Comments by "Voryn Rosethorn" (@vorynrosethorn903) on "How Would WW3 Be Fought?" video.

  1. Several things, democracy is a political system that tends very strongly to stop wars from being moderated, it is unlikely that there will be several war simply because democracies tend to fight total wars even though they are totally toothless during peace deal and have such a bad system of command (e.g. Politicians being allowed anywhere near military strategy) that they are fortunate that all of their enemies to date have been massively incompetent, if modern states ever had to deal with a Napoleon they would be crushed. Xi is clearly incompetent but I have to wonder when he will have an accident due to covid, in the Chinese system face is paramount this is why the old imperial system was constructed so that advisers would be responsible for mistakes and pay for them, this is one of the biggest class with the communist system in China, he could just kill lots of people to distract everyone like Mao but I doubt how long that would work for. China has no incentive to start a war before the US collapses into civil war, waiting is very valuable, they can bring Russia into their sphere as it weakens and use it as the main food source after building up the necessary infrastructure, Indian can have its rivers cut off with dams, South Korea can continue to be host to political chaos and North Korea can become slightly richer and less of a liability. America is in a Thucydides trap and war would be very favourable to them, what was likely happening last year was that the Chinese predicted that if Afghanistan and Ukraine were massive American failures than they could likely go with the momentum and conquer Taiwan, this would then shake the American economy to its roots and they could leverage America's industrial reliance, Taiwan's microchip production and the fact they have many American politicians and notably the president in their pocket. If that have gone off without a hitch then many elites likely would have jumped ship and the Chinese regime would establish enough prestige among the nationalists to last a bit longer. What I think is likely is that China will have some sort of internal rift and move towards Confucianism and an imperial system but I don't think that it is nearly as imminent as civil war in the west, especially not with China actively supporting political instability. It is likely that things will start moving after the American economic house of cards collapses, if I were China I'd be careful as America can keep itself going though wars (because they can retain legitimacy even after demolishing the current economic order before it collapses under its own weight) and cannibalizing allies (which it will do if there is a war). Peace favours them in the long term.
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