Comments by "Tiago D\x27Agostini" (@tiagodagostini) on "Defense Politics Asia (DPA)" channel.

  1. I find funny that this is the FIRST ever plane crash where no one even raise a chance of mechanical failure :P
    44
  2. What I wonder is how much deception is in any of the public statements of both side, be Zelensky acceptance to stay and fight or Wargner complains about ammo. Both things realistically woudl be handled internally and there is no reason for public statement.
    41
  3. Impressive as how the last 7 days things changes so drastically after such a long stagnant period
    26
  4. Their plan is overload Russian logistics that cannot handle 200k prisioners! It is a genious plan!
    15
  5. Well at least Ukraine is not wasting lives on holding irrelevant spots anymore.
    15
  6.  @rainyvideos3684  Updated to modern times "when you are weak, complain in twitter"
    11
  7. At the start of the war I saw a historian say somethign that now makes sense. Russia never lost a war that they started very badly.
    11
  8. Where is the next STRONGHOLD of ukranian prepared defenses?
    9
  9. They will nto pull the plug so soon, USA is slow to do that type of stuff.
    8
  10. This war is much slower than WW2 although. No side can get so huge steps. Also I think Russia will limit itself to the dinpro river
    7
  11.  @command_unit7792  It is a reasonable way to give experience to the new recruits without risking them before they are really ready. It is kind of smart on their part.
    7
  12. Omg the updated are more and more frequent.. is the situation changing that fast?
    7
  13.  @tolis7411 No on the contrary, I jsut know much more of economy than the average delusional people in the internet. Russia has a very low total production. How much land you have is nearly irrelevant if you cannot make something of it. Canada is almost as big as Russia but has an even lower population so it is even further away from beign a superpower. China and USA are the ONLY superpowers because they can leverage their resources. CHina and USA if they had to face the current situation that Russia has they could tripple or more their production. A superpower must be able to heavily influence geopolitics in ALL CONTINENTS, both economically and military. That is the definition of a superpower. Russia is a LOCAL power. It has near zero presence in Oceania and Americas right now and It cannot do much economic leverage. Even Brazil is more powerful economically than Russia as of today.
    6
  14. HE gets more subscribers because of that. People prefer to listen to people that say what they want to listen. That happens in politics, war reports, debates about AI, debates about economy.. everything.
    6
  15.  @Donqixote11  Because they were pushing into an auto retreating front. Not that ukranians could not have pushed but it was fast because Russians chose to not fight that moment. Russians on my view were shortenign the front and creating a secure line (behind the main river) that their new recruits coudl hold and then reorganize all their experienced divisions once again. Now the situation is reversed because with the short valid front (the south front across the end of the river is not a true front since the bridges are all out) the Uckraine number advantage is not worth that much. Russians did huge istakes at the start of the war but now that they are not underestimating Ukraine's army, they became once again effective.
    5
  16.  @DefensePoliticsAsia  Not so simply. Brazilains love to hate their own army . Brazil still have half a Million active troops and 1.9 Million reservists that passed trough trianing in last 5 years. And enough infantry equipment for all. Brazil will not intervene because Lula SUPPORTS maduro, but we have the infantry and the artillery to do it. VEnezuela army is critically bad as well on something more important than weapons, .. FOOD. It is public that they have difficulty feeding their troops, so they send recruits in training back home before lunch time every day to save on food.
    5
  17. This is starting to move at speed of a normal war... what changed?
    5
  18.  @TrevorCrook-c1s  From where in hell you get those absurd fake figures? To say that America produces nothing compared to Russia is basically flat earth speech . Russia PEAK steel production, just before war started 6.8 Million tons per year. USA Current steel production (and not in a war economy ) 88 Million tons. America outproduces Russia in almost 9:1 ratio. On grains Russia record production is 153.8 million tonnes per year while USA is 360 million tons per year this year. When you go into more complex production the USA advantage is even larger.
