Comments by "irresistablejewel" (@irresistablejewel) on "Why China won't attack Taiwan | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman" video.

  1.  @pplr1  This Prof already detailed the provocation(s), in his lecture "Why is Ukraine the West's fault?": the prospect of further NATO expansion was only one reason, an eight year civil war was another and (in case you missed it, from 2014) foreign corporations (mainly American) had amassed millions of acres of prime farmland and likely had a controlling interest in the EU gas supply route, while the billions sent by America and EU were not for charitable, or humanitarian reasons. So much for the neutrality agreement that the UK and America cosigned; they either didn't understand it, or ignored it, and from Russia's perspective if Ukraine isn't neutral; it's war and they hold Ukraine totally responsible. In reply to the OP: China is unlikely to go to war with Taiwan, because the governments are basically different branches of the same political ideology (One China). Currently what's left of Ukraine, is so heavily in debt to the Western interests, it's no longer an independent country: the World bank would like ownership of state sector infrastructure (usually); Russia turned off the EU gas supply, after alternative routes mysterious exploded (no profit there); all that farmland and (43) labs (according to the Pentagon) a casualty of war. Putin never claimed Ukraine would fall in three weeks, or three days (that was Gen Milley trying to get more funding from the Senate); while: Russians Ukrainians and Belarusians are Slavs (who have more in common with each other than even Western Europeans, never mind America), while it seems it might be in Poland's interest if Ukraine fell apart (like Yugoslavia did after the "NATO intervention) as they can expand. Since Ukraine has turned into a "money-pit"; I doubt diverting more public money is going to get people elected; while if the plan was to separate the EU from relatively cheap Russian commodities; that at least has worked. There is sufficient evidence to show Russia doesn't want Kyiv (they want Odessa); the Oblasts they mainly occupy largely speak Russian (they even voted for independence from Ukraine, which nobody recognised; until Russia did in 2022); while the Western concept of winning in Ukraine is faulty. The problem for the Western lobbyists and Ukraine is that funding may dry up (possibly in late Nov); then the conflict would stop and some explaining would be required. If American missiles start landing in mainland Russia; I hope you understand, it would not be Ukraine held responsible for starting a global war, it's heading that way currently.
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