Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "BBC News"
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Ukraine has been mobilizing since February 24, and the number of the Ukrainian army is growing every day, while Russia is fighting with a limited contingent of contract volunteers. Regardless of the losses of the Russian and Ukrainian sides, there is such a situation that Ukraine has accumulated a serious numerical advantage, and as a result, the Russian offensive in the Donbas has stopped and for 3 months now there have been battles for Bakhmut, Soledar and Disputed. And the Ukrainian army is successfully advancing in the Kherson region, and recently they very quickly liberated the Kharkiv region. Therefore, Putin, in the seventh month of the war, decided to begin mobilizing reservists in order to at least equalize the number of the two warring armies. Because when the Ukrainian army has a numerical advantage of one and a half or two times over the Russian one, military actions are not in favor of Russia. In general, it would be better if the military operations on February 24 did not even begin
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@kingsleykester8167 Let's discuss the "military defeat of Russia in Ukraine." First of all, what do you mean by military defeat? - During the four months of the war, Russia established control over quite extensive territories of Ukraine. Do not forget that Ukraine is the largest country in Europe, and Russia essentially controls territories in 30% of Italy and 25% of Germany. Ukraine is not capable of conducting effective counter-offensives. Or maybe you mean by the defeat of Russia great losses? Well, excuse me - the attacking side, other things being equal, always bears greater losses than the defending side, especially in the 21st century. Perhaps if the American first army in the World had invaded Ukraine in the same way, maybe they would have been even more destroyed than the Russian second army of the World. The Russians invaded Ukraine without a numerical advantage, with an equal number of troops, although military science requires a preponderance, other things being equal, for a successful offensive. Do not forget that war has not been declared, and there is no mobilization in Russia.
So by the third month of the war, Ukrainians had gained a numerical advantage over the grouping of Russian troops. So it is not worth judging the training and competence of the Russian troops by what results they have achieved. Firstly, if Russian conscripts are fighting in Ukraine, then in very small numbers and somewhere in the rear, but there are no conscripts on the front line. Ukrainian conscripts, untrained and poorly equipped, are fighting against the Russian contract army, although the Russian contract army, admittedly, is worse than the Ukrainian contract army. The Russians have much more artillery, aircraft and equipment.
Thus, we have a situation that if we take the level of training of Ukrainian contract soldiers for 100, then Russian contract soldiers have a level of training of 75, and Ukrainian conscripts at 40. And they are fighting each other with equal numbers, although the Russians have a preponderance in technology. For 2 months, the front line has hardly changed, so far Russia has been holding the profits of the first month of the war.
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I'm from Russia, and I can explain. Firstly, there is no war legally, which means that Russia's military capabilities are limited. Russian conscripts are not fighting in Ukraine. There was a scandalous case in March when it turned out that some general used 600 conscripts in the rear. He was fired and convicted for it. There are no conscripts in Ukraine, there are only contract soldiers. At the same time, war has not been declared, and Russian contractors are able to refuse a contract and service in Ukraine. However, if you are already in Ukraine, your situation is sad. Russian Russian soldiers in Ukraine were deceived by the state - the war has not been declared and formally there are no Russians in Ukraine, they are not paid the promised money, and they are also refused to be sent home, although all Russian soldiers in Ukraine signed a contract for 90 days. They were deceived, they were thrown for money, the state uses them as cannon fodder. But in general, Russia is fighting without mobilization and only by contractors, while Ukraine is conducting a total mobilization of the population. The result is sad for Russia
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Russia don't have reasons to invade any other countries. Russia invaded Ukraine, because Ukraine after the democratic revolution of 2014 wanted to join NATO, and Russia counts NATO as a millitary threat . Also, Putin wants to supress democratic pro-Western revolution and return Ukraine into its sphere of influence . For the same reasons Russia have invaded Georgia in 2008. And if we would look at the map, we would see that Russia didn't fully occupied Georgia in 2008 . That means, that Putin's target isn't expansion and conquest. If Putin wanted the conquest and expansion, Georgia was occupied by Russia fully in 2008, but Russia didn't fully occupied the Georgia - only some northern parts. This is the evidence, that Russia isn't targeting expanstion, but Russia is targeting to not allow neighbouring countries to join NATO, because Russia counts NATO as a threat .