    5
  19. As rule of thumb.. losses are usually half of what the other side says they are. Still 21K is not a low number
    4
  20. Damn.. that was a summary.
    4
  21. German experience with Russia is, "if we have time to retrieve our pants after shitting in time to retreat, it is a victory"
    4
  22. No it is not. It lacks economic power, population and productivity. RUssia GDP is simply too low, and GDP measures your capacity to leverage your resources. Also their population is too small to use their resources effectively. Conquering ukraine is one of the things they need since they expect to agregate a large batch of population.
    4
  23. The number of residents is not what matter. If Ukraine threw everything they had to hodl it and Russia takes it (and it is taking) it means they probably cannot stop Russia anywhere unless local terrain is VERY favorable for them. That causes morale damage and that is why backmut is important, because whoever loses will take serious morale dent.
    4
  24.  @mike7671  At the initial moment when they had massive advantage maybe, but now I think they want to lick their wounds. They might push a bit forther jsut to have margint o "return territories" to pretend they were magnanimous.
    4
  25. Een on the new accelerated war pace, there is no end in sight. Both sides would need to capture huge amount of land to get to a total victory.
    4
  26. Up to last year Brazil was very close to Israel, but that reversed completely this year.
    3
  27. It is a very high probability that they want to inflict a bloody retreat. It is cheaper for the Russians than a full encirclement like in Mariopol.
    3
  28. It makes harder. If a missile flies flat at moderate height it can be intercepted by Air defenses positioned in all its path. A ballistic approach result in the missile only goign low very close to the target. That means only an air defense exactly at its target can intercept it. That means that statistically they have many more chances to intercept a cruise missile than a ballistic missile like a Khinzal.
    3
  29. Because Odessa is large and they cannot have good logistics doing so. It would risk too much of their forces. After moskva was sunk they also lost most of their true naval power in the black sea.
    3
  30. But knowing when to retreat is very important. I know there is a political element for Ukraine leaders as well on not giving ground, but Bakmut is basically encircled and is wasting their men.
    3
  31.  @kartikeyatiwari2502 One could have said one of the most experienced armies in modern warfare , and that would be true as they had to face this Drone revolution directly and probably learned a lot by it, but people that consider them more powerful than US army really must be gamers because they fail to realize the most important thing in an army is A) logistics b) Logistics c)An absurd supply of money to fund it) .
    3
  32.  Onyen Bew  Germany DO NOT HAVE 1 thousand Tanks. Get real.
    3
  33.  @DefensePoliticsAsia In fact no. I work with this type of AI. When the image is very very uncommon it matches very little natural patterns it is easy to get AI generated. A burned baby is something I am SURE the Adversary network was never trained with. So As a specialist I can say, you CANNOT trust an adversary network to make such classification. Be very careful with you statement. I know you have good intention but you do not understand the math concepts required to say somethign with the strength of statement you said. No You CANNOT say that is or is NOT AI generated using an adversarial network. These networks are trained in tandem with a generative network and they are fed by a trueth knowing part if the image they were fed with was or was not generated by the generative network (After they have tried to guess) . They are fed with a mix of things from the generative Ai and a mix of real life images. THere is a natural bias that exists that whenever the network is fed with a something very weird, to guess it was AI is a statistically likely option that is true. The result is that these networks are only good at detecting AI works in fields where the images overlap in patterns and content with things they were fed upon their training. Again, NONE of these networks were fed with burned baby images.
    2
  34. Traditional media is simply worthless.
    2
  35. An accident is NOT an attack all NATO Knows that. NATO is not STUPID to accept such stupid argument that a drone that clearly missied target is an ATTACK, specially if it killed no one.
    2
  36. Seems this has been a very busy day for you,
    2
  37. Let me explain other things. This judge is in some form "controling" the supreme court for over 3 years. No one dares to speak against him. Some suspect he has dirties against other court members. He do judges his own cases. He accuse people of wanting to harm him and judged those very same people.. that is very weird There is NO LAW that support the fines for X for not blocking a member. In fact our constitution in article 220 paragraph second says explicitly that no censorship is allowed and No law can be created to promote it.
    2
  38. Their advantage is, Russia cannto use their massive artillery advantage into their OWN towns. So that is makign Russians forego their largest asset.
