Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "How soon can a NATO-Russia war happen?" video.

  1. It's still playing with fire for Putin to decide to launch even a limited attack on NATO while much of the Russian military is bogged down in Ukraine. If NATO countries did nothing in response other than cutting off supplies to Ukraine then it might help Russia but it would be naive of Putin to assume that will happen. If NATO countries in Europe instead decide to strike back while the Russian military is tied up in Ukraine then Russia will be in serious trouble. If I remember correctly even excluding Turkey and the United States NATO has more planes than does Russia. And Finland alone has vast numbers of reserves - 900,000 troops - and I don't think that includes the regular troops. Though a lot would be held in reserve those left in reserve would be available if Finland's war time force of 280,000 suffered deaths or injuries. If European NATO countries responded to a Russian attack with a full scale attack on Russia it's hard to imagine how Russia could muster enough trained men and equipment to fight that attack off. And surely Russia has to worry about the possibility that if all of its troops are occupied fighting Ukraine and NATO China might see that as an excellent time to take back all that land in Asia that China says Russia stole in the 1800s and China wants back. Not to mention the possibility that restive regions in Russia might start rebelling if they know that the entire Russian army is occupied. Of course, there is the worry that if NATO countries attacked Russia in response to a Russian attack on NATO then Russia might uee a nuclear weapon but frankly any restrictions on starting a war against a country with nuclear weapons should be gone once that country attacks you - You're not just going to passively put up with Russian attacks without responding. As well, even if NATO didn't respond with a full scale attack on Russia NATO countries would react by dramatically increasing expenditures on their militaries and although one can't snap one's fingers and double the size of one's military that would mean that Russia would be under immerse pressure to quickly defeat and subdue Ukraine and then launch a full scale invasion of Europe all the way to Spain snd Britain before European countries had built up their militaries. Given that Russian forces haven't made a significant advance in 20 months Putin is going to have to be very lucky for his forces to quickly conquer Ukraine even if Ukraine received no aid from Europe or the United States.
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