The Russian millitary operation in Ukraine is something like the US operations against Iraq - US were concerned of Iraq's nuclear programm, and Russia is concerned of NATO spreading to the East and American nukes in Poland. Also, the reasons of Russian invasion of Ukraine are familliar to reasons of US sanctions against Cuba - Russia is afraid of NATO, and US were afraid of Soviet rockets on Cuba. Russian actions at now a similliar to US and UK actions against Iran - in 1953 Iran's government started to nationalize British-owned oil productions. As an answer UK sponsored the revolutionaries in Iran to overthrew the government and revolution had a success - Western property was denationalized and returned to owners. Iran after the pro-Western revolution was a Western sphere of influence. But later, in 1979 the religious revolution had happened in Iran, and new Iranian government started anti-Western politics, like natinalization of oil productions. United States started to sanctione and seriously isolate Iran for no reason, and at now isolated Iran is a very poor country. But what Iran did against the US? Just what? Iran after the 1953 was Western oil colony, and after 1979 Iran nationalized its oil productions, and US are sanctioning Iran because they want to supress it. And America is dreaming about the return of Iran into their sphere of influence, like Russia (Putin) is dreaming about the return of Ukraine.
And this is hypocritical for US to blame and call Russia as an agressor, because America is doing the same things as Russia. Russia is agressor, and peaceful countries deserved the right to blame Russia. But not America, because America invaded Iraq and isolated Cuba and Iran for the same reasons, for which Russia invaded Ukraine. And this is very hypocritical, that America didn't faced the sanctions and isolation, while Russia faced sanctions and isolation for war. Double standarts and hypocrisy.
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@jacksonteller1337 How do you know about the combat capability of the Russian army in comparison with the Ukrainian one? Russian Russian is my language, and I can watch videos in Russian. And I saw a YouTube video posted by Ukrainian conscript soldiers, where they complained about the poor level of training, poor supplies. Ukrainian soldiers said they were being thrown with anti-personnel grenades against Russian tanks, and that Russia had total air superiority and artillery. Equipped, as can be seen from the video, they were very poorly. Western propaganda for some reason likes to flaunt the bad aspects of the Russian army, but for some reason the bad aspects of the Ukrainian army are silent. Although Ukraine is economically much poorer than Russia, Ukraine has lower wages than in Russia, Ukraine has a lower standard of living, and Ukraine has lower labor efficiency than in Russia. Ukraine is a poor backward country, one of the poorest countries in Europe, where people live worse than in Russia. It's silly to think that a country with an average salary of $230 has a really good army. Maybe Ukraine has some elite troops of the contract army, but Ukraine's economy is much worse than Russia's, which means that the supply of troops with ammunition and equipment in Ukraine should be worse in theory. Ukrainian contractors may be better than Russian contractors and conscripts, but Ukrainian conscripts have the same zero combat capability as Russian conscripts. As for military equipment, Ukraine's equipment is even older than Russia's, and Russia has modern equipment, in no way inferior to the American counterparts of the 2010s. The same Ka-52 helicopter. The T-72-b3 tank, which entered service with the Russian army in 2016, and 2,000 units have been created over the past 6 years. Western propaganda, of course, draws delusional illusions for you about an untrained, terrible and inefficient Russian army, and an allegedly professional and trained Ukrainian army, but the truth is that Ukraine is a corrupt, impoverished state where salaries are lower than in Russia.