    2
  39.  @Jamespwickstromw  Not only that. Allies have Infantry superiority, Tank numeric superiority ( like 5 to 1), artillery superiority and LOGISTICS superiority. They had all possible tick boxes marked. AND, at same time the GErmans had their butts extremely hot with an equlaly impressive Soviet army that had absurd 13:1 tank superiority. IT was the perfect unstopable force.
    2
  40. Btw adding context ... That same Judge already Blocked Telegram in Brazil because telegram did not accept to bow down to his censorship demands.
    2
  41. No because no treaty consider an invasion when the other part invaded first.
    2
  42. Every single external estimate of losses of either side is always A) clueless B) an explicit lie. Not even the armies themselves have exact numbers, and people expect some random people can have this data? The intelligence agencies worldwide that have it keep it SECRET! Jsut check always both sides claim other side is losing 20 times more people than they are losing. That does NOT EXIST IN WAR!
    2
  43. WW1 had just at that period introduced the first tanks. It became obvious that just sittign would not work anymore because soon every country would be fielding them. So they started to go for the all or nothing.
    2
  44. Naaa money released take several weeks to reach battlefield.
    2
  45. I wonder if those things have a sound box playing terminator movie theme.
    2
  46. This bodes very bad for Ukraine. Why? If Zelenski cannot sit in a table and negotiate for such a SIMPLE matter, what is his chance of ever negotiating a peace deal? Zero! HE is a very bad negotiator, he fails to understand that negitiation implies you are not going to get ALL you want. Yes he is under extreme pressure, but I bet he has some people around him that can do it.
    2
  47. Lula is extremely in favor of Maduro, but he is an egomaniac and if he sees this as an opportunity for his name to be remembered as someoen taht avoided a war he will go for it.
    2
  48. I do not get what Ukraine is doing.. they held at all costs throwing the kitchen sink even for places irrelevant a few months ago, but they are now leaving important crossroads completely uncontested.
    2
  49.  @RetreatHell518  In fact he could not. They could have ensured peace 1 year before the war, but 1 month was too late.
    2
  50.  @jugganaut33  No need to be that much, if they can reach soem roads and cut some supply lines it would be enough damage to make continuation of Ukrainian offensive null and void..
    2
  51. well that is way smarter than the bang yourhead to the wall both sides did on other moments
    2
  52. In fact, I think it might be too late if they had not started it a couple of days ago.
    2
  53. I do not think that push will collapse Zarichne. BEcause the lakes make those lines ery dangerous to support any complex maneuvers as the area where supply lines passes will be too narrow and vulnerable
    2
  54. You cannot encircle when you are being pushed in all sub fronts. Even if one segment counter attack that never can result in an encirclements. You need at least 2 very strong counter attacks and this seems very unlikely right now. What coudl happen is a counter attack breaking an attempt to close the encirclement.
    2
  55. Well to be honest, all countries narraet their wars as winning,, until the very last possible moment. That is not his invention.
    2
  56. The worst part for Robotyne is that it has only 1 supply road and it is very close to Russian front. I think it will fall rather fast when the Russians simply decide to cut it out.
    2
  57.  @sergeiegorkin7873  Where in hell you take those data? Russia installed capacity is estimated t 67 Million tons, but they have not been able to use their installed capacity for almost 20 years (because economy reasons) Yes probably now during the war they managed to forcefully increase beyond the pure drmand of pre war status. But USA coudl increase as well if it were in a war like Russia (that is why I compered peace time values of both.)
    2
  58.  @TrevorCrook-c1s  I am not denying china is even larger base economy than US. I am just denying the guy that said Russia produces more than America. On gas and Oil USA when needed can also increase vastly its production, but their govenrment increases and reduces internal taxes on production to not expend their reserves without need (but in a war they would go to zero) I am basing on a few products? The more products you put the worse Russia will look compared to USA. China is a match for USA and that is why China IS a superpower, but Russia can only compete in a very few segments.
