Comments by "jeppen" (@jesan733) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @stevegolden8720  Americans should be defending Europe because you've committed to do just that. We live in the security order that you designed. I don't think Trump will win, but we'll see.
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  2. Let's hear some examples of misinformation and outright lies.
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  3.  @TheMrCougarful  people said 20 years ago that nuclear is too slow, and people will say 20 years from now that nuclear is too slow. But it really isn't, it's almost arbitrarily fast, and there's no urgency it seems.
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  4. It's very clear that Trump has declined if you compare old and new speeches.
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  5.  @antman7673  problem is that if you can enrich to reactor grade, you can enrich to weapons grade. The energy requirements is mainly in the beginning when enrichment is very low. Going higher is cheap and quick in comparison.
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  6. Agree, but nuclear has been available for mass production in various sizes for 50 years. It's always politics and red tape that stand in the way.
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  7. France has been doing fairly well with close to replacement rate TFR, although it's been dropping worrisomely post pandemic.
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  8. The interview with Rogan was a disaster. Rogan even laughed at him when he couldn't answer simple questions.
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  9. I think she'll win though.
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  10.  @stevengrice1807  what's holding back RE is intermittence, right? Even if you kill all big baseload, the potential for non-stored RE is still pretty low.
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  11.  @jfilmsproductions7289  when Russia fails, as in Ukraine, they obviously make additional preparations and try again. We know this, so if Russia tries and fails sending nukes, how do we respond? We may only have minutes or hours in such a situation.
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  12.  @johnnyel  tinfoil hat on!
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  13. Could you give some examples of how she does that?
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  14. In foreign policy, that might not work too well, and now the MAGA crowd is essentially doing Putin's bidding.
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  15. What do you have against Harris? She seems very sharp and well merited.
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  16. Being anti-MAGA isn't being pro-democrat.
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  17. Inflation isn't the president's fault.
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  18.  @srwven  a few hundred kilos of battery will be valuable and recycled. So the minerals needed is basically a one-time cost for the switch to non-petro transport. I'm a fan of nuclear, but RE is a fairly good match to EVs since you can often charge the battery when electricity prices are low.
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  19.  @Ai-dz7ys  "£60,000 to own a top of the range Tesla Y." So what ICE car would you compare that with? A bottom of the range Toyota Corolla? "Oh and don't forget, the batteries are screwed after a much shorter time than a combustion engine" Why do you think so? I think the opposite is true.
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  20. "If you look at the history of reactor development they started "modular" and then when they got them working well the first thing everyone did was make them as big as they could because it makes the energy so much cheaper." Well, at least they thought so, and perhaps it worked for some time, but was it the right long-term choice? Large cores are harder to cool, and safety considerations have been driving costs. Large constructions also give less experience accumulation and series production. It also give longer construction times, which add to interest, and add financial risk, which also increase interest rates. The pain points today seem very much connected to the enormous sizes. But yeah, I agree the government should make sure we build a bunch of each of promising designs. Then they can compete.
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  21.  @ninefox344  of course I agree that big LWRs are safe enough, but the bureacracies do not. Sweden built in 4-5 years a pop 40 years ago. We need to get down to 4 years or less ideally, but we're up at 12 years or something like that. I think SMRs can help with that. It may be for the wrong reasons, but we need to do whatever works in the world of constraints that we're in.
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  22.  @michaeldavis3819  no, I think the major problem was actually the socialism, devoid of economic insight.
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  23. Ukraine did pretty well until the US stopped supporting. It will again do well if the US resumes support. NATO will expand as long as there are eligible countries that wants protection from Russia.
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  24.  @vknight7497  why is that unreasonable?
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  25.  @michaelbizon444  TDS simply makes sense.
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  26.  @DumbDempolicysayswhat  so you think the just-in-time aspect of Peter's commentary is crucial? When I look back at the recent vids, it doesn't seem so to me, just looking at the headlines. E.g. the national debt, the sinaloa cartel, immigration, the future of various countries and so forth. Of course, there's usually a reason why the topic is trending and why Peter addresses it, but still.
