Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "What to expect from a Russian summer offensive?" video.
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Some points that I think are interesting regarding this topic are:
1. Russian missile attacks against hydroelectric powerplants, which could signify a repeat of of the Novo Kahovka dam collapse. That was a defensive action, but perhaps is it also a move russia want to make to save troops in one are to move to another area for an attack.
2. Russia do not care about training, or smart use of their resources. They rather just wanna create a flow that they hope somehow would push the Ukrianians back and make them lose ground and manpower. This is of course not a smart way of using resources. But Putin doesn't seem to care. Trading land for lives is something that he is willing to do. He do not value the lives of convicts, ethnic minorities, mercenaries, and Ukrainians forcefully conscripted into DPR and LPR amies.
So he happily continues to make meatwaves.
3. Putins strategy is winning the war by Trump. And if Trump wins, then he hopes that Europe just gives up and throws in the towel as well.
And that is possible, and especially so if rightwing populists wins seats in the EU election. Putin is therefore not hoping the counter-offensive to break the Ukrainian defensive lines. But rather just to keep the pressure up to show the world that he holds the iniative to demoralize people in the west that are sitting on the fence, and to give a morale boost to the pro-russians around the world.
Russias real offensive will not come now. It will come after the west have given up their support for Ukraine.
And when Ukraine lose their access to patriot missiles and 155mm artillery shells, then will russia attack with full force and force Ukraine to sign a catastrophically bad peace deal.
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