Comments by "niblet112" (@niblet112) on "Ukraine: Russia 'fleeing' Kherson as its civilians reveal brutality" video.
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@jamescanada1433 the latest from Russia is a long read. Will you read it I wonder….
It's going to be a tough winter for Ukraine.
On the military level, the sudden mass appearance of the Lancets I think is a good indicator of a number of things, of course, nothing can be said for certain. But, let's start from the assumption that Russian use of kamikaze drones, and more tactical "guided" munitions until recently were limited. There were munitions of a more strategic nature (ballistic and cruise missiles) but not at battlefield level, yes of course there were exceptions but many of these were for example laser guided munitions such as the Krasnopol, which has also seen an increase in use.
Focusing again on the Lancet, we can only point to a number of reasons that have facilitated its more widespread use, without knowing which of these reasons is the determining factor, probably a combination of these.
1 - Adaptation of the Russian industry, finally we can speak of an adaptation of the Russian industry to the manufacture of products desired by the soldiers, this goes beyond increasing the production of existing products such as the T-90M but products like the Lancet that a year ago had little adoption, are entering mass production, in the same way, it is said that the new version of the Lancet has been improved with more explosive charge, autonomy and quieter engine. This increase in the availability of the product is reflected in a simple fact, the videos that we are receiving of the weapon are from very varied geographical areas, this means that the industry is being able to equip different units at the same time with the weapon, it is not a prototype weapon, but an ammunition that is being extended, this is very positive.
2-Problems of the Ukrainian anti-aircraft, the Lancet is part of a network, it does not operate alone, as we see, the Lancet is recorded by another drone, this other drone is in charge of locating the target and guiding the Lancet to the area, therefore the industry is being able not only to put the Lancet at the disposal of many units, but of the whole system (probably Orlan and Orion drones). This in turn speaks very badly of the state of Ukrainian air defences, we don't know why and a number of factors will be at play: On the one hand we have the Russian SEAD campaign, although far from spectacular as such a NATO campaign would be, it is taking its toll, we see S-300s, Buk, Strela being destroyed. There is talk of a shortage of anti-aircraft ammunition as well. The attack on mixed and military infrastructure on a large scale in terms of the number of targets attacked all over the Ukrainian geography means that the Ukrainian air defence, in addition to being weaker because of the above, has to be extended to more points, probably at the cost of weakening the air cover on the front and in the near rear, which is where the Lancet operates.
This, as I said, is indicated by the use of drones well inside the Ukrainian lines, these drones are not civilian quadcopters, but drones that should be intercepted by Ukrainian AA systems with relative ease as was seen months ago when the Ukrainian AA network of some 300 S-300 launchers was operational, this is not happening. There is a difference between a small drone, giving coordinates to an M777 to attack a tank for example, to a drone going several km behind the front line and guiding another drone to a Grad launcher, an M777, a Krab, etc.
3 - It is a difficult problem for Ukraine to solve, when the "Geran" appeared Zelensky and others, they already showed that Ukraine really had no option to counter this threat, because of what was explained before, it is the same with the Lancet. If we look at NATO, it was never a priority to create land-based AA systems, and the ones that were created were not wonders either. We can take the example of the Patriots, many of them the latest models (the US will almost certainly not allow these to be sent to the UA) and as in Arabia they were unable to stop Iranian missiles and drones, against Russian weapons this will be even worse. That is, even if AAs are delivered they will not be 100% effective, and more importantly, they will not be delivered in sufficient numbers.
It is not just a matter of half-protecting a dozen or so cities, factories, infrastructure points. But you also have to cover the skies over a front line of a THOUSAND kilometres ...
The only option for Ukraine is to simply keep taking these "straight blows to the face".
4 - Industrial and economic warfare, this war is no longer a surgical operation, that has been clear for half a year. Economies of scale play their role, Russia is fighting a war of survival, a resource rich country with clear and direct involvement (I think it is obvious), NATO countries cannot say this. Yes, the Ukrainian army was defeated months ago, Ukraine has received the entire size of its GDP in arms, but the countries that arm it are not at war nor are their societies, what I mean is seen in America. Neither the republicans as a party nor the democrat voters are interested in continuing to throw BILLIONS at this. While a Geran costs a few thousand an IRIS-T or a Patriot which may or may not shoot it down, cost hundreds of thousands, in a direct war, it would make sense to pay this price, but as you can see "Ukrainian fatigue" is taking its toll on western societies....
Let's keep in mind that a conservative estimate does not give that at least 20% of the M777s delivered to Ukraine have already been destroyed, it is an expensive party ...
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@jamescanada1433 read this to my friend. This is what the conflict is really about.
Russia, China, and many other non-NATO nations, have been pushing for a UN investigation into the US/Ukrainian biological activity uncovered by the Russian Special Military Operation.
This did not happen overnight. This has been ongoing since the airstrikes on February 24th. Russia have been presenting their massive case to the UN. Evidence of bioweapon production, human experimentation, negligent handling of humanity ending pathogens, and more.
Russia presents final draft to the UNSC on US violations of the BTWC.
An absolutely stunning accumulation of all the evidence gathered from the Special Military Operation in Ukraine.
Hunter Biden’s Metabiota, Black and Veatch, negligence of deadly pathogens, drones equipped with aerosol canisters to disperse airborne water particles containing pathogens, aerial release of infected mosquito armies.
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