Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds"
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Not a single German solidier will be able to land his feet on British soil, since the US navy is stronger than all navies in the world combined - the US navy got more aircrafts than most all other navies combined. And only 1 aircraft carrier have more planes than most countrys airforces.
And EUs economy will self-destruct. Simply because the ECB is wrongly designed and cannot print money like the Federal reserve - which will result in deflationary crashes.
Furthermore is the EU banking system a ticking time bomb with its huge banks and reckless risktaking, non-existant regulation and non-transparancy.
And retarded rules like the convergence pact, the ban on capital controls, the 4 freedoms have made the EU economy unflexible, vulnerable to economic crashes, and it harms economic growth.
USA doesn't have any of those problems. The banking sector is however problematic, but US banks are much smaller, less risk taking and more regulated so the damages of an economic crash would be less severe to society.
EU on the other hand have no upsides at all compared to USA. EU doesn't have any oil, while USA is one of the largest oil producers. EUs economy have an ageing population, while USA is younger and the population in the anglosphere is larger so that the market of the English speaking world will be more important in the future than the EU.
USA is also self-substaining with fertilizer for its agriculture and it can get the phosphorus it needs from Florida. While none of the EU countries have anything of that, so that the EU needs to lick the ass of dictators (like Morocco) to get the resources it needs.
America also have more Fortune 500 companies than Europe. And those huge companies are key for technological leadership in the world.
And EU have nothing like DARPA, NASA, Silicon Valley, or Seattle.
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@mikaelpetersen3331
Sweden have owned Finland for 800 years. There are a large Swedish speaking minority there. Finland have only existed since 1917, but that does not make it a fake country. Because finnish speaking people have existed for thousands of years.
Just like Ukraine is a young country, but its people have existed for a thousand of years.
And just because we used to own Finland does not give us the right to take over that land by force, if they should be a part of sweden again it must be done with the support from the people who live in Finland.
Just like Russia cannot just grab Crimea which voted to leave russia and join Ukraine in 1991.
Russia claims so much bullcrap. They claim to be the protector of the russian speaking minority in Ukraine. But most russian speakers do not want their help. They don't want their cities destroyed by the russian army and see their neighbours murdered by russian troops.
Russian speaking cities in Ukraine such as
Charkiv, Odessa, Dnipro, Zaporizjzja and Mariupol are not grateful for russia invading their country - on the contrary are they filled with hatred towards russia for murdering so many of their countrymen, and all the torture, rapes, looting, kidnappings of children and destruction.
Russia fired rocket artillery on Mariupol and 200.000 civilians died as a result. That is how russia treats a russian speaking city.
So I can totally understand that nobody wants anything to do with russia. Crimea will be retaken, and ukrianians who had fled can return back. And the russians living on stolen land better just return home to where they came from.
Putins home on Crimea will of course be stolen, and it will be interesting to see what happens to it. If it becomes a shelter for homeless ukrainians or something else.
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In the first half year of Russias invasion did France with its 70 million people send half as much military aid to Ukraine than Estonia with 1 million people. This is how much France cares about Europes common security and solidarity with Eastern Europe who for years have felt threatened.
Macron seems more concerned about not humiliating Putin than what he is concerned with Russia starting one war of aggression after another, Russias bombings of kindergartens and 800 hospitals, or how russia have kindpapped and stolen 200.000 children from their parents, how they have destroyed cities like Mariupol and Bakhmut. How russia have made hitlists on people they planned to kill in order to get rid of Ukraines intelligentia and russify the country. France have no problem with massacres like Bucha and Irpin or the deliberate murder of 600 children in a bomb shelter... or the plunder and destruction of museums, or the theft of 600 airliners from western countries russia have done, or the fact that russia have built torture centrals - including torture cells for children, and they have regulary ignored the geneva convention...
France is okay with all that.
This is the kind of friend France is. Its siding more with Russia than with western countries like Poland, Estonia or Sweden.
So to hell with all pro-russian french politicians. And since all major names in French politics is pro-russian, I guess I have to say to hell with France.
Where is the freedom, brotherhood and equality in Putins russia that you love so much?