    2
  59.  @dad378  But that cannot change more than a small segment of the front. Also Russians also have ATGM missiles as the Ukranians had (that destroyed so many tanks). 61 tanks is nto even CLOSE to beign enough to PUSH anywhere, at most help in defense. They need hundreds of tanks
    2
  60.  @dad378  Because that is how battlefield work. You cannot pushy a front with 1 units every 5 km. If you put all tanks together you get a pinpoint advancement and suddenly your supplies are cut and your tanks are dead in water. If you spread them enough to have a safe front logistic wise you have very little pressure (remember russians do have a Crapton of any tank weapons, so much that htey already killed HUNDREDS of Ukranian and Polish tanks). The west tanks will only allow for an advance when they can muster a few hundred, 200 at bare MINIMUM.
    2
  61.  @jkl9984  there is also .. spies
    2
  62. I DOUBT they will send troops. Any govenrment that sends soldiers to die there is doomed to lose their elections.
    2
  63. Not necessarily a total collapse. They although might need to shorten the front. Earlier when Russians had not used conscripts it was advantageous to Ukraine to have a very wide front, nowadasy not so much.
    2
  64. Also I just watched more images. There was no building leveling. There was not even a n explosion in the building. The building BURNED. The videos are clear, the rocket exploded in mid air more than a hundred meters above the hospital. Then a few seconds later the debris starts to fall on the parking lot, the following fire engulfing the hospital. The whole argument of the hamas rockets being too small simply fails completely now.
    2
  65. Money implicate in jobs and inflation and other issues back at home. Those implicate in votes. That is what they care on, not the money.
    2
  66. At 31 min. I don't think you got his point. He is NOT talking on tactical level, but on strategic one. His point is now the US armroed divisions that pushed, but that the GErman forces were CRUSHED and de-organized before any direct contact. IF US army had tried to face Panzer Lehr with only their armored divisions the US forces would suffer HIGH casualities and the advance will be a bogged down. Panzer lehr had enough power and was specially prepared (the german division with highest AT weapons ratio, had 208 tanks (each US armored division had a bit over 120, except 3rd that had 220) and half of those were panthers) to face those armored divisions. His example is that US found a way to NOT face the strongest defenses the germans had available.
    2
  67. MIlitary are forged into thinking in chain of command. IT if very hard for a career military to speak up in public. They passed their whole lives doutrinated that this is wrong.
    1
  68. WW2 is bullshit. We will not have any conflict involvign directly 2 nuclear powers so we cannot have ww3.We can have a very big war, but you will Not see a total wra scenario involving europe, USA, Russia and CHina.
    1
  69. Liquified metal penetrators are not liquid due to high temperature but due to being in a state where too much kinetic energy had been impressed in them. That is simply a HEAT warhead. Heat warheads, contrary to name implies, do not cause damage with heat, but with the fact that liquified copper is incompressible so when it is movign forward the solids in front of it MUST be the ones that are displaced. You defeat that with spaced armor, that is exactly what the cages are already for.
    1
  70. Not so much, because it lower his position in front of several and that on long run has side effects. That can and will be used against him in moments of weakness.
    1
  71. They might send rear line logistics, at most.
    1
  72. naaa these are not analogic systems. Digital systems do not care for signal strenght.. if the sinal is strong enough it will be equalized in the input of its processors. They just need to have a close by transmitter and have broken the modulation of the transmitter.
    1
  73. Naaa.. China way is not that. They will make always deals, but they will NOT risk a nuclear exchange (and any ANY confrontation between nuclear powers has a high change of nuclear exchange) for a lake.
    1
  74. Lula needs totry to defuse the situation, because if war starts he will have to abandon his last powerful friend in south america, or he wil have riots here if he dares to suppott venezuela in a war.
    1
  75. POland historically is not so vulnerable to this because their internal power system , beign much newer is not that connected to the one sin rest of europe and USA.
    1
  76. I think he lacked experience. HE was not a career politician , so he was probably easy to manipulate by other elements.
    1
  77. This guy is probably a fake representative. A lower ranking dude with orders of pretending to be a higher position and give fake reports. No one that knows anything about these systems would believe they had perfect score against a tactical ballistic missile but coudl not hit a KH-22. In fact clearly the guy swapped everything. THe KH-22 and its whole family of missiels are cruise missiles, they do NOT fly ballsitic trajectories. THat is exactly what the Kh-47 does.
    1
  78. I partially disagree, there are a few humans that deserve to die, but they are usually very far from these positions, and usually giving interviews and taking profit in the war.
