Comments by "Jim Luebke" (@jimluebke3869) on "The Russians Go Scorched Earth: Destroying a Critical Dam For Crimea || Peter Zeihan" video.
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@aaronbaker2186 Er, in fact we (the United States) insisted that Ukraine stay in the war despite the fact that they wanted to negotiate shortly after the war started.
I'm not in favor of fighting to the last Ukrainian, and that's where it looks like we're going, here. "It's always been Russia's war to lose", as Peter has said.
Fighting in the West can only have one outcome -- the benefit of the East. Disruptions in Germany's industrial exports benefit China. Russia selling petrochemicals East instead of West benefits China (and makes it less vulnerable to the piracy Zeihan goes on about). Russia draining the West's military coffers and boosting our war weariness makes Taiwan more likely to fall, not less.
And, to top it off, if Russia "ceases to exist as an entity", China will be able to gobble up half of Asia, securing them a lot of the raw materials they need to avoid any sting of Western sanctions.
I think that offering Russia the DonBas and Crimea is not great, but if we also offer them East Turkmenistan, Greater Mongolia, and Tibet for their sphere of influence, that could be a win-win situation.
Certainly better than the lose-lose we're in now.
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