Comments by "Stephen Villano" (@spvillano) on "The Enforcer"
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Yeah, but it was one of those iridescent sharks from a tropical fish tank that's managed by a child.
IRBM's are ancient news, MIRV type warheads, well, the dispersion and inaccuracies involved suggest a failure in the warhead dispensing bus guidance, with good fortune allowing one city to get a warhead on one house, rather than an actual military target in Kiev, some 200 km from where one warhead hit that house and precisely zero government targets struck.
Which is embarrassingly far off the mark for a Russian MIRV!
We're talking, aiming at Honolulu and hitting Johnston Island instead, just a wee bit off target, Johnston being where we did launch nukes to test them from and Honolulu feeling one EMP from an EMP test from Johnston (and it was way off course and still far from Hawaii.).
This is more like a kid playing with daddy's loaded pistol, albeit with only one or two rounds loaded and the gun's a cheap Saturday Night Special, infamous for either not firing or hitting anything except what it was aimed at.
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@MrJDFallon there is no entire world.
START treaties limited how many deployable nukes the US and Russia have. The current numbers could at maximum destroy a maximum of 1/3 US cities and towns, if they ignored our military and utility infrastructure, which isn't likely and not ignoring those lessens how many cities get struck, as it takes a minimum of six warheads to destroy a military base.
Meanwhile, a full countervalue, same conditions, would utterly depopulate Russia of cities and towns, as well as degrade their military capabilities significantly. Nuclear winter was a myth dispelled in the 1990's by Gulf War I and subsequent improved modeling, with some mild summers causing some degradation of crop yields, but nothing extinction level at all.
End of the day, Russia would become literally extinct, the US heavily degraded and the winner would basically be China - ish, our fleets would still be afloat, just short a lot of national infrastructure to support them, but plenty abroad to still do so, national leadership on aircraft or in bunkers for a couple of weeks necessary for what fallout there is to decay.
I started my military career in nukes, I know the field and doctrines well, as well as the actual results of nuclear weapons.
Putin's desperate, but he's not stupid, nor is he suicidal. Nor is the Russian military, political and economic leadership types. Were he to even come close to considering using nuclear weapons, he'd suddenly "retire for health reasons" to his dacha in the woods, not to be heard from again.
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