Comments by "Jim Luebke" (@jimluebke3869) on "OxfordUnion"
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Absolutely, his "dossier" has been completely debunked.
On the other hand, he does make one very good point. The Chinese navy would probably be sunk, in any attempt to take Taiwan. The one bright spot (for the West) in the war over Ukraine, has been a demonstration of how good American munitions really are.
Even if the Chinese amassed so great a fleet it would challenge the volume of conventional munitions America could deliver to clear a patch of ocean, the Chinese navy is still as vulnerable as any surface navy to nuclear attack. Using nuclear arms against mainland targets may or may not be frowned upon (it's hard to say); but using them against an invading force (whether seaborne or airborne) would be an entirely different story.
Chinese military troops boarding troop transports to invade Taiwan, would certainly never see their families again.
"But would Biden give the order?" you might ask. Well, considering the degree to which he's swung to the Right (note his emphasis on funding the police and protecting the border, in his State of the Union address) because if he doesn't there's no way he or the Democrats will ever win another election, I could very easily see him avoiding the embarrassment of losing Taiwan, by any means at his disposal. Kamala Harris would do so, just to "look tough".
China should probably just give up its ambitions to take Taiwan.
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