Where is the brotherhood to help Ukraine? Why shouldnt Ukrainians be free and not having to live under russian opression?
Who have decided that russia have the right to play the masterrace and rule over all countries in Eastern Europe? Why should the consent of Ukrainians, Georgians, Poles, Balts and such be ignored?
France should feel ashamed of itself for its russophile stance. And there is a long list of French companies that needs to be boycotted for helping Putin pay for his war and murder of civilians.
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"Germany, the UK, and France do nothing and pass the buck to the US"
Both France and Germany have been ramping up its weapon shipments to Ukraine lately and their shipments is quite huge.
"I have no desire for a war with Russia over a non-NATO country"
Ukraine was invaded and it have the right to defend itself according to the UN charter and international law. NATO is not at war. It is only assisting Ukraine. Russia have over and over again started imperialist wars with its neighbours only the last 20 years, so it is good that EU finally say that enough is enough. East European countries have complained in the past when Russia invaded Chechenya, Dagestan, Georgia, Crimea and Russia have poisoned foreign presidents, poisoned people in England, blown up arms depots in Czechia, shot down a Malaysian passanger plane, harmed western democracies with funding politicial extremists to create hatred and division in our societies and undermine our democracy and quality of life, they have wages cyber attacks on western companies... and the list goes on and on.
It is therefore about time that we strike back at Russia so they stop their aggressions towards the free world. If Russia refuses to leave us alone, then it must be taught how to do so the hard way. And the only language primitive barbarians understand is brute force. We have tried everything else now, and it was useless. Now we kill Russian invaders/genocidal child rapists / toilet thieves. We wreck their pathetic 3rd world economy. We diplomatically isolate them. And the Russians themselves do the rest of the job themselves for us to humiliate their own country to the entire world by showing how pathetic and useless their military is, and one can only laugh at their claim to be a superpower with their tiny economy and useless military.
"a non-NATO country that has spent most of its existence as part of Russia"
A total non-argument. Finland have belonged to Sweden for 800 years. They have only been an independent country for 100 years. I guess that this means that Sweden can just invade that country and you will say nothing.
Not even if we torture, mutilate and kill entire villages of people and throw them into mass graves. You will say nothing about a war of aggression either. And you will say nothing if we decide to deliberatly kill 600 children in bomb shelter, and when we decide to deliberatly target hospitals with artillery fire and white phosporus that burns through concrete and steel. And if we choose to also do all those things Russia do in Ukraine as well as targeting ambulances that helps people injured by our bombs...
then I guess a normal person would sympatize with Ukraine (or Finland in this case).
But not you. Your moral compass is broken.
Only a psychopath country are okay with those things. Those are the things that Russia stands for today.
Indeed, Russia has always been evil and barbaric. Its no wonder that the former Eastern bloc countries decided to join the EU and Nato. Holodomor, forceful deportations of balts, Prague 1968, Hungary 1956, the Chernobyl disaster is all what Russian rule gave them. So no wonder that they had enough.
As long as Russia does not respect borders I see no reason why I should respect Russia. I am happy that this warmongering terrorist state now is bleeding. It deserves it.
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Europe and the EU are NOT the same thing. Many European countries are not part of the EU: Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, Ukraine, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Kosovo, Albania, Macedonia, Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus, Russia, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Armenia, Liechtenstein, Andorra, Monaco, San Marino, Vatican City, Montenegro.
Stop being so ignorant.
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@TGTexan
I think a recent post by Swedens largest military blogger is worth quoting:
Det mest använda och på många sätt det vapensystem som givit mest utdelning för Ryssland är artilleri. Efter att den första offensiven blev tillbakaslagen så har ryska arméns alla meningsfulla framgångar mer eller mindre gjorts genom lokal överlägsenhet av artillerield, en överlägsenhet som mer eller mindre sprang in i en vägg när HIMARs gjorde sitt intåg.
Estland uppskattade att Ryssland hade 17 miljoner granater vid krigsstarten, en siffra som grovt motsvarar Ukrainska uppskattningar och RUSI Report. Uppskattningsvis avfyrades 10 miljoner granater under 2022, och med nuvarande konsumtion så kommer man att avfyra 7 miljoner under 2023. Ryssland tillverkar mellan 250.000 och 1.000.000 granater per år, beroende på om man frågar Ukraina eller Ryssland.
