Comments by "knoll" (@knoll9812) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Azerbaijan has oil and is wealthy. They can buy arms and allies
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  2. Strange as it seems. USA is set up to refine Venezuela oil and export cracked oil to refinery in Europe.
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  3. Still not self sufficient. Problem is that jobs go to Toadies and not competent . Saudi now has 18 million people mostly unemployed. Many are unqualified and only accept execyjobs.
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  4. ​ @TheLocoUnion oil companies hav evlobbied hard to sell us oil oversea instead of keeping USA energy secure. UK exported oil wealth to maximize profig an. Now had to import most of energy. Think ov oil in the ground as strategic reserves
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  5.  @TheLocoUnion  Cheers
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  6. ​ @3idraven714 ththe middle class will need t have more disposable. Just like last time.
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  7. ​ @tiagoramalhais5493 a clever democrat wants trump running against right leaning democrat
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  8. Before Trump a given ..
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  9. More sense than Greeks
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  10. Main holdup for aid is faction of republicans. Not a biden thing.
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  11. ​ @Milkman740 almost no country can spend 5%on miliyand not go bankrupt. 5% us a pick a fight number. Europe spending 2% overall which was always the ,2024 target. There will a lag before Europe up to strength but that is not a budget thing. Europe can defeat Russia at current spending. French and UK are much bigger budgets than Russia. Also Ukraine has destryhalf the armour If Ukraine was giving 0.5% of GDP spending they would cripple Russian army . This would be cheaper than massively spending on Europe military.
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  12. Maga policy I'm big you're small.
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  13. McGregor has been wrong so many times that his speculation is not trusted. Ukraine is winning the war. However they are winning slowly and it will take years. No huge breakthroughs. The major risk to Ukraine is that the west stops providing supplies. Economically it makes sense for the Ukrainians to destroy the Russian army at relatively low cost. Politically not popular if it drags on
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  14. There may be a recruitment problem when young people don't believe in what country gas done. They may think that iraq and Afghanistan were not good wars for US to fight
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  15. Pretty sure he said difficult and they would have to build refineries. America refinery is aimed at Caribbean and predates shale oil.
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  16. ​@oceanlikactuaeteachr Geography not to bad. Iraq and Lebanon not major threat. Israel hoping will back off if peace signed. Turkey with hatred of Kurds big problem.
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  17. ​ @worndown8280 Argentina has everything it needs to be prosperous apart from decent governance.
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  18. Maybe a single country. However it you tariff mist of the world they will trade more together and less with America. America will still buy Europe stuff even at 25%, tariff. I think Europe should zero tariff American cars as Europe won't buy anyway. What trump is not saying is that LL volume Europe models are made in USA.
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  19. Not labour. Highly technical with huge scientific education. Part of restoring is having smart hard working people working in engineering. For the last few decades it made more personal sense to drop engineering and work in finance and real estate. Much better paid and less risk of your job going to China
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  20. ​ @fyrchmyrddin1937 Syria was were the west started to gather data on s400
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  21. Took a swing at Americans who want to cut. Explained why trump will not do. That is a reasonable argument
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  22. Changing refinery from sour to sweet us anout a third cost of new. Thr surrounding expensive infrastructure still in place.
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  23. The editors used to have some bpower and now they have to do what owners say.
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  24. ​ @phueal however buden knew enough politics to get stuff done.
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  25. ​ @michaeldowson6988 not rare but not common. States with them prosper. States without do not.
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  26. Best to read disinterested media.france 24 is good because it is news they don't have a propaganda angle
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  27. Peter?
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  28. Middle east basically peaceful for centuries. After ww1 french and England got involved and later USA. Been chaos ever since.
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  29. ​ @robertpatrick3350 fair comment. There is a genuine problem with tauryin that it needs Germans to operayehich us a escalation. Atacms can be used with us operators
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  30. Troll
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  31. Syrians dint have the same reason to ve a major enemy if Israel and particularly hamas. Palestinians have been displaced and syruans haven't.
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  32. Troll number 4 Spread division
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  33. ​ @glenarthur8047 i have and not through the YouTube prism
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  34. Trump story was entertaining. Hard to see any strategy or plan or desired outcome from trump engagement with NK. Both guys played to domestic audience
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  35. Without the turkey part as not close enough. Eastern Europe wants to be a sronger bloc within NATO. Turkey is goid as nTo ally but peripheral to easyen Europe. Also not a good fit in that turkey is a big guy beating little guys
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  36. The dirty refiners make money.
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  37. Or maybe he did some research and yomc and interesting story. None of this is deep secret stuff. His analysis is his own.
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  38. Difficult to see germany going militaristic in the medium term. In the oast Germany was onlt one generation away from the last war. Germany is now Three generations away from war. In the short term russia is looking at a stronger poland and Germany. Another own goal by the little Russian fella.
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  39. A factory that can not produce the ultra tech chips. This is going to hurt in the next gen of intelligent drone swarms
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  40. But you love it
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  41. Bridge between UK and USA is reduced. Bridge UK to Europe is increased. Bridge USA to Europe is increased.
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  42. Except unlikely Harris will be retired for health reasons
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  43. US is happy to work with non democratic countries. Once Cuba integrates with America the Cuban government will dissolve. May take a few decades. End result is democracy. USA can grant some trade for some concessions. Justice system. Small businesses. Cubansccan get prosperous outside nation use industry Bit like China. National industry is failed. Private industry succeeding.
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  44. Not correct. Republican vote has got from very racially divided to slightly less racially divided.
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  45. The major problem ud that pemex run as s political entity not an oil company. Slso ysed as piggy bank. Government issue. Norway does well because well governed.
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  46. ​ @echomande4395 china does not have white water navy. Indian definitely moving in that direction
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  47. Not about USA about Turkey.
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  48. Reality us that only one poolof oil being used. If India buys oil from Russia is just means other couyRe buying elsewhere.
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  49. Wrong Chin depends on USA market. Without that it folds. USA depends on China less and can be substituted.
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  50. Trump doesn't have axe big spending. He can cut populist targets. He is comfortable with national debt jumping
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