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@dmitry9680 Russia didn't started the war in the Donbass - war in the Donbass started when the Russian protestors in the East of Ukraine (region, by 40-50% populated by Russians) had captured the governmental buildings and proclaimed their independence on 6th of april 2014. Ukraine sent army to supress the DPR and LPR, and fighting had started. Russian army entered the East of Ukraine only later, after nearly a 5 MONTHS of fighting, during the battle of Ilovaysk in august of 2014. Please, watch map video of Emperror Tigerstar about the Donbass war. The Russian separatists rebelled against Kyiv government in the april of 2014, and in the april of 2014 the war, the fighting started. Ukrainian government had announced about the Russian army in the Donbass only in august 2014. 6th April - May - June - July - August Russian army entered the East of Ukraine, when fighting already was happening for nearly 5 months. In first 5 months rebels were losing, but when the Russian army entered the East of Ukraine, Ukrainians started to lose and the frontline started to drive on the West with numerous maneouveres and encerclements. Ukrainian army was defeated by Russian forces in the battle of Ilovaysk. (Russian forces - according to Ukrainian side, Ukrainians didn't announced evidences about the Russian forces in this battle, but let's believe to Ukrainian side without evidences). After the defeat in Ilovaysk the negotiations had started, and Russia attempted to end the war. Russia offered the Minsk agreements to Ukraine - "East of Ukraine - the region, that populated by Russians, and these Russians had rebelled, starting the bloody war. So, let's end the war by giving them autonomy?". Ukraine had all power to agree with Russia and end this war already in 2014, but Ukrainian nationalism didn't allowed Ukraine to accept Russian peace proposal in 2014, and Ukraine rejected Russian peace proposal, Ukraine didn't accepted Minsk agreements, and continued the war. And at now we know what is happening - Russians simply became angry about Ukrainians and started a "crusade against nationalistic government in Kyiv". All slogans of Russian propaganda are talking about "The 8 years of war in the Donbass". For Putin suppourters this war is something like revenge, and this is one of the reasons, why Putin started the war - Putin is dictator, and he is concerned about his popularity, so he started the war, about which 1/3 part of Russians was waiting for 8 years. And at now Putin's popularity is growing.
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Mistiry Soviet Union had labor camps, like in United States, not concentration. In United States were gulags too. And in soviet gulags deathes were caused because of the war, germans occupied fertile land, and there was not enough food for the prisoners. Total died 400 000 men, not 2 million. Prisioners in labor camps had wages, rooms, free food and clothes. This is not concentration camps, this is labor camps, like in America. United States had the same thing.
The famine was caused by the fact that American companies stopped supplying grain to the USSR, on which the USSR then depended, as their agriculture was reduced to attract labor from agriculture to industrialization. The USSR reduced its agriculture to build metallurgy, oil rigs and mechanical engineering, hoping that grain would be sourced from the United States, but a drought swept around the world and American companies stopped supplying grain to the USSR. That's why there was hunger.
In "great purge" were shoten 700 000 people, not 1 700 000. The death penalty was also in America. At least half of those shot deserved their punishment, they were murderers, rapists, marauders. There were no executions for political reasons. In the USSR, there was no article that would condemn a person for anti-government statements. The problem is different, dishonest policemen fabricated cases against innocent people in order to receive bonuses and shoulder straps for being solved. And the state fought against the arbitrariness of the police, mass checks were carried out in the NKVD, and amnesties accounted for 15% of cases
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Putin believed in his own propaganda about the alleged Bandera in Ukraine, and thinking that the Ukrainian people were suppressed by their state, Putin expected to take Ukraine in 3 days. This is evidenced by the words of Russian propaganda (I live in Russia), as well as the situation at the front now. Russian military command apparently didn't prepared sufficient supplies, and the Russian troops don't have any numerical superiority over the Ukrainian army, although the attacking side suffers greater losses than the defending side. At the same time, Ukrainians have high morale, and Russians are demoralized and don't want to fight with the fraternal people. The Russian army is advancing without normal supplies and doesn't actually establish control over the territory, moving with the help of convoys vulnerable to ambushes on the roads. And after 2 weeks, the Russian army got bogged down, having just reached Ukrainian cities and achieved average success - Kherson and Melitopol were occupied, Mariupol and Chernihiv were taken in encirclements. There is no supply in the encirclements. And the Ukrainian troops in the encirclements are doomed.
