Comments by "david devlin" (@Art-is-craft) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Printing trillions had nothing to do with the inflation being seen.
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  2. The cost of producing goods at scale in the US is not as expensive as people think. When producing billions of products the cost comes down drastically with a fully developed infrastructure.
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  3. The economic benefits are debatable.
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  4. Now back to reality. Sweden has a lot of immigrants but they do not make up the whole country. Sweden has a large degree of independence and can function to a higher degree by them self.
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  5.  @jazznik2  The infrastructure and power requirements to build such a sea level supply system is extraordinarily expensive.
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  6. That’s what happens when an economy is centrally planned. There is not engine to drive jobs so that young people get a start in life.
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  7. It has nothing to do with the US as a partner. German culture is dictated by geography just as Russia and China are. What you think Japanese a British culture is built around maritime by accident?
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  8. It’s the middle of summer the place should be buzzing right now.
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  9. Europe is no a single country. There is not going to be one European wide problem. Certain countries will start to have different issues and different pressure points.
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  10. Ireland has an extremely powerful lobby it is so powerful at a cultural level that the White House celebrates St Patrick’s day. That simply cannot be under estimated.
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  11.  @person1858  It takes several generations to rebuild a population and culture. And that assumes every thing is calm.
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  12. I am going to say something that most people do not like. Just go and try for a baby. Do not think about economics just do it. Nobody can predict the future.
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  13. That is the exception not the norm.
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  14.  @BobfromSydney  Singapore is not a micro state and neither is Malta. They are small counties.
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  15.  @currentaf8455  It is different going forward because the US will be lowering its presence in certain regions.
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  16. The studios are at near failure point in Hollywood. Most of this was a series of own goals by the studios. They stopped making proper cinema productions in favour of jumped up art house movies that were all about preaching politics.
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  17. The US has weapons of that nature already in its navy. The difference with what Peter is taking about is that the weapons can work independently in deep water naval warfare which can take place over a million square miles. The types of weapons you are referring operate on specific non dynamic targets in coastal or land warfare.
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  18.  @someshrao8267  That all reinforces Zeihans points. It is all for India not for exports.
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  19.  @Wulverion  The US could double it again and not move the needle.
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  20. Germany will fail economically but that does not change the fact German can enter war. The same applies to china. There are still a few million men in German that could wreck havoc on Europe. Before WW2 Germany was an economic mess that still laid ruin to Europe. Do not confuse economics with war. Rome was still able to wage war even as it was in decline.
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  21.  @effexon  Javelins have a theoretical range of about 10 km. if that technology was to converge with drones and forward operations then there is no reason why a launch vehicle or small team cannot act as a mobile launch base that forward teams can provide target acquisition to the launch teams that are far out of sight.
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  22.  @MichaelCooney-zh8je  Ireland has over 60% of its exports going outside of the EU. It is myth that Ireland’s development was down to the EU. Ireland started its development in the 1940s long before the EU was even on the table. If Irish exports were to stop with the EU it would hurt but it would not stop the development of the economy as other things would do that.
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  23. He is predicting cost pressures on German energy. If you do not believe the lack of cheap Russian gas will not impact German industrial cost then you risking a massive shock. Once German out put goes into decline it will not recover.
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  24. There military culture has formed around the ideology of volume of attack rather than precision.
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  25. There is no contradiction only people’s ignorance on this topic. Germany will fail economically and still be able wage war. Just as Russia is doing today.
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  26. Not likely. India is not going to be a world factory like China so Australia will not be exporting the same levels of raw material to India.
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  27. The US was always energy independent. People are confusing economic behaviours with that of raw energy sources. Sometimes it is cheaper and more geopolitical to buy energy from other regions that to use ones own resources.
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  28.  @raindancer80  The biggest problem the EU has is the fact it became a political project rather than being a regional states project. The parliament and currency has become a massive weight around Europe’s neck. The common agriculture agreement and common fishing zones are a mess.
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  29. The US does not have a shortage of water it has limited infrastructure that is not fit for the current population and was built for a population of half that. Both Mexico and the US need to develop their infrastructure.
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  30. @flyveto457 Of course it helps Russia is failing and still able to wage war. Germany was a failed economy post WW1 yet was able to start WW2. Do not under estimate Germans ability to revive its economy and focus all that manufacturing on war.
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  31. Cannot prepare that is the problem. The amount of energy storage required to ride out the lack of Russian supply is several orders of magnitude beyond the current system. Germany has a ten year reserve supply of energy so they can keep the lights on and not freeze to death but that is not the same as producing millions of cars on cheap energy.
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  32.  @antpoo  Ireland as a GDP of 500 billion with 2.5% of that equating to 12 billion per year. That would allow Ireland to have defence force of about 50000 personnel, 25 patrol vessels, 100 aircraft, missile defence system and so on. Not that hard for the Irish government to defend its ethnic existence. Is your next question why anybody would want to invade Ireland?
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  33. Sweden had industry but it was not a modernised industrial country like the US, UK and Germany. It did not become a western industrial country until post 1930s.
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  34. ⁠ @Nick-bh5bk  It really depends on what you call a smart missile. An embedded computation guidance and targeting system that can use real time pattern analysis is more than likely what people are referring to. The thing about weapons like that is they are only really used on dynamic hard to hit targets such as moving vessels or specific artillery that is moving around the battle space. In a war the US will be using them to counter specific naval vessels but will not be using them on conventional infantry targets. When you consider that US dumb missiles are actual precision weapons and are more than like ahead of supposed near peer smart missiles it changes the outlook. Saturation attacks do not work in deep naval warfare.
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  35.  @y0k0z00na  You disagree because you do not understand the cultural geography of Europe. Once Germany builds those capabilities they just do not magically go away and history has shown that some dominant hierarchy 😮will rise in the German cultural world that uses those infrastructure in some fashion. Before WW1 nobody believed that Europe would end in such a war.
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  36. It is better to rebuild and go through hardship than to replace an entire culture that will change a place. That is just reality. Countries that do replace a population with outsiders tend not to survive.
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  37. I will not be going over.
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  38. That has zee outcome in Australian economic infrastructure. And is more of a demonstration of how regulations frame works make it very difficult for developing the Australian market. Australia right now is in the grip of welfare state frenzy.
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  39. There is no US power grid.
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  40. I would not boast about any of this as of yet. European energy is about to become very unstable over the next coming decades.
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  41. Estonia is Nordic.
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  42.  @Everydayheresy  As the previous person pointed out US assets are so deep that creating extra money to the national balance sheet has negligible effects at the current scales. You do understand that the money is not actually printed up?
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  43. The states with water issues in the US just have bad infrastructure.
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  44.  @tompumpernickel  You are underestimating the traits of German culture. Every culture has their own unique traits that have been shaped by geography. Germany could turn its military into a very serious force in just five years if there is a single agenda at play. Look at how quickly German political sentiment changed with the invasion of Ukraine. Once Ge4many builds the infrastructure it will not just disappear and all it takes is for a new hierarchy to rise and that powerful collective German spirit is not looking so weak anymore. Do not underestimate the forces at play.
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  45. They are being stopped when they go toe to toe with defence systems. When there is no defence system they obviously make it through. That applies to any weapon system.
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  46.  @MichaelCooney-zh8je  In regards to the GDP figures those have already been cleaned up if they were not cleaned up GDP for Ireland would be in the trillions.
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  47. That water processing would be part of the industry.
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  48. Would that be the same climate change predictions that claimed London would be gone by now?
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  49. It does not mean physically aggressive.
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  50. A production that is creative, efficient and provides audiences with their desires will clean up.
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