Comments by "Sar Jim" (@sarjim4381) on "Plainly Difficult"
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Terrible accident. I had to undergo hazmat response training for my job, and the SL-1 accident was used as an example of a nuclear reactor accident that would require local resources. The control rod design was always an issue with these small reactors since there was no way to restart a cold reactor without someone manually withdrawing a fuel rod by hand. The need for portability precluded any kind of machinery to do the job. Then reactor only contain 40 of the normal 59 fuel rods since the reactor was only being used for power and not to test providing steam for space heating. as part of the specs for the reactor. The fewer control rods meant the withdrawal of the control rod would make the reactor critical much faster, and that's just what happened.
As to why Byrne decided to withdraw the control rod as far as he did, we will never know. The best guess, minus the suicide idea, is the rod was stuck and, in the process of yanking on it. it came free faster than assumed and caused the accident. The Army CID and Atomic Energy Commission investigators along with the Idaho State Police spent quite a bit of time investigating all aspects of the three men's lives as well as lives of their families. Byrnes' wife was having an affair with another man, prompting the divorce case. It was not with Richard McKinley however. Could it have been suicide on the part of Byrnes? It's possible, but the stuck fuel rod, something that happened six times in the previous year, seems a lot more likely of an explanation. My training was mostly that if I saw steam coming from a reactor building, get back in my vehicle and hightail it out of there.
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There are some of the most ignorant comments in this thread I've ever read. I sailed and flown in the so-called Bermuda Triangle extensively over the course of 30 years, especially from the Bahamas through the Turks and down to the Virgin Islands. Without a working compass, you're doomed. There are hundreds of small islands scattered about between the Bahamas, Turks, and Keys, the great majority uninhabited. With rare exceptions, there aren't landmarks on these islands that would tell one from the other.
Lt. Taylor's major mistake was not letting another pilot with an apparently working compass take the lead once Taylor realized (or believed) his compass wan't working. The lack of clocks in the planes wasn't uncommon as they were constantly in the clock shop for repair. They were in essence high quality pocket watches attached to the instrument panel of a vibrating airplane. Each pilot going up would have had his Navy wristwatch and the time would have been synchronized between the pilots at the preflight briefing. All the pilots in Flight 19 were experienced fliers, and it was Taylor's not letting go of command which doomed the flight. It was also Navy discipline that kept the flight together even when at least some of the pilots knew they weren't making it home again. Today we train in human factors and flight deck management, and every pilot knows they have the right and obligation to take over if the pilot in command is making bad decisions. This simply wasn't the case in 1945.
Finally, there's no evidence Lt. Taylor was late for the preflight because he was drunk the night before. Lt. Taylor was rarely seen in the officers club drinking and he was regarded as rather standoffish by other officers. He had been working a heavy schedule of training flights, and the best evidence is he was simply tired and overslept. He had even asked to be relieved of this flight, but was informed no other instructor pilots were available. Another issue for the flight was the radio technology of the day. All the voice communications were on HF radios on frequencies somewhat higher than AM commercial frequencies of today. They were bulky tube (valve) radios known for their short range, propensity to quit working or work poorly, and being subject to tremendous static interference, something commonly experienced in the subtropical climes of south Florida. Even when the weather was good, aircraft radios weren't reliable for transmitting information from base to multiple aircraft at the same time. Some would either not hear the messages or only get parts of them. Under the stressful conditions of being lost and facing a probable ditching at sea, it's not surprising that so many messages were garbled or just not received.
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Miasma was still a current theory for through the 1880's for all sorts of disease outbreaks in the American South, but especially malaria. Given the prevalence of swamps in the South, the theory was that it was the rotting vegetation from the swamps that caused the diseases, but not because of water consumption. The cause was breathing the "night vapors" from the common foggy nights in swampy areas. The cure was to have your house be just slightly above these fogs, or going to a "resort" that was in a drier area when an outbreak of disease had begun. People would close themselves up inside their homes to prevent breathing the night air, and doing so also prevented many mosquito bites, the real cause of malaria. A coincidence of the miasma theory was draining the swamps would prevent miasma, but doing so also gave mosquitoes less places to breed. Since the swamps were greatly decreased, and malaria also decreased, the miasma theory was reinforced rather than debunked. Even in the early twentieth century, when transmission of malaria by mosquito bites was well proven by the construction of the Panama Canal, it was still common to see real estate sold with a location above the "vapors" as a desirable feature.