    1
  79.  @dad378  But also gave the Russians the time to remake their tactics and train their recruits properly. Now they might have too many soldiers that will bleed to leave the city, that will be risky as hell for ukraine.
    1
  80.  @stephenhartley2853  I mean if US had a BORDER with ukraine. US could not invade that fast Ukraine itself due to geography.
    1
  81.  user-nv1zh4vk9m  All these wars Russians started WELL. Now go read what I wrote, I know basic interpretation can be hard, but it helps if you practice a bit.
    1
  82. I think is accumulated anger from so many failed attempts at Vughledar.
    1
  83.  @g3koot100  Only for people that have no memory. Check how much Russia lsot tryign to take Vyghledar int he past in disastrous operations.
    1
  84. Any information on the number of troops of what brigades are involved in Kursk?
    1
  85.  @yomeroyomismo8212  Europe cannot restock, they are producing less than Ukraine is using.
    1
  86. No but in case it means Russians are not controlling their borders ( not necessarily that others are) They will create a scenario where Russia will move more troops of the main front to reserve to be ablet o answer to such incursions. That gains time for Ukraine
    1
  87. Here in Brazil we are so ashamed the direction our govenrment is pushing, to get closer with authoritarian groups
    1
  88. Omg this war moves so slowly. I do nto see any chance either side has enough manpower to finish this war with this turtle pacing.
    1
  89. I await to see the following days when media reports Russian are attacking New York and some americans take it too lierally and rush to the stores in panic.
    1
  90. Because western world has the issue that they prefer to listen to a channel telling the lies they want to hear. That is how western media twisted their audiecne.
    1
  91.  @msimon6808 The side with momentary disadvantage always is the faster to adapt (it is human nature).
    1
  92.  @ButlerProspect  That means less than you think They need those reserves to stay in reserves to keep their currency value. US do not need that since their currency being main currency in world. One cannot ever compare US economy with other countries under the same rules exactly because of that. If this were a total war for US they could outproduce Russia, but US politicians do not really care for the war. They care for their own re-ellections.
    1
  93. Well that would be the very objective of such an offensive. To make Russians move their troops from other fronts
    1
  94. Well the difference is that at day 1 the russians were also doing badly.. but seems the russians learned more about their mistakes than the Ukraine/NATO alliance.
    1
  95. Not so simple... first that is hardlya hospital compound, is a medium sized building, and hamas controls all buildings. It would be easy to have explosive preemptively planted there. It is impossible for anyone from outside to know at this point what really happens.. Hamas has only one chance in this conflict that is damage Israel image, for that reason alone I do beleive it is very likely that hamas can very well explode their own hospitals (they are the terrorists that clearly have no problem at all with that )
    1
  96.  @Awaken2067833758 When they still have their full fuel load they can easily blow up a building (specially these buildings that are very low construction quality) . We will not know any truth if both sides do not allow international observes to check the site.
    1
  97.  @Awaken2067833758  Then watch the video of the rocket in case. It took off clearly from behind the hosptial and had its engine still burnign when it exploded over the hospital .. few secodns later explosion exactly udnerneath it... and ahuge fire starts. I am really unsure these rockets are solid propelant. Allt he trails we see are too long to be from a solid propelant of low tech.
    1
  98.  @freedomisdead9638  I think you are the one day dreaming. Ukraine has zero use for money. The package must be used to cover weapons and ammo in USA and Europe and THOSe must be sent. Money is eay to move.. but money do not kill tanks or artillery.
    1
  99. They can still extract a lot of those soldiers .. and the repositioning of Russian army will buy them a few weeks on other fronts.
    1
  100.  @Levon_RnD  Amateurs think in troops.. professionals think about logistics, logistic logistics. They do need to redirect logistics and that is MUCH more important than most peopel think.
    1
  101.  @BenJ2020  The pictures of French and British vehicles burning maybe?
    1
  102. But that is standard US operation. They always have 5 carriers deployed 1 in reserve and 6 in maintenance /refit routine. That is exactly their normal schedule. The only difference is that the one that usually is in the Persian Gulf it at the mediterrean , and that has been true since Russian invasion of Ukraine.
