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Lei's Real Talk
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Comments by "GTW" (@gtw4546) on "China losing young people? Chinese growing old? The loss of Chinese labor force will cost China." video.
The gender balance in China is what makes it unique globally. Having 2 children per WOMAN of childbearing age won't be a replacement rate when the men already outnumber the women by 3:1. No other nation has such extreme gender imbalance.
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Consider also, if those 15-year-olds have a gender balance of 2 males to every female. Even if each woman gives birth to 2 children, the population would still decline rapidly.
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The 3:1 gender imbalance in China among those of childbearing age would mean they'd need to have MORE THAN 2 births per woman to be at replacement rate. Each woman would need to give birth to FOUR children just to keep the population from declining further.
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