Comments by "jeppen" (@jesan733) on "Ukraine Changed the Course of the War with KURSK Offensive" video.

Do we need any more evidence to understand who Mearsheimer is serving?
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@societyreborn33 Mearsheimer isn't a warplanner really, he's a scholar in international relations wedded to a particular simplification of reality (offensive realism). Now he makes statements that magically sees through the fog of war and makes an incredibly premature judgement about the Kursk offensive based on very sketchy onesided Rssian info about how it develops. It repeats his consistent alignment with Rssian prpaganda outlets in this conflict.
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"Russia has any number of Iskanders to use and endless supplies of Tornado-S" It doesn't, it's pretty much out of them. "Mines conveniently missing from this area?" There are limits even to Soviet Russia's supply of mines. "RU wanted Ukraine to strike through here for one reason: to force the army to expose itself" The first stage of grief is denial.
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@societyreborn33 if a "dissenting opinion" isn't reasonable from a guy whose job it is to know, then the conclusion is unavoidable.
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@ErikFin i fall to see how your comment lends support to mearsheimer's statement.
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@MrJekken Rssian humiliation is much, much worse. Rssia shouldn't perform this badly. That Ukraine could even dream about that beach party is a failure of Rssia. And now they're completely inept in handling Kursk.
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@Kratos_the_OG Russia is the opposite of being honorable, though.
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@Svannuta it's a fact that they've emptied out their ammo warehouses and desperately ask e.g. North Korea for ammo. So now they're limited to day-to-day production and such external sources.
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@Svannuta I think you tried to make a comment (I was notified) but I can't see it. You said something about Russia producing 30x more ammo than NATO. But no. The US is aiming for 3000 shells a day by the end of this year. I'm pretty sure Rssia isn't producing 90,000 shells per day. Also, the precision of western artillery is more important than the volume.
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@MrJekken thanks for your assessment. It really furthered the discussion.
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@9iht6ihgt43rzhijj every decent and well-informed human being is on the side of the western alliance, yes. But that doesn't mean a guy like Mearsheimer needs to take any side. Which he has done, in all likelihood for financial reasons.
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@efghggdxlmfn33 do Russian MoD have video evidence for destroying e.g. 206 armoured fighting vehicles in the Kursk region? I think not.
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 @abstraqtphilosophy7357 Mearsheimer doesn't have a different opinion. He's trotting out Russian disinfo.
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These are the stages of grief: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance. You're in the first stage. Tell us when you get to the next.
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@TorianTammas "Where did they find the thousand Russian POW that surrendered?" In e.g. the trench lines that Ukraine smashed through and cut off from behind.
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@andrews.5212 "i mean no nation have an endless supply of anything (unless is debt for the west)." In a way, but let's think about ammunition. Let's say a 155 mm shell costs 1 kUSD, and if you fire them with precision, as Ukraine does, then perhaps 1/10 could incapacitate an enemy soldier. That's 10k per incapacitation, or 10 BUSD per million soldiers incapacitated. For the west, this is cheap. So as the west ramps up weapons production, the supply does become functionally unlimited, or rather it becomes overwhelming for the enemy. And do consider that drones are probably cheaper for the same effect. "Russia have more troops than Ukraine, more vehicles, more drones, more artillery, more air" I don't think it has numerical superiority in drones. Also artillery numbers don't mean anything. The side with better ISR and precision has the edge, not the one who can fart more shells in the general direction of the enemy. "Also, Russia needs to guard the entire front (including Bielorussia)" Not Belarus. Luka has kept Belarus out of the war. Or at least close enough. "plus Russia, unlike Kiev, rotates its units more often.." I do not think this is correct. "Russia have still a huge number of cruise missile" Nah, the long-term storages have been emptied, so it now has what it produces only. "Yes Kiev was able to achieve a surprise offensive. Yeppe!" Consider the astonishing military intelligence failure. Both unable to detect the buildup and no moles high-enough in the military chain of command to detect this in advance. I didn't think that was possible tbh. "and Kiev expect to dig in with less than a Brigade worth of troops? To do what?" It's more than a brigade. It draws Rssian resources there and lightens the pressure in the east. And then if Rssia wants to dislodge the Ukrainians, then it has to turn its own settlements into rubble by FAB bombing them. That's the benefit of fighting on the enemy's land, that the destruction will be on his turf. Also it e.g. cut of rail to Belgorod. "Your scientists were so preoccupied with wheter or not they could, that they didn't stop to think if they should." For me it's obvious that they should. It's warfare 101 for the weaker side to hit weak points and use nimble tactics and speed. "might transform itself in a strategic defeat in a couple of months." We'll see.
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@oliviao3686 Medvedev, once a voice of sanity, now a drunken barking dog. How that transformation happened behind the scenes is interesting.