    1
  103. Pretty much. A country under attack on its own borders always goes into total war pretty much. There is no other option. You might not have total martial law, as in the civic courts still work, but the economy is 99% in total war mode.
    1
  104. If you need help translating anything from portuguese, just ask.
    1
  105. Because they believe in the long run will be profitable. For some countries, to be remembered as reliable ally by USA can bring much more money in future than these costs. PRoblem is that it is a bet, sometimes do not work.
    1
  106. Well a fight between NATO and Russian troops would always end in nuclera war. Both sides know that.
    1
  107. But if they do not threaten to gain terrain there is zero reason for Ukraine to do it. So Russians do need to gain terrain in areas that are less defended if they want to make the war move.
    1
  108.  @esense9602  Brasil already have access to the same reserves in the border with Guiana.
    1
  109. Well, they are working bibertarian countries. They are much more worth of defending than some other Nato members that are pseudo dictatorships
    1
  110. That is why Bakhmut is important for the Russian. Not the city but the intersection of roads and railroads there. COntrolling that single place makes Ukraine's logistic much harder. Taking a single city they can have more imapct than taking 10 times that area anywhere else.
    1
  111. You do not FIGHT a war that you have zero chance to win and you will only end in a worse situation. PA knows it, they are not idiots and they are trying to achieve the lesser of 2 evils. That is called being the adult in the room. Life is not fair, but trying to go against impossible odds do not change anything and just ends up with innocent people dead. The whose "prision" condition now will only get worse. Yes there is some lack of focus of west to improve the conditions of that region (that would be the way for peace, helping to develop an economy so both sides can coexist), but random rockets into cities is just terror and terror is juveline stupidity personified.
    1
  112. Can be a non PR stuff. Not to take territory but to force Russians to react and therefore delay their pushes on other areas. THat is classical warfare strategy when you need to retreat someehwhere else but is too crippled to do it in an organized form without the enemy exploiting it.
    1
  113.  @ЕвгенийПершин-е1ь  While the vehicles are very likely lost they are not that deep that they cannot do a fighting retreat if the Ukranians have half as many men in the rear to help them keep the corridor open. It is feasible. But the logner they keep this.. the riskier it gets.
    1
  114. IT can still be net positive. IF they lose 500 soldiers in kursk to aleviate pressure on other fronts and safe more than500 on other fronts is still a net positive for them. But it is risky
    1
  115. Wonder if these villages and towns that are beign conquered after aadvika are in less destroyed state than the previous ones. So sadto see cities destroyed.
    1
  116. In fact the opposite. That is the tactic that UK used to force German population to overthrown GErman empire govenrment in WW1.
    1
  117. CNN is super lefitist, so likely Trump won by even more int heir own polls
    1
  118. because they expected them in one place and not in other. Also small drones could be launched from inside Russia by "civilians". Not sayign that is for sure what happened, but it is not soo fishy when you consider the alternatives.
    1
  119. aaa it is a pendulum.. Russian mistakes gave the Ukrainians the initiative last semester... not it reverts.. normal pendulum of war .. one side make mistakes, other capitalize on it.
    1
  120. They are just being manipulated, their leaders live richly in other coutnries. That is sad.
    1
  121. LIES! They have found a NOTE, not a decree. That was for emergency state, not a coup requestign for the congres sto ORCE a review of the elllection procedures. STOP SPREADING LIES
    1
  122.  @StraussBR  LIES. The state of exception gives control of the country to the CONGRESS! STOp psreading GLobo and MOraes laies!
    1
  123. Stop spreading lies. You are a censorship supporter, an enemy of freedom!
    1
  124. Well I saw an specialist last year say he was worried, because Russia never won a war that they started well, but they also never ever lost a war that they started with a massive blunder.
    1
  125. It does not matter if it is in a war or not. A country that arrest ANYONE for their speech, is NOT a democracy. Not sayign Russians invasion is right or that they do not have equivalent or even worse transgressions, just that liberty of expression is unegotiable to be a democracy.
    1
  126.  @spider6660  And a significant part of that is by plane. China exports are usually manufactured stuff. China imports are usually too ehavy to go by plane on other hand.
