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knoll
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "knoll" (@knoll9812) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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@gordonwardhaugh8266 I'm a republican and I'm voting for biden.
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The scary thing is that trump is talking about withdrawing support from south Korea.
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Cancelling things is easy.
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@actionjksn trump had a trillion dollar tax cut which added straight to debt. 90 percent went to millionaire and will be payed back by working class and middle class. Note that is one trillion every year. Has ben. Running for seven years which is 7 trillion of debt.
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Australian wheat is not highly productive but they cultivate a large area.
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@k.v.7681 Ukraine is moving in right direction with corruption. Main reason Zelensky and so many new representatives were elected.
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Ireland is climbing the value tree. They are among mist productive and high earners in Europe.
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Not that different. French are British are similar. More so than french and east Europeans. @jim-es8qk
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Wasn't aware of huge illegal immigrants from Canada
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@BernhardSchwarz-xs8kp opinion not fact.
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There were not and are not huge opportunities. Medium sized country that can't cut better deals than the EU. Happy to hear specifics of opportunities. UK is high spending social country similar to most of Europe and different to most of world. America doesn't need a deal. China is a risk of being a bad ally. Africa? Not a huge fan of EU but in is better than out.
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Sparse population doesn't justify roads. Grain us heavy and trains make sense even in north America
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Peter is wrong about financial centre declining. They are still the main financial centre for Europe. I remember Brexit campaign going on about how the Europeans had it in for uk. If this was true they would have closed down the eurobond market and really hurt uk. They realised that better to work with some thing that benefits all.
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@ronarnett4811 depends on the opponent. Korea is too small to fight of china and North Korea. Therefore result would be another democracy gone and china much richer and more powerful. Korea already spends a lot on defense and is not shirking their responsibility. Another way of looking at it is when USA fights china they want Korea as allies instead of being on the other side. If course none of this matters if USA wants to go completely isolationist. Cheers
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Last year Ukraine was on the front foot since then support has been cut and ukrayis hanging in there. Double last year's support and Ukraine will make goid progress Currently they lack ammunition and completely outmatched in the air.
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Mongols expanded until they reached end of grassland
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Should be possible to preserve some of the original country side. Green ribbons . You can develope beyond those ribbons. Everybody should be within a few miles of nature
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Except more oil being pumpnie than under Trump
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@sickbozo8152 they are the biggest European contributor. They are slow and then then they deliver. Methodical and German.
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@homerj806 mist drones are plastic and foam and hard to detect Normally metal is needed when you get big and heavy. New drones may be visible. However if they cause Sam's to fly that is good.
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Europe ship has sailed. Nothing to discuss in this election. I don't feel that optimistic about UK. Economic slide for a decade. Not a lot you can do to fix. There is little room for manoeuvre. Best you can hope is that the government stops making major mistakes And starts reskilling the workforce
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F16s needed to remove Russian gbad, artillery and radar. Needed so that Ukrainians can advance. Problem is that this needs years of training. Even NATO would find taking out russian gbad a major challenge.
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Belarus will go west eventually. The last election the west parties won and military stepped in. Baltic states with Belarus to the south are not so isolated
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Bottleneck in military terms
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Only if you do not pay the license. Is an anti theft switch and sanctions switch. More of the world is now doing this as fed up with Chinese theft There are advantages to playing nice.
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@extrememiami not really.within a year then allies would be making more and better jets. One more year for Germans. In meantime Russia keeps hammering away
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Price war would ve major imoact on Ukraine war. Russians already reducing treasure chest thus will make ut hapoen faster.
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They are behind the wave but close enough to be competitive in equipment. Their weakness is stuff that requires advanced tech and software.
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Real person
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In 2016 USA withdrew almost completely. Provided carte blanche to Putin.
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Huge deal
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Comment based on something you don't know. Weak.
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Less likely than a lightning strike. Average of one fatality a year for centuries
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I think it is more that France did not transition completely as in UK. In UK it is empty outside if towns in France large fraction remaining in the country
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Liked Rogan as average Joe. However he is no longer keeping an open mind which was his strong point. Trump cannot be criticisd a little. @EXTENDEDWARRANT
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If china doesn't want war they should play nice.
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Doge job is not efficiency. It is providing soundbites to trump.
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@wdmoor6872 apart from medical opinion I think objective and based on facts. Anything specific ?
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@extrememiami agree USA needs to go soft and Cuban will not be able to stay the same with people accessing the west. Reward good behaviour and not bad. Next generation of Cuban politicians are key. Lins the old guard of line Gorbachev.
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Saudi is biggest economy and influencer because if oil wealth. Without oil wealth it doesn't have much. Aramco is successful but Saudi has huge numbers of expat experts. Agree that USA as disrupter is crazy. Why would USA disrupt the world.
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Europe had already had a winter of huge energy prices. Didn't crack
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Politically difficult but economically rational would be to let Russian crude back on the market. The volume would increase and the price would drop. This would cut Russian profit. Europe could pay a 20£ per barrel tax which could go straight to Ukraine . This would knock that amount of the price that Russia would get
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Israel
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There are a lot of things Peter skated over. However interesting thought exercise. Pathway would be blue Texas in a dozen years which is pissibl. This removes Florida leverage.
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Baltic states already Europe in their heads.
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The Saudis tried to break the shale industry and half succeeded.they bankrupted lots of companies. However when prices rose afterwards shake production started again with new companies.saudi grip is broken.
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Talks are early days. Mainly about Russia withdrawing to one part of country without further violence. Apart from that Russia would have to offer huge amount to get to stay. Maybe a transit port for military suppliesvwouldvbevnax.
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For optics Guyana should continue to be supported by UK. UK may need backup. Maybe other Europe country. Europe would love Guyana oil to replace Russian oil. @squireson
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@anthonyml7 SoundCloud deadlock for another forty years then.
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@TheVeritas2100 this is more a hatchet job than factual m EU dies not have more bureau rats than USA. Vast majority of soendinysnd tax raising in ei is with individual countries. EU has much less power than anti EU people portray. USA has finananciynechanusmsbfir transfers from rich to poor states itherwydollar would rip apart. Normally federal spending ysuallyin military.
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