Comments by "Immudzen" (@Immudzen) on "Continuous Delivery" channel.

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  11. These tools are useful but you have to remember they are REALLY stupid. They have no understanding of what they are writing. They pass college level standardized exams but they fail at highschool and gradeschool exams. They can do certain common programming tasks but they routinely fail at anything less common and the reason for both is the same. These things heavily rely on the solution to the question being in the training data. It can mix and match things together but it doesn't understand. It solves all the problems on stack overflow BECAUSE they are on stack overflow. It can solve standardized exams because there are thousands of online study guides for them. If these models killed stack overflow the companies would have to save the data to continue to use it for training because they can't be trained without it. There have already been studies that if you train an LLM on the output of an LLM it gets dumber fairly rapidly because you feed too many mistakes back into the system. Most of coding is not very novel when it comes down to most of the individual functions and so these tools can help but they are not very good at coding larger pieces. I think we are going to rapidly hit a point where these models don't get much better than they are now. They will still be very useful and an be tuned for specific tasks but I don't think they will actually get much better. We have to come up with some fundamentally different kind of model. I will also note that this is common in AI models. Look at self-driving, that has basically stalled for close to 10 years because the remaining problems are so difficult to do. If you build your own classification or regression models you can see they quickly get close to right but that further improvements are incredibly difficult.
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