Comments by "Cinderball" (@cinderball1135) on "WARNING: Biden WORSE Than Hillary in Key Trump States" video.
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This isn't a particularly good take. The polling averages for Biden are much better than they were for Clinton. On average, Clinton was consistently within about 5 points of Trump - Biden has been polling well ahead of that. Sure, some outlier polls put her higher than Biden's current position, but there are equally strange outliers for the current electoral cycle. Even if you're looking at just ONE pollster, there's a good amount of variance on display, so it's better to take the aggregates from a large number of streams of data, as 538 does. There's a reason that reputable polling analysts and aggregators don't tend to come out with shock headlines like this.
While I appreciate your intentions David, your analysis of polling does not quite equal your analysis of other issues - you can find a poll that will prove nearly any point you want to make, and that goes for any candidate in any electoral cycle. All the same, still very much enjoy your videos and will continue to recommend them to others. I just think that when it comes to polling, you might be fighting upstream to argue that Trump is doing better than we think. The data just doesn't support that viewpoint.
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