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Jim Luebke
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Jim Luebke" (@jimluebke3869) on "Ask Peter Zeihan: Will Hypersonics Replace the Need for an Army?" video.
@linda1lee2 And I've done safety work (ISO 26262, etc) on automated cars. You have to drive (or accurately simulate the driving) of about 5 BILLION miles before you can have a 90% confidence that that individual build of the software with that individual hardware configuration is safer than a human driver. The cowboys in Silicon Valley, at least before I left, had nowhere near this level of simulation capability, nor did they have any intention of ever developing it as far as I could see -- which is one of the reasons I left.
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I'm picturing "The Last Russian" as a hunched, impossibly old man sitting on a dusty throne in a decrepit Kremlin with his finger on his nuclear button.
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Do you want to give them the bad news about how useless computer models are for predicting complex systems like the climate, or shall I?
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