Comments by "Geoff Lepper" (@geofflepper3207) on "Ukraine can face a bigger Russian army" video.

I'm not sure that Putin can afford to patiently wait months to deal with the situation. Not unless Trump wins the election in November or creates civil war in the United States if he loses. At best Russia has about ten more weeks this year before bad weather sets in to make a significant advance or to try to drive Ukrainian forces out of Russia. By July next year Russia will have used up all of its stored army equipment in decent condition whereas Ukraine will have a better situation in regards to military equipment. As well by next year Ukraine will likely have significantly more western military jets and will have destroyed virtually all Russian air defense systems which Russia doesn't seem to know how to protect. As well by next year likely there will be even fewer restrictions on Ukraine's use of western weapons. As well by next summer Russia will have used up all of its stored artillery shells of decent quality (though Russia will still be producing a lot of shells). As well by next year likely all Russian oil refineries in western Russia will have been knocked out of use which will make both Russia's financial situation and fuel situation worse. As well by next year Russian citizens will have suffered through another winter of freezing in the dark in their apartments and won't be happy about it. As well by next year Russia's unmaintained infrastructure will have broken down further. As well by next summer Russia might lose another 400,000 soldiers dead and 600,000 soldiers wounded so even if 100,000 conscripts are added to the fighting forces Putin will still need to find an additional 900,000 extra men to join the war, a seemingly impossible task given Russia's labour shortages. As well if Putin starts using conscripts in the war many more young Russian men will flee the country making labour shortages worse. As well, if Russian conscripts become more involved in the war and every day 100 are dying and 200 are getting wounded and 50 are getting captured then Putin will soon have a lot of very angry Russian mothers to deal with. Of course the two things that could be worse for Ukraine by next year are possibly Russia controlling more Ukrainian territory by then and the problem of shortages of Ukrainian men available to fight in the war. Russia is gaining territory only slowly so likely any territory gain (that would need to happen in the next 10 weeks) is not going to make up for all the things that are going to be worse for Russia next year. So the only major concern is whether Ukraine will manage to recruit enough new troops to maintain a big enough fighting force. I hope that western countries do whatever they can to help Ukraine with that such as providing Ukraine with more financial assistance. There are crazy rumours that troops from the Baltic states will join the war. That would certainly increase the number of troops available. If Finland, Sweden and Poland sent troops to fight then the Russian army would be in serious trouble.
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