Comments by "Neil Clay" (@neilclay5835) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @HistoryCity1  Up hill 😆
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  2. I'd be very interested in your take about the situation that the UK finds itself in now, post Brexit, post pandemic. It feels like we've got a slow economic puncture tbh.
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  3. You under estimate how this was always a war about regime security (not national security) Peter. And the Realist geopolitics are of much lesser importance than Putin's magical thinking when it comes to his place in history, and his vision for Russia. For this reason, Navalny (not Nalvany) was important because he returned to Russia as a strong man. This was very much a threat to Putin. Putin has clearly waited until he felt he was domestically safe to kill him. I'm sure this is the start of a series of totalitarian actions on the part of the Putin regime.
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  4. Getting a few audio drop outs in the last couple of videos. As ever, great stuff though.
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  5. Spot on.
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  6. The Ukrainians know their enemy better than you do Peter. They know that fear (alone) of nukes is Russia's biggest weapon. The Ukrainian activities are a poke in the eye for a regime which is used to being the big bully, and not having someone stand up to them. And this big bully is also a coward.
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  7. Try listening Ivan
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  8. Russia is scary WITH Putin. What is is with this western focus on the next thing being worse. It's bad now!
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  9. How long were you watching before you noticed the hat? 🤣
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  10. The Ukrainians are trying to politicise the Russian population. They want the Russians to feel the war, and realise that they have to pay a cost to continue it. Added to this, Russia doesn't throw the sons of their richest citizens at the Ukrainians, they keep them in Russia or "safely occupied regions". They do this because the Kremlin doesn't want the Russian population to feel feel the war, and pay a cost for it. One of the effects of the Ukrainian incursion was to go directly for the conscripts in their "safe" positions. It's a political move as much as it is anything else.
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  11. Just as they're sucking in Si for LLM training to the max.
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  12. 💙
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  13. I hope there's clown shoes in that case for Trump
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  14. Dancing trolls enter stage left
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  15. Great analysis. Terrible pronunciation. 😁🤗
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  16. Crikey
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  17. Haha, same here
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  18. What's Ukrainian Air Defense Doing?
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  19. Interesting, thanks. Your mispronunciation of the names involved is quite something though. Prog-iz-on 🤣 come on!
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  20. It's also important to realise that Putin making Ukraine ungovernable for the Ukrainians is more important to him by far than losing territory in Russia. Unless the safety of his regime is threatened, in which case the math changes.
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  21. Why leadership doesn't matter ... until a dictator loses the plot entirely, starts imagining himself as mystically aligned with his country's identity, can't handle the increasing success of his neighbour, realises that he needs war for regime security, and invades Ukraine.
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  22. Putin knew that his grip on absolute power was beginning to wane, he became particularly paranoid during the COVID epidemic and was very isolated. He has seen Ukraine becoming a successful democracy as a threat for some time (particularly since Maidan). He can't have Slavic brothers and sisters having a democracy right on the border because that will massively undermine his regime's ability to hold on to power. He has been spectacularly corrupt since early on in his premiership, so if his regime collapses he knows like any Mafia boss that that's the end for him. For this reason and also for logistical reasons to do with hydrocarbon control over Europe and also mineral extraction and farm land in Ukraine being of huge economic value - he ordered the invasion. Only a small clique of people knew of the plan, and with the US so openly describing to the world the build up of Russian forces on the Ukraine border, the invasion was rushed and botched - and that's before the evidence of corruption in the supply chains came to light. Also, due to the incredibly inefficient information vertical in the Russian government and military they actually thought that it would be a cake-walk for them. I look forward to the hearings in The Hague.
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  23. Mountain Bikers have bugged out? Wimps! 😆
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  24. Microphone Windscreen Muff FTW
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