant that never got built. So no artillery plant got built and that's even though the Deputy Prime Minister is of Ukrainian background and reportedly speaks Ukrainian in the home at times and even though before the war Canada had more people of Ukrainian background than any other country other than Ukraine and Russia. Frankly, spending two billion dollars on an artillery plant seems a small cost to increase the chances that Ukraine wins the war and Europe stays safe. It might have been just over a year into the war that a news report stated that Canada's military production had not increased at all since the war started and I suspect that still is the case. The Canadian government has donated a lot of money to Ukraine and did initiate the freezing of Russian assets in western countries but just doesn't have a lot of military assets to donate to Ukraine and doesn't seem interested in changing that wuth new military production.
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