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  27.  @thomasv9258  what are you talking about? Harris is about 5x better than Trump at doing both.
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  28.  @madcatz3702  I think the DEI thing is backfiring as we speak. She has a strong merit list, and clearly intelligent, so not DEI hire. Most people know this and claiming otherwise just reinforces the perception of misogyny in GOP and in the GOP ticket.
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  29.  @ronbridges3933  tin foil hat on!
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  30. Dude, don't listen so much to Russian propaganda.
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  31.  @ethanwetzel7  that's just your cognitive dissonance speaking.
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  32.  @knpstrr  no, they don't use energy 4x more efficiently. It's roughly the same efficiencies from thermal energy to wheel for ICE and EVs.
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  33.  @knpstrr  why do you compare with 25 mpg? I remarked to another guy: "Yes, 100 kWh goes 300 miles. And then that's 110 kWh before charging losses. And that's 275 kWh thermal energy in a thermal power plant at 40% efficiency. And 275 kWh is equivalent to 8.3 gallons of gasoline. So 300/8.3 = 36 mpg. And that's not better than highway Toyota Corolla mpg"
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  34.  @knpstrr  no, I'm not making an argument for better grid power generation. I'm making an argument against attempts to portray EVs as more efficient. Electricity's higher energy quality has been known like forever, and you pay for the higher energy quality by corresponding losses in conversion to electricity. There is no primary energy win in using EVs. They are not more efficient in a well/mine to wheel perspective and that's what matters. However they do give flexibility in choice of power source, including not only coal but also nuclear/wind/solar/hydro and that matters, obviously.
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  35.  @knpstrr  I can't stop you from being disingenuous and refusing to acknowledge that EVs don't save energy.
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  36. It's just you who refuse to recognize the real conspiracy theorists, like Tulsi and RFK jr.
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  37.  @zee9709  no I didn't.
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  38. True, but that's also fissile and the excess nuclear weapons plutonium has been diluted into fuel for civilian reactors.
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  39. Did she? How?
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  40.  @hikashia.halfiah3582  "arbiter of truth" and "enforcer of order" are interchangeable in your arguments, so you didn't really motivate why one should be handled by an institution such as the police and one not. If you meant to do so?
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  41. What's really stupid is employing RFK Jr, Elon Musk and Tulsi Gabbard.
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  42. Unlike Trump, he's weird in a good way.
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  43. There are strong bipartisan majorities for lots of things, including support to Ukraine, but the current speaker of the House is a nobody that sits there at the pleasure of Trump, and Trump wants him to block things so he does.
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  44.  @think_ffs3934  it's definitely the case here. We've had "just 30 years of copper left" for 100 years now, while manifolding extraction.
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  45. No worries, they're going to go all in on nuclear to have abundant cheap clean energy. No wait, that was the alternate universe. My bad.
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  46.  @xhagast yeah, kindof. But there are socialists, like in Sweden, that don't do the most d-mb things in socialism because they understand some of the consequences it would have. Chavez didn't seem to have that filter and knowledge.
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  47. There could be multiple reasons for such unwillingness, but none are good.
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  48.  @richardtaylor6341  I would say that at best, those who opposes it don't understand the consequences. At worst, they don't care or even welcome the consequences.
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  49. If you don't see the cognitive decline and the lacking intellect in Trump's ramblings, then I'm sorry, but its Dunning-Kruger Deluxe.
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  50. Same with police and courts, could go very wrong if we create such institutions. Honestly, I think a "ministry of truth" is just one of these things we need and we have to find an institutional balance that works. The disinfo campaigns, foreign and domestic, it's doubtful we can survive them being unregulated. The mere fact that Trump is close to winning again is testament to that. And yeah, I know some media tend to overinterpret him a a bit and may see dog whistles that are or aren't there.
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