Det antyder att Ryssland kommer få slut på sin ammunition tidigt 2024 om man fortsätter som man gjort hittills. Ryssland har dock ett extra förråd av artilleri-granater, nämligen Nordkorea. Enligt sprida offentliggjorda statliga rapporter (US primärt) så har Ryssland köpt miljontals granater av Nordkorea. Den bästa uppskattning jag kunnat hitta sätter toppsiffran på 3.000.000 granater.
Om det stämmer och om Ryssland inte kraftigt ökar sin ammunitionsproduktion (osannolikt) så kommer vi att få se en sänkning i intensiteten av rysk artillerield, antingen skarpt Q2 2024, eller gradvis under 2023. Jag har ingen direkt data på det, men anekdotiskt verkar man ha strypt mängden ammunition vid stora delar av fronten redan.
Eldrör är också en vanlig fråga då dessa verkar slitas ut i en hygglig takt, men Ryssland har enligt de källor jag hittat inte haft några problem hittills. De håller sannolikt längre än granater, så mer av det sovjetiska arvet finns sannolikt kvar.
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@mikakatzensuper0072 I think a short war would be difficult to win against UK (and a war against USA also would be a clear loss for EU).
First do you need to defeat the royal navy. And when that is done then you need to win in the skies so that your troop transport ships don't get blown up by aircrafts.
And then you need to fight against the coastal artillery. And even hastenly trained conscripts can cause lots of troubles for a beach landing... and you need to deal with bad weather, walking in the water while the enemy is firing upon you from prepared defensive posistions.. and then you got minefields to deal with.
I mean just 1 single German machine gunner managed to kill 2000 Americans in a single day at Omaha beach in 1944.
So amphibous operations are extremely difficult and the defenders have a huge advantage.
And even if the EU would succesfully take over a beach, then it would have the difficult job of trying to break out from the beach and take over more land.
The invasion army needs to take over a town with a big port, otherwise will the army starve to death by lack of food or soon run out of ammunition as they are trying to fight back British counter attacks.
And if EUs troops just sit on the beach with 2 million men like the Allies did in Normandy and have no port in their hands, then they will run the risk of losing the entire army when the winter comes.
Because then will the bad weather make air support much more difficult and supplying the troops on the beach by the sea will get increasingly difficult.
D-Day nearly ended in a disaster for the allies for that reason, because the allies were stuck on the beach for 2 months before they managed to roll up German defensive positions and conquer some French ports so that supplies could be moved in.
Being a defender is simply much more easy when it comes to amphibious landings. You don't need to worry about supplies, you can have prepared defensive positions, and you have somewhere to retreat. And you don't need superiority both on land, sea, and sky. And you will also have it much easier to bring in reinforcements to beat back an invasion force, than what an invasion force can bring in supporting troops for their landing.
And I also assume that the British also have the benifit of better knowing the terrain then their enemy. And that they can figure out what places are likely places for an invasion and prepare defences there - I mean I guess the EU are not complete moron idiots that would land their troops on a unsuitable terrain out in place that is so far away that EUs aircrafts would not have the range to support them.
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Britain might be divided too, among brexiteers, remainers and scots. But I think the country would unite under the pressure from a common enemy, the same way USA and UK put aside class warfare conflicts and become 'one people' during world war 2.
But the EU on the other hand is a fragile construct with too many internal conflicts - west vs. East on immigration, North vs. South in economic issues and farm subsidies, Federalist Germany and France vs. non-federalist Hungary and Sweden.
And on top of that do you got ethnic nationalism on the rise in Catalonia. And nationalist parties are on the rise everyware in Europe which is threating the very idea of a globalist Europe.
You got Salvini in Italy, Kurz in Austria, AFD in Germany, Orban in Hungary, Vox in Spain, Åkesson in Sweden, nationalists in Estonia and Latvia, Nationalism is also on the rise in France, Belgium, Greece, and the Netherlands. And in Denmark, and Finland.
Countries have had enough of globalism. And a war of aggression can be the last that breaks the camels back.
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