Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "The Evolution of Putin: How Russia's Leader Became an Autocrat - TLDR News" video.
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In general, the most incomprehensible thing in this war is Putin's goals. Considering what price Russia is paying for the war in Ukraine, sanctions, etc., it becomes unclear - is it worth it? Putin is not crazy, is he? It seems to me that if we want to understand Russia's goals, we should still listen to what Putin said on February 24. Of course, he lied and exaggerated, but still the declaration of war speech contains the reasons for the war, albeit exaggerated in order to justify it. What if Putin is really right about something, or did he have no choice?
Putin said that Ukraine wanted to join NATO. So, what if Ukraine, having joined NATO, and having received guarantees of independence from Western countries that have nuclear weapons, could use these guarantees to return Donbass, and possibly Crimea to its composition? And Putin, knowing this, decided to strike a screwing blow, to forestall the enemy.
Judge for yourself - if Russia is hungry for expansion, then why was Georgia not completely captured in 2008? Why was peace concluded with Georgia after 5 days of fighting, although the defeat of the Russian army was not inflicted, but on the contrary - the Georgian army was defeated in Ossetia, and Russian troops on the fifth day of the war approached the outskirts of Tbilisi, the capital of Georgia, after which peace was concluded on the Georgian initiative. This means that expansion is not the goal of Russia. And if Putin wanted to seize Ukraine, he should have attacked in 2014 or 2015, when Ukraine simply did not have an army. And so it turns out that Putin gave Ukraine 8 years to prepare for war. This means that the decision to invade Ukraine was made spontaneously, and before that, in 2021, 2020, 2019 and other years, Putin did not plan an invasion of Ukraine. What could make Putin make a quick decision? Well, only my point of view is logical here, that Ukraine, using NATO's protection guarantees, wanted to seize Donbass, and that Putin simply had no choice whether to invade Ukraine or not, because if he had not invaded, Donbass would have been taken by Ukrainian troops, and Russia, risking a clash with NATO, would have been sitting on the sidelines. In general, it is worthwhile to understand in principle what has been happening for the last 8 years.
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Кризис 2008 года был Мировым, Путин тут вообще ни при чем. В 2014-15 было еще и падение цены на нефть а также дефицит резервной валюты - доллара, что было вызвано ухудшением отношений с США. В целом, экономическая внутренняя политика Путина заключается в том, что в России была построена довольно обычная модель капитализма, такая же, как на Западе. Философия Путинского государства заключается в отрицании советского опыта, типа "государство вам ничего не должно, в то же время и вы можете получать черную зарплату в конверте и не платить налоги". Экономическая внутренняя политика Путина на самом деле нормальная, основанная на нашем историческом опыте, хотя ее эффективность низка из-за качества государственных институтов, а вот внешняя политика Путина это уже важный и спорный вопрос.
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In general, the most incomprehensible thing in this war is Putin's goals. Considering what price Russia is paying for the war in Ukraine, sanctions, etc., it becomes unclear - is it worth it? Putin is not crazy, is he? It seems to me that if we want to understand Russia's goals, we should still listen to what Putin said on February 24. Of course, he lied and exaggerated, but still the declaration of war speech contains the reasons for the war, albeit exaggerated in order to justify it. What if Putin is really right about something, or did he have no choice?
Putin said that Ukraine wanted to join NATO. So, what if Ukraine, having joined NATO, and having received guarantees of independence from Western countries that have nuclear weapons, could use these guarantees to return Donbass, and possibly Crimea to its composition? And Putin, knowing this, decided to strike a screwing blow, to forestall the enemy.
Judge for yourself - if Russia is hungry for expansion, then why was Georgia not completely captured in 2008? Why was peace concluded with Georgia after 5 days of fighting, although the defeat of the Russian army was not inflicted, but on the contrary - the Georgian army was defeated in Ossetia, and Russian troops on the fifth day of the war approached the outskirts of Tbilisi, the capital of Georgia, after which peace was concluded on the Georgian initiative. This means that expansion is not the goal of Russia. And if Putin wanted to seize Ukraine, he should have attacked in 2014 or 2015, when Ukraine simply did not have an army. And so it turns out that Putin gave Ukraine 8 years to prepare for war. This means that the decision to invade Ukraine was made spontaneously, and before that, in 2021, 2020, 2019 and other years, Putin did not plan an invasion of Ukraine. What could make Putin make a quick decision? Well, only my point of view is logical here, that Ukraine, using NATO's protection guarantees, wanted to seize Donbass, and that Putin simply had no choice whether to invade Ukraine or not, because if he had not invaded, Donbass would have been taken by Ukrainian troops, and Russia, risking a clash with NATO, would have been sitting on the sidelines. In general, it is worthwhile to understand in principle what has been happening for the last 8 years.
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