    1
  127. I would say is more Europe's plan than USA. USA current administration only went along.
    1
  128. Counter argument, no crater in the center of the blast, so it is not a free fall bomb and ISrael uses only plane dropped bombs in urban areas. Second, those hamas rockets are 4 meters long (the ones with long range) if they simply crash with fuel load they have more than 1 hundred KG of explosive on them...
    1
  129.  @nuurulbasarmohdbaki6046 Military forum? Check top of your screen LOGO, it is called youtube.. .not a military forum. Second if you think economics are not critical for war, then you are simply a fool.
    1
  130.  @kartikeyatiwari2502  Soviet union won with a massive economic help of USA. And germany was fighting USA, UK and SU. Churchil was sure they woudl win the wa when USA got itno it not because of US armed forces but because of US economics. There is a reason for them term sinews of war to exit.
    1
  131. Because the war is against NATO. Ukraine is suplying only the blood, every ounce of the rest comes from EU and USA. That puts the situation in a much closer matchup
    1
  132. IF that was the purpose they failed hard, because the attack agaisnt israel was so violent and random (targeting civilians) and kidnapping of children and woman that world view willb e like 9/11, they will accept anything short of a nuke.
    1
  133. ONe was already shceduled for the gulf in the following week,t hat one was completely within normality.
    1
  134.  @DefensePoliticsAsia The carrier is obviously there as political message to Iran.
    1
  135. Yes, just pointing that one can quite quickly be diverted. The Ford although I wonder if it was not on some sort of standby for black sea in case needed for the Ukraine war (in case it slipped into NATO)  @simonrb1942 
    1
  136.  @DaFinkingOrk  The carrier is there for 1) political message 2) air defense in case other coutrnies enter the fray (israel air defenses were severely depleated) The secodn carrier likely will not stop in the mediterran, it will go on and move into the Gulf to be a very very clear deterrent to Iran.
    1
  137. Well it does give them a tad more leverage in a deal
    1
  138. An israeli bomb do not hot the parking lot BY the house and there is no penetration crater. You can be sure that was very very unlikely a plane dropped bomb simply because of that. Also the filming of the explosion was done by a cell phone, that " conveniently was in middle of night filming into the dark horizon as if waiting something to explode". Highly suspicious I would say. Notice ISrael claim is nto tht the rocket HIT the hospital but that it exploded when it was to be launched from there. There are too many variables now, but one thing I know, israel air force would not miss the main buildign by several meters if they wanted to hit the building with something.
    1
  139. When it started to collapse it surely was faster than any othr city in this war.
    1
  140. Robotyne as all other locations where alrge battles happened, is front gate for groups of road crossings.
    1
  141. No. Speaking in english is a clear message. He only cares for USA opinion
    1
  142. Well Russia is in a mobilization. If USA felt threatened and needed to mobilize. They can pass 1 million... issue is.. this would trigger Chian involvement on any conflict where USA mobilizes fully
    1
  143. IFV of no kind will resit an anti tank weapon. You can have the most advanced bullet proof vest you want, when a 30mm roudn hits you you vaporize. IT is the same thing.
    1
  144.  @HBToastedAlmond  Because it undermines Ukranian government. IF the Ukranian volunteers start to think they are dieign because of the government not because of Russia, that is when coup happen.
    1
  145.  @cameronspence4977  You realize, even my western sources, Russian Artillery outguns Ukraine's at 5:1 ?
    1
  146. Not impossible ( CIWS systems at the point of impact can do it) but the defense system must be in the perfect position at the perfect time... so very unlikely .
    1
  147.  @MartinMartinX  In this scenario yes, but if you fire at a war ship fleet you will have a dozen CIWS at the very target. THsoe scenarios are not so simple even for this missile.
    1
  148.  @wallingnaga6563  No, if it is commign to the same ship the CIWS is in it is good for that. Simple geometry. All modern CIWS are made with modern hypersonic ASM in mind at least for defense of the very ship it is installed
    1
  149. Vulhedar at least seems so. Russians usually do not quit their pushes so fast if they are for real ( at least they never did before in the war)
    1
  150. I heard spinning is a nice trick!
    1