Comments by "jeppen" (@jesan733) on "Lex Clips" channel.

@keving.5295 "there is always a negotiated settlement unless one side has the overwhelming advantage." Like the Afghanistan wars?
1
@AlexandrawOfficial_Lexi "crimea voted to leave" So did Catalonia. They didn't get to do it either, because it's not allowed by international law.
1
@AlexandrawOfficial_Lexi if a country allows a part to secede, then it's allowed, because countries are sovereign. For Kosovo, Serbia's genocidal actions against Kosovo created a dilemma, because either the genocide and ethnic cleansing would be allowed, or Kosovo was allowed to secede, and then the latter principle won out, because genocide is the worse option.
1
"The war will end when Ukraine loses or we have a nuclear war." Ah, just as the Afghanistan wars? "Imperialist wars are inevitable" As long as there are brutal dictatorships. "usually the big loses occur during a period of too much debt crippling a dying hegemony" Ah, here it comes, the pet peeve that explains everything. "The US is a fading divided empire with debt of $32tn growing at $2tn per annum." American debt held by Americans. "They rely on maintaining a dominant currency that they can keep printing more of" No, they rely on being a 25 trillion production machine with world class innovation and entrepreneurship, attracting talent and capital from all over the world. "Held in place by endless military expansion." There's zero military expansion by the US. "This proxy war with Russia has accelerated the decline" ... of Russia, and made NATO find its purpose again, and two additional important members. Allies are ramping up military production at a time it was dangerously low. "it pushed China and Russia together" Did it? What lethal aid is China providing Russia? "In fact western military industrial capabilities is predicated on private company profits not national security. There is no surge capacity." True, but it's changing. NATO has like 45% of global GDP to play with.
1
I think Ukraine will be able to prevail with European support alone. The EU is ramping up weapons production and support. For sure it will be more costly for Ukraine, but eventually doable.
1
@BojanPeric-kq9et Ukraine has been able to hold the Russians back and regain some territory for over 2 years now. The west has additional capabilities to unlock for Ukraine, so long-term it doesn't look good for Russia.
1
@Tiasung yes, we Europeans are massively against Russia's war, and therefore we support Ukraine.
1
@hrissan the US, even after 2014, refused to give Ukraine any heavy military equipment to not provoke Russia. Being friends with a country is not a reason to invade it and steal its territory. There's was no risk to Russian territorial integrity from minor collaboration between Ukraine and the US. Russia has the world's largest artillery arsenal and the world's largest nuclear arsenal.
1
Countries may break up due to civil war. Ukraine ain't that, here Russia is invading in a war of imperial expansion.
1
@maxinabo afaik, Israel, Turkey and China haven't annexed territories of other recognized states. Please give examples if you think they did.
1
@maxinabo Turkish occupation of Cyprus is regarded as illegal in international law, so it hasn't set a precedent where territorial expansions by force from other established countries is viewed as ok. AFAIK Palestine and Tibet aren't recognized countries. The question here is whether the international community is going to say to Russia: "Ok, you took this territory by force from Ukraine, a UN member country, and now we recognize that territory as part of Russia." This would break post-WW2 international order. Turkey has occupied a part of Cyprus, but the international community maintains, to this day, that this occupation is illegal. That is because of the post-WW2 international order.
1
@maxinabo a lack of recognition is more important to deter a slide back to the age of warring and expanding empires. As long as it is diplomatically and financially costly for countries to maintain illegal occupations, fewer countries will try more occupations, which strongly reduces the number of wars.
1
@maxinabo how old are you, who write like a child? Of course trade restrictions can be circumvented, at a cost. Even North Korea can get stuff in. Everybody knows that. But it's costly to setup shell companies and extra middlemen.
1
@iiiooo3803 it wasn't until 2008 that Kosovo declared independence and the United States recognized Kosovo as an independent state. It wasn't much of a precedent. The peacekeeping force was motivated by Serbia's atrocities and ethnic cleansing, and Kosovo wasn't annexed by an expansionist empire. Nothing like Russia's expansionist war against Ukraine.
1
@puzzled012 yes, Ukraine is a democracy. E.g. Zelensky won against a real competitor incumbent, and power was peacefully transferred to him. Has that ever happened in Russia?
1
@puzzled012 "it means they should blame EVERYONE in said democracy for genocide!" Feel free.
1
@puzzled012 "ah yes, democratic genocide of Native Americans comes to mind..." Ok, so what's your point?
1
@tyrentyren so USA needs to provide welfare services and such to allies like Japan because it has bases there, and is thereby an occupier? I simply can't take that seriously.
1
@nesa6582 NATO provided peacekeeping forces on the ground after Serbia agreed to a peace plan. International criminal courts have established that there was pretty extreme ethnic cleansing, so the evidence is in. Denying it makes no sense.
1
@reqontra there was ethnic cleansing and some massacre before as well, but yes this accelerated greatly by Serbia after NATO started the campaign. Mass killings, expulsions, rapes, lootings and destruction.
1
@yellowwasprakija2869 funny, like a flerfer trying to shame a geologist.
1
@tyrentyren in Kosovo? Can you prove that the multinational peacekeeping force KFOR didn't bother itself with that?
1
@tyrentyren if I look at liveuamap, nothing is colored with a key that says "occupied by the US". The US has small contingents of forces in Syria, just supporting the local administrations. The government-controlled areas of Syria includes Iranian and Russian forces. Does that mean Iran and Russia are occupiers that needs to do law enforcement in local prison camps?
1