Comments by "Lars Ronæs" (@larsrons7937) on "Anders Puck Nielsen"
channel.
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Thank you Anders for a good analysis. This video was much like those 2 years ago when you predicted the invasion and when.
If the russians can enlist let's say 1,000 new troops a day, while losing 1,000 troops a day not at least at Avdiivka, then things are in balance for them until after Pootin's reelection, when they will make a new round of conscriptions. We must be prepared to support Ukraine, now, for the situation that the russians will hold their line, and next year enlist many more soldiers. We will need a lot and good equipment for Ukraine, not only what we have in storage, we must increase production too, now.
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@rambleon2838 I got that warning, in newspapers and in the TV news, on the 8th march. Latvia, USA and a number of other countries gave the same warning. So of course russia did get that warning, and if they didn't believe it, now they faced the results of not believing a fair warning.
I guess when the terrorists saw warnings everywhere they postponed their attack a couple of weeks until things had cooled down.
But really, when a number of other countries besides USA all give such a warning, the russians should expect it to be genuine. They must suffer from a severe case of paranoia, probably because they know their genocidal war against Ukraine is wrong, and we don't like it.
I'm very sure the russians could have stopped the attack if not in advance then racted with very few minutes (not 1½ hour). But maybe they didn't want to stop it? Maybe the russian regime actually wanted a disaster, so they could blame somebody (UA) else?
The russian national guard has thousands of troops a few minutes down the road from the concert hall, trained to react to this sort of situation. Why did russia choose not to react, to let the terrorists continue a killing spree for 90 mins.?
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@anderspuck @ Anders - Hemrik Krodal højere oppe (ca. 1 time efter upload) skrev flg. til dig:
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"Thanks for another great analysis.
I also think Putin has the same problem as the US under the Vietnam war. More and more Russians now know someone, who have lost a father, son or brother in the war, so I think the Russians are starting to see through the propoganda.
I wooul really like to have been to your lecture in Ringe library, but life :)
the next part is in Danish
Jeg ville have haft 3 spørgsmål til dit foredrag i Ringe, måske du har tid til at svare på dem her.
Alle militær-analytikere i verden så Ruslands væbnet styrker, som den næststørste efter USA. Alle mente Ukraine ville blive rendt over inden for en meget kort tid. Kunne man tænke sig at andre store nationer, såsom Kina, også kun har en en "papir styrke" og den rigtige styrke måske ikke er så slagkraftig?
I forlængelse af første spørgsmål. I Europa har vi virkelig oprustet efter invasionen, men når man ser Ruslands evner mod Ukraine, er det så overhovedet realistisk at Rusland kan angribe et andet land? Når jeg tænker på sikkerhedsdilemmaet, så bliver et Rusland efter krigen jo nød til også at opruste igen, nu hvor de har mistet en masse materiel.
Det sidste :) Tænker du at Rusland har ret i at, de kæmper en proxy-krig mod NATO? Jeg tænker på den økonomiske hjælp til Ukraine fra NATO-lande, de militære bidrag, (træning og udstyr) og til sidst de økonomiske sanktioner. Det er jo i virkeligheden nok mest NATO-medlemmerne som er bannerførere på alt dette, hvor andre lande holder sig mere neutrale.
På forhånd tak
Henrik (tidligere kadet)"
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@Jobo-wz9ug I remember in the 1990's when there was much debate about opening up for the East European countries into the EU. Many were worried. "They are less developed and poor, but we can handle that, but... they will threaten our leading own position" (Please note, I'm from a small country not in any such "leading" position). I could understand that, but felt it was terribly wrong. "No! We do not need anyone to be 'leading', we all have our say, have mutual similarities and differences, and we will evolve and prosper even when we quarrel." The values of freedom and Democracy is what bind us all together, and even when I used to be opposing EU as such, I've always been glad to have EU enriched by all the new nations, new ideas and culture etc., that joined us. And I am very excited about the prospects of Ukraine joining the EU, a people so full of inspiration. Let's help them to make it happen soon. 🔱🌻 Slava Ukraini! Heroyam Slava! Stay safe! 💙💛
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When Russia is inly the second strongest army in Ukraine then Ukraine must be the strongest army in Europe.
I believe we should give Ukraine a highspeed ticket into EU and NATO as soon as the war is over. ......
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Not only for several obvious reasons:
They deserve it (yes they do).
They know how to fight "the NATO way" (they do, and more).
