Comments by "Lars Ronæs" (@larsrons7937) on "How is the war going? – Early October 2023" video.

I saw footage of russian conscripts getting ready for being sent to the front. They too were training in the wet element - they were up to their throat drunk in vodka.
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As with "Perun" (channel) "Anders Puck Nielsen" is among the most unbiased channel around, purely analytic. While both personally support Ukraine they keep their videos neutral, and always make it clear if they say something of their own opinion. These two channels I must give my highest recommendations.
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Last spring and autumn last year operation, or rather: Movement, advances, slowed down, but did in no way stop. Ukraine advanced on Kherson while Wagner Gr. advanced on Bakhmut (and the russian MoD army advanced nowhere for 15 months since Lysychansk). I guess we can expect about the same for the coming wet season: Movement slowed down but not stopping.
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@worldpiece2023 Last autumn the Ukrainian offensives slowed down but didn't stop for the weather. I don't think the weather last year had any impact on the artillery support. A howitzer can fire the same no matter how much mud is on the track 15 kms away. russia's airforce too is the same now as it'll be when there's mud on the ground. Just because the heavy western tanks have difficulties with very deep mud, I can't see why we should expect "a mess". It wasn't a mess before they got those tanks, mud or not, at least not more than equal to both sides. Just like last spring and autumn last year, when the mud comes expect thing to evolve more or less like they would without mud, only at a slower pace.
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