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@vidadr it's hard to cater to a pro-Rssian audience right now when Ukraine has huge success after a brilliant move.
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@vidadr "They lost the victim narrative" No, they didn't. They lost the "will inevitably lose narrative". "for what, some wheat fields and a fertilizer plant in Russia?" A rail line, many settlements, territory, good attrition and lots of POWs. "Kaliningrad or the Urals would have been better target" Why not Vladivostok, dolt? "they should have taken back their own wheat fields and fertilizer plants" They will in time. For now they strike the enemy where he's weak for maximum effect. "This attack feels desperate and poorly thought out." Not to reasonable and knowledgeable people. "Russia will continue to make massive gains in Crimea" It already has Crimea, dolt. In no way has the Rssian gains been "massive" these last two years. "flailing wildly aimlessly and destroying their reputation internationally." Yeah, keep coping.
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Do we need any more evidence that Mearsheimer is compromised?
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Do we need any more evidence for Mearsheimer being a puppet of the Kremlin?
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@efghggdxlmfn33 according to Rssia's MoD, who has never lied before. Right?
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 @efghggdxlmfn33 then enjoy the cozy pro-Russian feelings. There's one born every day.
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@efghggdxlmfn33 i take that as a "no". But keep living in a Russian disinfo bubble.
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@Peter-xg5fq "It will be short lived. Zelensky will regret it!" Good, you've made it to the second stage of grief.
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@miriamweller812 "that this kind of warfare does not work at all with establishing supply lines, which you can't hide and on top of that reveal your positions." How does this differ with any other border area? Ukraine simply has more territory now. Supplying the new border isn't more difficult than supplying the old border.
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@mittensandcoconut Russia doesn't need a buffer zone, though.
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@doctordankovscky8146 I guess you're joking, or did you mean to say 180 degrees? 🙂
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@doctordankovscky8146 so when this this happen with Western Europe and the US? Was it when, after the cold war, the US ramped down military stationed in Europe from 300k to 60k and reduced nukes from 7,000 to 100? Was it when Europe basically drew down military spending to symbolic levels? Was it Germany intentionally made itself energy dependent on Rssia to reassure it by trade? Was it when Rssia got away with these novichok poisonings, downing passenger planes, invading countries and pumping us full with propaganda? I agree it's a bit spineless and dishonorable. How anyone can think the horde has any honor after all this however, that's just baffling.
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@doctordankovscky8146 ah, so that's the problem. You're a Serb?
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@doctordankovscky8146 I'm a bit puzzled. You say there was a country called Yugoslavia "until it was bombed by NATO in 1999". But it remained Yugoslavia until 2003. But ok, what do you think Western Europe should have done in response to the ethnic cleansing of the Kosovars? Nothing?
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@nikxin3763 I'm talking about spending. Europe didn't spend enough on its military to be a threat to Rssia. We saw it clearly when the Ukraine war started - Europe couldn't supply Ukraine with enough shells, even.
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@nikxin3763 yes and no. They didn't have enough 155 mm shells, nor enough HIMARS rockets. They simply didn't prepare for this war.
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@kalaman12 "Point is they tryed to reach nuclear power plant in kursk region." No, that's just Rssian prpaganda.
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@Moosemoose1 the Kursk population doesn't seem to care. They are so depoliticized by Putin's repression that they're kindof occupied either way.
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@ivoivic2448 what advice?
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@ivoivic2448 ok, so what do I deny that is true?
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@ivoivic2448 ok, so you're just adding noise.
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@ivoivic2448 it helps me cope with huge numbers of comments if people stop voicing empty disagreements (no arguments).
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@jinkazama7491 "Russia has the capacity to produce what really matters, weapons." The US and NATO has been building new production lines for quite some time now. As they come online, they reduce the opportunities for Rssia to prevail. Western weaponry has better quality and the west gradually loosens restrictions on types and usage scenarios. "Even JD Vance has admitted" He is a pro-Rssian stooge.
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@jinkazama7491 "Labelling JD as “pro Russian” for calling out the situation on the ground" That's not all what he does. He's an isolationist denying the US' strategic interests. "the fact that Western weapons has failed dramatically in Ukraine as the last 2 years has shown us" That's not how I interpret Russia's failure to make appreciable gains. "To the point where the WH and Brussels had to start scouring the world for Soviet era replacements because what the west produces in a year, Ukraine uses in a day !" It began with what Ukraine already knew how to use. The US alone aims to produce around 85,000 shells per month late this year, and that's just the beginning. "What JD has done was exposed how corrupt the U S administration is to the point where western cutting edge tech is getting blown up left and right" That's pretty nonsensical.
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@eens9579 the Ukrainian "fly" turns out to be a wasp, injecting eggs into the spider's body. The larvae will proceed to eat the spider from the inside.
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@Demszel it was allowed, despite being Rssian disinfo. Congrats!
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