Comments by "jeppen" (@jesan733) on "Peace talks will take a long time" video.

@DavidGitongawriter the Kherson exit, the Kupiansk sprint and the Kursk incursion says otherwise. Ukraine can clearly take territory. Also, the Kremlin could collapse and then it's pretty likely the army will just retreat.
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@Princip666 I see from your many comments that you're immersed in ru disinfo.
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@pedritochocolate4094 he has said he could accept continued occupation and relegate it to diplomacy to get them liberated eventually. I don't think he can accept a deal where the occupied territories are internationally recognized as Russian.
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@evgeniya7853 the Minsk agreements stated that foreign military should exit Donbass. Putin refused, and he refused to let his puppets execute on the other parts of the agreement as well.
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@Princip666 you exemplify pro-Russian maturity.
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@michaelotieno6524 the Eastern front has not collapsed. Not sure it's been downhill, really. Russia has grabbed 0.5% of Ukraine since then, but at a cost that is clearly not worth it. The issues are mounting for Russia.
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He might not see that as a deal-breaking problem.
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@Princip666 very clever. Obviously I made a judgement based on the contents of your many posts, not their numbers. You're clearly supporting Ru disinfo narratives, so either you're paid, a s-dist tr-ll or a useful idi-t. I'm trying to be charitable, so I'm assuming the latter, thereby "immersed in Ru disinfo".
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Yeah, shovels. Pro-Ru people laughing at the same unfunny joke for 2 years straight. No tism there, nosiree.
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@michaelotieno6524 correctly so. NATO expansion has prevented Russia from e.g. waging war in the Baltics.
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@Princip666 fact remains, and as I pointed out, people see it.
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I think you may be right that Putin will have to go. But it's very hard to gauge the stability of the regime, as we've seen so many times how dictatorships look stable until they aren't. There are several possibilities: Unexpected natural death. Kremlin coup Assassination by Ukraine Popular revolution All of these are low-probability events, but they compound and with each month, the likelihood of each rises.
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@johnadam2885 I follow Anders and I can't remember any of these predictions. Can you provide evidence that he made them?
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@Princip666 I presented an observation, not an argument. With 13 likes so far in the middle of a discussion, it seems plenty others made the same observation.
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@Politik_International Russia demanded capitulation back then too.
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@Princip666 not running, still here.
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@evgeniya7853 Russia demanded capitulation then too.
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@evgeniya7853 Russia didn't demand implementation of Minsk in Istanbul, it demanded Ukraine make itself defenseless and also recognize Crimea as Russian and Donbass as independent. It knew that none of this could not fly, but still does everything to make it sound like it was the reasonable party and that West prevented a deal. You pro-Russians loyally repeat this narrative, while adding "lol" as you're so happy about your favorite Empire's ability to bully smaller neighbors.
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Och du är en såpass stark analytiker att du kan göra den bedömningen? Säkert.
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What support do you lack, primarily?
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@cheztaylor8 if it's 8 minutes to Moscow from Ukraine, it's 11 minutes from the Baltics. By the same token, it's 3 minutes from the US coast to Washington, so a few submarines could hit Washington faster. Decapitation attacks are always possible, but both countries spread out their heads a bit and have MAD second-strike possibilities anyway. Why do you say the US would immediately build missile bases in Ukraine, considering it hasn't in e.g. the Baltics?
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@markopodganjek845 The Budapest memorandum did not explicitly or implicitly require Ukraine to adopt a neutral stance or prevent it from joining military alliances like NATO. Ukraine retained full sovereignty over its foreign policy decisions. There was no signed agreement to join NATO on the Bucharest summit in 2008, merely a political statement of intent from NATO. Ukraine was refused a membership action plan because it was very far from ready for that.
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@Princip666 the Instanbul talks have been heavily mythologized by Ru propaganda. I guess you've fallen for that.
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@Princip666 very clever. Obviously I made a judgement based on the contents of your many posts, not their numbers. You're clearly supporting Ru disinfo narratives, so either you're paid, a sadist troll or a useful idiot. I'm trying to be charitable, so I'm assuming the latter, thereby "immersed in Ru disinfo".
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@hejejdegjxid4682 note that there were three mutually exclusive alternatives. So there's no "and". And yes, what's the point really of arguing with a guy like that?
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@Princip666 they're relevant to a point I was making.
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@Princip666 I've never even attempted to defend it. I just made the observation.
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@Princip666 you're an apologist and a cheerleader for Russia's aggression that has so far killed hundreds of thousands, maimed a million, destroyed cities, traumatized millions of children, made refugees out of millions, and increased global prices for the poor. Is that perhaps shameful?
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@Princip666 I just smile when pro-Russians call others shameful.
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@a.brekkan4965 we're not done yet.
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 @Princip666 not too worried when a pro-Russian find others shameful.
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@markopodganjek845 oh, is Russia fully backed by China? I just saw a clip where China's diplomats vehemently denied they're supporting Russia. Anyway, good luck with the PPP GDP.
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@evgeniya7853 no, it wasn't the essence of the Minsk agreements, and also obviously the Minsk agreements didn't stipulate that Ukraine has to neuter itself and give up Crimea.
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 @evgeniya7853 Crimea had no right to hold a referendum on secession, nor the right to secede nor the right to join Russia. That's not how international law works.
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@evgeniya7853 the nyt document essentially confirms what I say.
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@evgeniya7853 I'm great at reading comprehension, thanks.
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@evgeniya7853 Kosovo became an exception due to the Serbs' ethnic cleansing, and its independence is still only recognized by half of the world.
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@nigelgarrett7970 these ru bots are just lying through their teeth.
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@cheztaylor8 and why has the US now, after 20 years of Lithuanian NATO membership, decided it needs a permanent presence as a "trip-wire"? Could it be that Russia's threat is growing? The US did everything to not provoke Russia. E.g. it refused to arm Ukraine, it has not placed nukes near Russia, and so forth. Paradoxically, that actually provoked Russia into arming itself and starting wars. Why? Because a criminal is provoked into action by the weaknesses of its victims, and by the inability of the system to punish him.
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@ what provokes the criminal isn't the strength of his victims, but their weakness. We've learned this the hard way now.
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Trump could, but Biden has set up Ukraine to last quite for some time, and Europe has been ramping up defense production to increase supply for three years now. And Europe has quite a lot of money. If it comes to Trump and says: "Hey, we'll pay you good money for all the arms from now on, and send it to Ukraine, we'll bankroll it all." Do you think a transactional guy like Trump will turn that down because of a strong desire for peace on Russia's terms?
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