Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Is Chinese Nuclear Tech Better Than the US? || Peter Zeihan" video.
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@u2beuser714 Millenials with no experience in these matters can make a lot of mistakes and bad assumptions, since they rely on internet searches and OSINT, with zero real-world. We were involved in Nunn-Lugar base exchange program, but the main effort in Nunn-Lugar was to remove nuclear weapons from the former Soviet satellite states of Georgia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Belorussia to get them under centralized control. What we found out was that Russia had been running a shell game throughout the Cold War, bolstering their capabilities through a series of feints and movements, when they were in-fact very limited in their ability or willingness to actually trust warheads at all the advertised operational units across the "triad”.
They relied more on controlling the US intelligence community within using plants, moles, and political stooges placed throughout government, CIA, and DoD to orchestrate an image of the 10ft tall Russian bear, with its thousands of warheads deployed all over. This is yet another example of the US system being totally ignorant about Russian/Eurasian culture and how no self-respecting Russian leader would trust subordinate leaders with nukes all over the place. So they ran a shell game from the warhead production sites purposely timed with US satellite overflights so we would see the trucks carrying the warheads out to Murmansk, to the Tu-95 bases, and mobile ICMB munitions hubs. But the trucks just took the few warheads they had back to the manufacturing site because they had problems cranking out reliable initiation systems.
They manipulated the US with Nunn-Lugar to get billions in funding in exchange for a continued shell game, and former KGB oligarchs pilfered all the money that was meant to prop up Russia from falling. They also used it to disarm Ukraine and Georgia further in preparation for taking those states in the future (we’ve already lived through partially now).
If someone tells you Russian maintenance is good, they’ve never lived in Russia, have never studied Russian military maintenance “standards”, and haven’t had insight into the Russian nuclear forces culture. The deterrence is based on posturing, with far less warheads and capable delivery systems than advertised. It’s still enough for a deterrent, but Russia can’t afford to find out if their systems work, because then every territorial dispute they have with the rest of their neighbors will kick off, especially with China.
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