They are the largest and far most experienced army in Europe (they are).
...But also for protecting their underground natural resources (Oh no, not oil again? Yes, sorry, oil and gas), for those are needed to help finance rebuilding and evolving the country. Russia is the one who has to pay, yes, both with the longterm effect of the sanctions Russia won't be in a position to do so for decades, their economy will end up more than devastated. We must ensure Ukraine comes back up and prospers. Neighbouring Poland will be an EU netto provider (adding more than they recieve) in only a couple of years. Its a mutual benefit for Poland, EU, and NATO. Ukraine can become the same, a solid pillar for our common prosperous future.
Slava Ukraini! Heroyam Slava! Stay safe!
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1 time gammel, næsten ny udsendelse, og du har 700 kommentarer allerede. Imponerende. Det viser, at du vækker tanker i folk.
[Eng] Good short analysis covering many important points.
Clearly this was well planned, yes. The incredibly speedy advance on Moscow proves it. Then, was it "all-or-nothing" instead of arrest? Maybe, or not. The question is if the Luka-deal was "planned" ("false flag...")? Which I don't think, I think Prigozhin was oppotunistic. But who knows.
Some small details or questions (rumours) got little attention in the media and blurr the picture. 1) If Ukraine helped in some way? Zelenskyy did come on the screen to insult Pootin; why, unless he was expecting it could help on an expected fall of Pootin? I did hear that russia jammed some surveilance options over russia.
Another thing that got hardly any attention (and I did not check if it is true). Crypto currency. I heard about a "Wagner-coin" crypto, of which Prigozhin should have owned the major part, that went sky high in value with the munity going on, then dropping drastically again with the "agreement" rumours rolling in. Did Prigozhin sell his own coins when it topped, before making a deal? I hope someone else can tell us more about this, if there's anything to it.
In any case, I think this is far from over yet. And it might come to influence how the war is waged in Ukraine, especially if Prigozhin got some high level power in Kreemlin out of this "deal". Thanks again for the analysis, Anders. 🔱🌻 Slava Ukraini! 💙💛
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15 countries have allowed their weapons to be used inside russia, some with restrictions, the vast majority without:
The US, the UK, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway (I think, not sure), Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Chechia, and I think Spain too (reasonable since Spain is donating a Patriot system).
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@DdiafwlL Have you noticed how russia in a full year only was ably to take a single town, Bakhmut, and a few surrounding villages? And since then, over a year, again only was able to take a single town, Avdiivka, and a few surrounding villages? And Avdiivka only because Ukraine was out of ammunition. russia "won" a fight against defenders who weren't fighting back. Even if you expect the russians to be ably to continue these hilarious small gains it'll take them about 3,200 years to capture all of Ukraine - if you're optimistic and nothing new happens. Even the pressure on the Ukrainians has been the hardest (you call it "the frontline is crumbling " which is not correct), russia in over 7 months still haven't been able to take as much (actually very little) territory as Ukraine liberated in their last summer's 3½ months counter offensive that "failed". If that failed then russia has been failing twice as hard ever since, and is still failing simply by advancing so utterly slow.
The truth is that since November 2022 NO side has had any real "advances" on the ground. There has only been the common minor fluctuance of the frontline. If you want to find real advances in the war you'll have to look at the naval war, the air war, and the strategic war. Not the land war.
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@larsbundgaard5462 Silicon Curtain is a private YT channel that does interviews with people with any significant insight etc. concerning anything that has to do with the russia-Ukraine situation. Jonathan Fink uploads new video daily or every second day, each interview taking about an hour.
The variety of people interviewed is broad: Analysts, experts within all branches, politicians, grassroot spokespersons, russian opposition, philosphers, YouTubers (you probably know all of them incl. Anders Puck Nielsen), etc. etc.
The topics in the interviews are as diverse as the guests are. russian misinformation is one of the more frequent topics. I think Jonathan (the YouTuber) is onvolved in some international work to try to combat russian misinformation. Lately he participated in meetings, held in Munich in connection to the Security Conference, with Operator Starsky and others.
Some of his guests have been interviewed multible times over the last two years. I think British russia-specialist Jade McGlynn and US general Ben Hodges each have been interviewed four times on the channel (I highly recommend the interviews with those two, they are very informative and eye-opening).
Most of the interviews I've seen have been thought-provoking and very interesting and I'm sad I can't find time to watch all his interviews.
I do recommend you check out the channel and a few videos.
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