Comments by "knoll" (@knoll9812) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Unlikely Turkey does not want to risk shooting war. Expect they will go large on diplomatic front Note turkey needs wheat and oils Possible that Russia will reinstate deal after display of force. Russia needs to export wheat. Russian propaganda difficult when africans start to starve. A high percentage if Ukraine eheat goes to near famibe countries. P.s. china imports that grain. Can survive without but annoyed
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  2. Demographically the developing nations in east asian are ok. They are in a good place if they play there cards right.
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  3. ​ @maxpower3990 historically Chinese and grabbed by Russia. Also depends how much they grab Siberia us resource rich.
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  4. Partial truth complete lie. He predicted trump to lose long time before election. Nearer to election he said too close to call He under estimated democrats ability to scee up. Senile man and then back woman. I have nothing against women but give million Americans voters won't vote for one.
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  5. Japanese got rich before they stop breeding. Many countries have lost the race to get rich before they got old
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  6. ​ @plau2007 the Scandinavian system is that people without children subsidise bringing up children.
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  7. What was Trump achievement after his term. A lot more hate and divisiveness. A trillion more debt. More conservative judges That's about it. Didn't even build the wall.
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  8. Information is public.however you have to do the work and read long reports. This is what his researchers do. Peter does a lot of opinion based on basic facts.
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  9. Saudi problem is that they have a growing population that expects a high salary but without effort or work
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  10. Troll number 5 Division
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  11. You sound tired. That's it?
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  12. ​ @kaythegardener there will be growth in those states. Just nut in central Appalachia
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  13. I don't understand why training didn't start a year ago. Training without committing to supplying pkanes would nit gave been an escalation.
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  14. I think the Gaza is not happening. I think the sad thing is that there is potential for Lebanon and Syria to become more normal. However Israel has already bombed both countries and gas iccupymire if Syria and told Syria to draw back for escfrom it's own country.
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  15. It didn't. World has diversified in last decade.
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  16. Trump blustered but actually did little in his term. A trillion dollar tax cut mostly to his friends. Getting conservative judges elected Outside that high publicity but little achievement. Didn't change China trade. Didn't cause manufacturing jobs to cone home Didn't cause mines to open
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  17. Ho chi minh meant cus after they liberated Vietnam from Japan. Offered an alliance to USA. Via recommended and USA government went other way. Vietnam in the fifties could have been like Yugoslavia. Suspicious of China and Russia.
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  18. ​ @44magg your heRi g was myth that has been disproved. Funny since trump is the one who loses almost all his staff who then campaign against him.
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  19. Awful choice Can barely survive when total air dominance in place. No military wants the A10 but beloved if populace and crowd pleasi g politicians
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  20. Is peter z on the run?
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  21. Shrinking birthrate is more difficult. They have to look after the elderly. A lot if countries coukd cope eith liwer population if the reduction eas at all ages and not not just the young
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  22. ​ @qdav5 Russia will be loath to deploy s5000 as it will give west chance to analyse his it works.
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  23. He didn't say that. He said trump is declining. Biden has already declined. Biden not running.
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  24. Choice between trump and democrat party
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  25. Possible that it would not be an all out war. China would like a short taisN war with us stayyout. China totally implodes if west stops imports. Chins would implode if west dropped imports by only 20%. Xiaoping knew this. Xi should know this but no guarantee he won't do something stupid. Putin did the stupid thing. The best argument for supporting Ukraine is to lower risk of xi having a go.
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  26. ​ @asoothingsound1538 via strategically in effective for decades. Always propping up the wrong guys so that the whole country hates. To be honest CIA advice overruled by politicians. E.g. ho chi minh offered via to become USA ally in 1945. Overruled by Washington Overthrew democracy in Iran and replaced with Shah who became hated and led to ayatollahs.
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