Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "Top 7 Red Army Myths - World War 2" video.
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@michaelritzen8138
They would atleast not have fared any worse by not declaring war. I think Hitler made a big mistake even if we would assume that USA would join the war at a later point.
Hitler had units tied up in France which he could have used on the eastern front. And a 20 extra divisions could have been enough to prevent the Stalingrad disaster from happening.
And maybe he then would have been able to win the 1942 campaign then and basicly knocking USSR out of the war.
I also think that Roosevelt would have been very limited in the aid he could have given the USSR. Had USA not been at war with Germany it could have been politically difficult to give away as much aid as they did irl.
So the lend lease help would then have been small and not very significant - just as it was in 1941 and 1942.
It is possible that USSR still would have been able to defeat the Axis, but on the other hand would it also be very possible for Hitler to have defeated Russia.
Losing southern Russia would have been devastating to the Russian war effort, and the economy could have fallen apart like it did in 1917,
And the manpower shortages would become more of a problem for Russia. Germany could to some extent compensate their lost men by better weapons and more firepower. And a high GDP per capita of rich countries allows them to replace male workers with machines and tractors to a larger extent than a poor country like Russia. The Russian economy worked impressingly and surprisingly well during the war, and 80% of the country's GDP was directed towards the war effort - which is an extremely high number which normally only rich countries are able to achieve. Russia managed to achieve this by careful planning before the war, and the country had stored up vital resources before the war so a crash like 1917 due to resource shortages and price inflation would not happen. But this way of doing things could not work forever... and by late 1942 were Russia starting to running low on many vital resources. And if the resourced had runned out, then the industrial output would have fallen down like a rock. And Russia would have been forced into a dilemma - should they put more men in agriculture or mining? or should they put them in industry instead? or should they be put into the military instead?
All 3 branches desperatly needed more manpower at this very important time period during the war. And more men in the economy would have meant less men for the military. And more men in the military would have meant less men in the economy, and weapons lost in battle would become more difficult to replace.
So by 1942 I think it seems like Russia was in a more dire situation than Germany, despite Germany had not even started full rationing and mobilized its women for industrial work.
Without gigantic amounts of lend-lease and the resources from southern Russia it seems like Russia would have been forced to fight a terrible up-hill battle for the rest of the war. And Britain would not have been able to do much to liberate continental Europe on its own.
Russia had lost its entire airforce in 1941 and the army had lost millions of men, and large amounts of manpower reserves and industrial centers had also been lost to the Germans. So the war had already started bad for the Russians. They had lost 80% of their alumnium production to the Germans at the start of the war, and that was a hard blow to Russias ability to make aircrafts.
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There is much truth to that story.
Germany surprised attacked other countries, and their auftragstaktik always made them able to make decisions before their could respond to the changing circumstances on the battlefield. And on the strategic level was large troop concentrations encircled by the enemy and cut off from supplies and forced to surrender.
In Russia however it turned out that the enemy had enough resources to survive one gigantic encirlement disaster after another with hundreds of thousands of men being taken prisoner each time. And the iniatial benifit of surprise attacking a country dissapeared as time progressed.
And the superior speed of the German army could not have the same effect as in western Europe because of the long distances, the poor infrastucture and the wear and tear on the German army's vehicles.
The German army did still however remain the fastest army in World war2 throughout the war thanks to its ability to make fast decisions on the battlefield with its auftragstaktik and kampfgruppen.
But on the other hand did the German military still suffer heavy losses. The Russian army compensated its lack of skill and finesse by having Russian troops dig in and creating strong defences that were costly to take. And superiority in artillery, air power and amounts of tanks to support the infantry could help unconfident Russian solidiers to put up a fight against the German veterans.
And as the war progressed did the Russians learn to copy many of the smart tactics that the Germans used, and then use the same tactics against their enemy. The Russian airforce tactics became a copy of the Luftwaffe.
In the end however was it perhaps the large blunders the German leadership made on the macro level which caused the German defeat more than all the other factors already mentioned above.
Germany should have massed an extra army in Southern Russia to capture southern Russia in 1942. The German army should not have overstreched itself by launching its Moscow offensive in october 1941. They should not have invested so much in keeping Rzhev. They should have scrapped overly complex weapon designs, mobilized the women earlier and endorsed the He162 jet fighter project earlier and built surface to air missiles instead of V-bombs.
They should have locked the allies into the Normandy beachhead and turn it into a siege and a disaster for the allies. Hitler should have allowed retreats and allowed a more flexible defence, and then the disaster of operation Bagration would never have happened. And using German armour in forrests and swamps was a bad idea and many tanks were wasted at Arracourt, Ardennes, Budapest and other places
And giving the best weapons to badly trained men was a bad idea. And the German army after Stalingrad would have been better off getting reinforcements to existing formations instead of creating new units only because of political reasons.
The list is very long of the mistakes of the german generals, Hitler and his industrial policies.
Hitlers decisions was perhaps not worse than any other leader. But on the other hand did Germany's enemies have more resources to play with.
The loss of the Afrika Korps, the 6th army at Stalingrad, 400.000 men during Bagration, and the twenty divisions lost at Normandy, and the large losses during the winter 1941-42 with the offensive towards Moscow and Stalins counter-offensive also caused 200.000 - 800.000 losses to the German army.
All in all was those losses too much for the German army to take. And the war more and more seemed like lost.
One could of course wonder what would have happened if Hitler had spared his men and evacuated the Afrika korps and his other troops instead of throwing them away in this wasteful way.
But all of this is of course observations done by a person who have the benifit of hindsight.
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