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I used to live in the area of the Pacific NW that was a major target of these balloons. Most of the area in 1944 was covered in dense forest, and it rarely rained in summer. By September. most of the area was bone dry and, as we still see today, huge fires can break out from things as simple as lighting strikes or discarded cigarette butts. We were lucky the winds were unfavorable until November, when most of the area had received rain that put an end to the threat of large fires.
We don't really know how many balloons reached the area since the population was sparse and the only evidence would be if they had started a small fire that forest rangers saw from their fire towers. Even today, there are occasional finds of remnants of the balloons, some which probably did explode, just not starting a fire large enough for anyone to see before it went out. It would have been big trouble for the US and Canada if the Japanese had decided to use chemical or biological weapons, but even worse trouble for the Japanese. There would have been a massive response by the US, and the immediate and long term results would have been horrific,
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As usual with scary nuclear accidents in the US, the results of which we were all going to die, no one was directly killed as a result of the "meltdown" and radiation. The only directly caused deaths related to the incident itself were two volunteer firefighters responding to the plant. Their engine hit a slick spot on the road, the engine overturned, and the two firefighters died from the impact.
Since it has now been forty years since the accident, many longitudinal studies have been and are still being conducted. With the exception of one dubious study, not one has show a higher that expected level of deaths that can be linked ot the accident. The results of the studies have been frustrating due to the fact the 16 counties surrounding TMI have the highest natural levels of radon of any of the 38 states surveyed. As a result, some cancers have always had a higher than expect level of cancers than areas with low radon levels, and that continues to this day. For many people in the area, spending time in a basement recreation room is far more dangerous than any result of the TMI accident.
The one area of deaths that have shown a consistently higher than predicted level is from diseases caused by stress. Due to the poor public communications. many people in the area were convinced the results of the accident was covered up, and many lived in great fear of getting cancer from the plant. While it's hard to quantity deaths not directly related to the plant. at least two large studies have identified an increase in illness and deaths usually due to long-term stress, and the term "radiation phobia" was coined to identify this stress syndrome. The same kind of thing occurred after the Fukushima accident in Japan. The combination of TMI, Fukushima, and Chernobyl, while in total being responsible for a relatively low number of deaths and illnesses, have lead to many countries, Germany being the most extreme among them, to close down functioning nuclear power plants and switch to coal and natural gas plants, even though both sources of fueling power plants are well known causes of deaths, running into the thousands annually world-wide.
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@mavenmanion Define "overindustralization". Do you know the world is less polluted today than is has been at any time since the 1950? There is less poverty in the world, and more people are literate, than any time in history. People are healthier, live longer, and have less acute and pandemic diseases than any time in history. By any objective measure, the world is better off now than it has ever been.
What has happened is we have an entire generation of young people who have grown up with the 24 hour news cycle. You have stories thrown at you around the the clock of how bad things are. Some of the stories are incomplete or outright false. All this has caused millennials to have the highest rates of depression of any age group. Negative biases or interpretations of events tend to be more pronounced in people with depression. People with depression have a predisposition to interpret even ambiguous events negatively, and positive events of the same type still tend to be interpreted negatively. The problem with the world, my young friend, is you. Turn off the TV. Get off the twatter, Instagram, Facebook, and Snapchat. Stop reading things like the Huffington Post, Reddit, and Tumblr. None of that is real. Get outside and grow things, see things, travel. The world is not going to hell in a handbasket.
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@mavenmanion LOL. And you know nothing about me and have mischaracterized my arguments. I'm 72 years of age. I earned a master's degree in atmospheric science. I actually never mentioned climate change in my comments, did I? The fact the world is less polluted is provably true. Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, it's a naturally occuring gas. There's no question that it has been put into the atmosphere in increasing amounts by man. There's no question the earth has been heating up as combination of that carbon dioxide and solar flares. What I don't believe is we actually the have scientific knowledge to predict life as we know it will cease to exist in 100, 200 or 500 years. Even assuming a steady state increase in carbon dioxide doesn't give us such a short timeframe. I'm confident, or at least hopeful, that industrial processes invented and applied in the last 25 years, less carbon based pollution from power production with increasing amounts of solar, wind, and hydro sources, and the increase in electric vehicles and even cleaner internal combustion engines will lead to at least a leveling off in the rise of Co2. This doesn't even take into account other options like carbon sequestration. If you want to believe you have inherited a bleak and dystopian world, have at it, but that kind of thinking is not good for your mental health.
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