Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "Five lessons about warfare from Ukraine" video.
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Wars is about handeling limited resources in the best, most effiecent way.
And for a long time have the west been fighting wars with overwhelming amounts of resources, so much so that we could afford to be lazy and wasteful and still win a war. The war in Ukraine has been a wake up call in this regard. Ukraine does not have the luxury of taking out an enemy with air support and wasteing 10 times more artillery shells than their enemy. One can say that the opposite has been the case. Here can we see how we must fight to win a war when we lack air superiority and have to rely on artillery instead. And a war when we do not have control over the skies but have to rely on SAMs, manpads and AA guns to keep enemy planes away.
As sound technician I think that human creativity works best with limited resources, when you have to be as creative as possible with the little tools that you have. If you only have a limited number of synth sounds in your music program you quickly think out ways you can use those and create music pieces.
Same goes for warfare. Necessity is the mother of invention, as the saying goes. It have a very few good artillery pieces which it needs to use effectivly to win against a stronger foe. And attacking the logistical system with HIMARS turned out to be a very effective way of doing just that. They have managed to find a chink in the armor of their much stronger foe and ruthlessly exploit it.
And the Ukrainians have inflicted higher losses on their enemy than they have suffered themselves. How much larger is hard to tell.
But even if they would be close to even, is it still a job well done by Ukraine as Russia have launched a surprise attack, they are stronger in the air, and they have much more tanks and artillery... and access to artillery shells and spare parts for russian made weapons is much less critical.
Ukraine have been clumsy in the propaganda war, and one could say that Russia allowed Ukraine to win it by walk over. Zelensky have been visiting his frontline troops and begging the west for weapons and help saying about the Russians: "they are killing my people".. which they have done at Bucha, Irpin and with all terror bombing. All the daily videos of destroyed Russian tanks, drone attacks on soldiers, exploding ammunition dumps and such have also managed to convince public opinion that Ukraine is doing well on the ground and that Russia suck. All those huge losses on paper that Russia have suffered do have some video evidence to back it up.
The daily unseen and Warthog, are like the modern day version of die Wochenschau.
I think Putin expected his net trolls to be more effective, but it turns out that there are lots of even bigger trolls on the internet - like myself - that can fight back. So their attempts to manipulate western public opinion have largely been unsuccesful. And meanwhile are Ukraine winning the meme war. Comment sections are like a self-playing piano now unlike the first weeks of the war. Now people do not need any encouragement to make jokes on Russias expense.. about "smoking accidents", "vodka related foolishness" and Kremlin hypocrisy. People do that job all by themselves and have fun reading each others jokes. And it does of course feel good to give each other a pat on the back.
For the Ukrainians it have also been important for fighting morale to feel like the world cares about them, and that they are not alone and left out to be eaten by the sharks. They know that the entire free world is behind them. All of Europe and North America. Even Switzerland and Hungary are sanctioning Russia. Iceland with its extremely tiny population send warm clothes this winter. Japan and Korea send military uniforms, hospital equipment. Taiwan send drones. Jordan sends military equipment, and Morocco sends spare parts from their best T-72 tanks to Ukraine. Also Australia and New Zeeland send lots of help.
The war in Ukraine have in many ways picked up the best parts of the world community. And Ukraine is in the worlds spotlight for the moment. And meanwhile are Russias allies getting tired of her brutality, her disrespect for law and the international order, and her clumsy disruptive behaviour. So even Serbia refuses to recognize Russias annexation of the stolen Ukrainian provinces. And also Kazaksthan, Mongolia and Armenia are beginning to speak up against Putin and publicly humiliate him.
And China is less and less interested in backing Russia
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Most of those lessons are not new in any way.
Countries underestimate consumption of artillery shells
- No shit Sherlock, havn't that been the case ever since World war 1? The great powers ran out of artillery shells early 1915. And Germany ran out of bombs during the invasion of the Soviet union. And USA had to buy back World war 2 bombs that it had sold off to scrapping, because it had begun running low on bombs during the Vietnam war.
Staffs and ammunition depots needs to be dispersed
Once again nothing new. This is what the Vietnamese did to counter the American air power. They did disperse their fuel and ammunition dumps. And they did it so much that it because economically unsubstainable for the Americans to send up a plane to drop many bombs to hit a very tiny target of for example a small diesel tank.
You must have training capacity
Well captain obvious, we all already knew this. But the politicians just wanted to slash the military budgets after the Cold War and no one forced them to take responsability for their reckless decisions. So now have we all got what we deserve. We have too few conscripts to fight forest fires, too little hospital equipment to deal with a mild pandemic, and our anorectic armies have nearly nothing - and not even basic supplies that they can spare to help Ukraine now once a real war has started.
Indeed the entire idea of running the military according to neoliberalism is stupid.
The military is not like a car company that you run for profit. A car company just wants to make money. And it can make money by for example minimize storage costs for spare parts and products that it rarely uses. Lean production, and slimming down the organization to the bare minimum and having as few workers as possible is a way to cut down waste and maximize the profits for a company.
But for a military would it be a stupid thing to do that way.
A military needs a gigantic ammount of supply in storage. If a big war happens you might need hundreds of thousands extra uniforms and gas masks. And you might need a million artillery shells in storage, so that your troops do not need to die because your guns have runned out of ammunition. But instead will you have enough ammunion in storage that you military can keep on fighting til your industry have managed to gear up for war and increased the production of ammunition so it can fill the monthly demand at the frontline.
So a military should be runned at an economic loss if need be. A military is fighting in a very competative enviroment called a battlefield which puts much higher demands on an organisation, than a little economic competition on a market place.
There is little surprise that the military have created so many innovations and new products, as the military is a very highly competative enviroment that is not obsessed about profits, keeping down costs and other economic constraints like the private sector.
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