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Comments by "" (@sirtra) on "Trump is gaining ground, but can we believe the polls? | Planet America" video.
They should only play for one side? The one you like? 🤔
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Sportsbet is showing odds of: Donald Trump 1.67 Kamala Harris 2.25 Imma go out on a limb here and say the polls are wrong, he's far more in the lead than the polls suggest 😂
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@brontewcat betting odds are more reliable than "random sample" polls and improve as election day gets closer
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@espeka1207 betfair has the same odds and it's a betting brokerage firm (they match up bets between punters and simply take a cut - when you place a bet those odds are locked in at the time of the bet) Trump 1.67 ($57772) Harris 2.5 ($9323) There is no such thing as "raw odds" when it comes to elections. Betting odds are more reliable than polls as money is involved - talk is cheap, but putting your money where your mouth is costs.
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@espeka1207 b3tfair has the same odds and it's a brokerage firm (they match up b3ts between punters and simply take a cut - when you place a b3t those odds are locked in at the time of the b3t) T 1.67 H 2.5 There is no such thing as "raw odds" when it comes to elections. B3tting odds are more reliable than polls as money is involved - talk is cheap, but putting your money where your mouth is costs. (Had to mangle this to get past the nanny cens0r bot)
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@espeka1207 b3tfair has the same odds and it's brokerage T 1.67 H 2.5 There is no such thing as "raw odds" when it comes to elections.
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@espeka1207 near identical odds on betfair which is brokerage and odds are locked in at the time it's placed 1.67 vs 2.5
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@espeka1207 sportbet are adjusted per the total pool, b3tf4air is brokerage and near identical odds (i'd give more info but the sensor bot keeps removing)
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@espeka1207 same on betfair which isn't calculated on the total prize pool like a typical bookie
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@AZ2PM those men want to win money, placing money on Harris doesn't reflect how much of a man you are nor how you're going to vote
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@Avogadros_number reliability is based on history not statistical modelling and probabilities. No i have never taken a "statistics class" and neither have you. Prove me wrong.
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@WithTheDawn correct on the last bit, what ppl are willing to put their money behind is an indicator of their true sentiment and thoughts. To dispell any myths about which political leaning the ppl betting have skewing things, here are the odds for "popular vote winner" atm: Kamala Harris 1.36 Donald Trump 3.00 Yes, there is a number of different things you can bet on for the upcoming US election, not just the winner.
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