Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "FOX 5 Washington DC"
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@shadrach6299 Nope. Gore only wanted recounts in certain counties in Florida, not all of them. I believe there was voter fraud and ballot manipulation by both parties in 2000 though, but America has never elected a Democrat after another Democrat’s 2 terms in the last 120 years, unless the prior died in office. FDR-Truman and JFK-LBJ. America has elected Republicans several times after other Republicans, namely Roosevelt - Taft, then Harding - Coolidge - Hoover, then Reagan 2 terms followed by Bush 41 one-term. It would have been really unprecedented for Bush41 to have been re-elected for 42nd President, covering 4 Republican terms consecutively. There was a strong 3rd party in that 1992 campaign though, Ross Perot.
What would be even more unprecedented would be Kamala to be elected after Biden. The odds are out of the norm and nowhere near her favor since she fails 9-12 of the 13 Keys. Some of the metrics put it at 15 since there are double FALSEs in response to the questions, namely the 3rd Party going Trump’s team (RFK Jr.), the Primary Contest being subverted by the DNC with non-democratic installation of Kamala, and how many scandals there are.
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@someperson4865 The funny thing is that this professor ignored his own metrics and didn’t even appear to read them when making this insane forecast.
Let’s go through the keys together to see what I’m talking about:
1. Party Mandate. Dems lost seats in the 2022 Mid Terms, didn’t gain. R: 212 - 222 D: 220 - 2013. This should be a FALSE by his metrics.
2. No Primary contest. This one is unique in 2024 because the sitting President was removed agains his will and Kamala announced as the nominee without any convention or delegate process. He doesn’t even have a metric for this. Either way, it doesn’t benefit the incumbent party.
3. Incumbent seeking reelection. Yes, but was removed with a soft coup. VP installed, so it’s a huge FALSE.
4. No 3rd Party. There was the strongest 3rd party campaign since Ross Perot with RFK Jr., but he JOINED the challenging party platform! This is a mega-FALSE for the incumbent because the challenger was not only a Dem, but a Kennedy who is the son of assassinated RFK and favored Dem candidate in 1968.
5. Strong short-term economy. Weird, as he lists this as a TRUE when it is FALSE. Jobs numbers and inflation are misrepresented in the media, with constant revisions post-haste. FALSE
6. Strong long-term economy. Allan must read CNN and the WSJ if he thinks per capita economic growth equals or exceeds the mean growth of the two previous terms. Younger people looking for first-time home buying can’t afford to enter the market and are stuck renting. Inflation has squeezed most people’s budgets to exclude marginal products and services, causing a recession in many industries. This one is a big FALSE.
7. Major policy change. You would think Biden had entered the WH with a huge mandate with 81 million votes, yet there was no sweeping reforms or support from Congress or the electorate. This is one of the biggest anomalies in US election history. The main thing the Biden/Harris WH has done is open the border so millions of unvetted illegal immigrants have swarmed into the Nation. This is not a positive, so to weight it as one is erroneous. It only makes sense to mark it as technically true, but bad for the Country.
8. No social unrest. What are we calling all the pro-Palestinian protests, shutting down access to class for college students, and the occupation of apartment complexes by foreign gangs? Biden called the college campus unrest “chaos”. FALSE
9. No Scandal. Allan must be reading DC corporate media. Vaccine mandate scandal for military and DoD, hospitals, public employees, and private sector. Did he not hear about the Hunter Biden money-laundering scandal that directly implicates himself in a foreign bribery scheme lasting many years? Then you have the Biden classified documents scandal, which ties into the Hunter laptop showing an espionage ring, his brother James’ investigation for money-laundering and tax evasion, Hunter Biden tax evasion trial, Hunter Biden illegal firearm possession, the cocaine WH scandal, the Secret Service scandal of denying protection to RFK Jr, the Trump assassination attempts after Biden Secret Service failures and withholding of resources, the Ukraine scandal where Biden was involved in blackmailing Ukraine and now under his WH, Putin invaded. To top it off, Biden has called Trump supporters garbage. So this is another big failure per Allan’s metrics. FALSE
10. No foreign or military failure. Afghan withdrawal was one of the biggest foreign and military failures in US history. Eruption of the Middle East into regional conflict with ballistic missiles, genocidal terrorist strikes and hostage-taking, bombings, and missile exchanges is escalating into unprecedented conflict. Allan correctly assesses this as a FALSE.
11. Major foreign or military success. Allan chalks this up as a TRUE. Not sure what he’s referring to. Most Americans would agree we have had no foreign or military success under Biden. A great metric for measuring this is military recruitment and retention, which is way down to alarming levels. FALSE
12. Charismatic incumbent. Neither Biden nor Kamala are even remotely charismatic. Both are incompetent and terrible public speakers. FALSE
13. Uncharismatic challenger. Allan correctly recognizes Trump is charismatic. FALSE
There are at least 10 FALSE responses to Allan’s metrics, yet he somehow thinks there are less than 6. I would really love to debate him on this because even if I’m generous and list 2, 3, and 4 differently, there are still 9 FALSE responses to his keys. How did he skip over all his own metrics?
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He seems to have ignored his own metrics to come up with a Kamala win.
1. FALSE
2. TRUE * (DNC did a soft coup against the incumbent President)
3. FALSE
4. TRUE * (3rd Party RFK joined Trump, so this works against the sitting party even more, should really count as 2 FALSEs)
5. FALSE
6. FALSE
7. TRUE * ( Major policy change has been to open the border to millions of illegals, with no mandate to do so by the electorate. Could be another double FALSE)
8. FALSE (Biden described the social unrest at college campuses by pro-Palestinian students as “chaos”.)
9. FALSE (tons of scandals from Hunter Biden to James Biden, Joe Biden classified documents, vaccine mandates, military personnel kicked out over vaxx refusal, Ukraine, money-laundering, Biden tax evasion, Kamala border Tzar failure, etc.)
10. FALSE
11. FALSE
12. FALSE (lol)
13. FALSE
That’s at least 10 FALSE responses to the 13 keys. All you need are 6 for a changeover. I contend that it’s actually 15+ FALSEs due to weighting of 2, 4, 7, and 9. Allan lists many of these as TRUE, which makes no sense. His 13 keys are absolutely in-play here, but not how he is reporting them. Something is way off.
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