Russia need to reinforce the Ukrainian theather and form the frontline, stopping the attack by roads and establishing control over the territories. Russians need to build supply infastructure. When Russians doing this, Ukrainians would have opportunity to mobilize manpower and counterattack. Russia would win this war, but there would be high casualities from both sides and the war would last for a long time. Of course, the real fighting capability of a Russian army is much and much higher, Russians showed themselves not well in Ukraine only because of small numbers, low motivation of Russian soldiers to fight against brother people, and poor supplies, because Russian command wanted to take Ukraine in 3 days.
There is possibility that Russia would accept a peace threaty, like in 2008 - when Russia didn't fully conquerred Georgia and peace threaty was made. The only difference, is that Russian army in 2008 wasn't defeated.
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@kingsleykester8167 Russia does not use 100% of its army - there is no mobilization in the country, at least 50% of Russian troops are not in Ukraine. Before the war, Russia had a land army of 360 thousand soldiers. Ukraine has 160 thousand. Against 160 thousand Ukrainian soldiers, Russia used about 150 thousand of its soldiers. At the same time, in Russia, the army remained at the pre-war level, since the war has not been formally declared and there is no mobilization, and in Ukraine everyone is put under arms. Two months later, the Ukrainians had a serious numerical advantage, and the Russian army got bogged down. At the same time, Russia almost does not use conscripts, and fights only with contract soldiers, while Ukraine uses untrained cannon fodder against Russia, which has total superiority in artillery and aviation. Russian Russian contractors, on the other hand, have anti-tank weapons and drones, and Russian contractors are not as good as the Ukrainian ones, and in an equal battle, Ukrainian contractors defeat the Russians. Now neither side can achieve success anymore
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@nrw64 nazi army killed 7 500 000 soviet civillians, and 5 000 000 died from war activity. Germany was agressor, who attacked Soviet Union. The population of the USSR was 3 times larger than the German one, and therefore Hitler wanted to thin it out strongly, leaving only a couple of million people so that the German nation would not dissolve into the Soviet one. Thanks to the victory in the war, more than 700 million lives have been saved in Eastern Europe, and Germany now does not control all of Europe. For the Russian people, this war was a question of the survival of the entire nation, which the Nazis exterminated in millions. So yes, we are proud of a leadership that, with less manpower and production capacity, managed to build a larger army, and defeat the assassins with adequate casualties of 1.5 to 1, liberating half of Europe.
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China isn't Russian friend - Chinese economy depends on the Western property rights - Chinese economy was built as a labor market for Western companies. China have more trade with US, than with Russia, and Chinese students and immigrants in US at now are normal thing. The US is main investor of Chinese economy. This is a lie, that China and USA are enemies - the government needs the picture of foreign enemy for propaganda, to unite people in the country and distract people from social problems. China and US aren't enemies - de facto Chinese economy depends on Western World as a labor market. The Chinese aren't able to build something by their numerical brains and hands. Their economy was build by Western World. And Western World, which is controlling exchange rates, depends on cheap products from China. But both Chinese and American governments are lying to their people, by picturing this "enemy". In reality China isn't suppourting Russia - China is using the moment to supress Russia in Chinese-Russian economic deals. There is no secret, that Russian-Chinese economic deals aren't equal. Russia suffering more and gaining lesser from trading with China. For example, in 2014, when Russia invaded Crimea, Russia isolated herself from the West, the West sanctioned Russia for annexation of Crimea in 2014. But Russia depends on oil and gaz trade and import of technologies. And Russia had no choise, but to build gaz pepeline to China. This peoject was very expensive to Russia, and China in 2015 simply used the situation - China was bying Russian gaz by much lower prices than Global average. China also cuts down Russian forests in Siberia for low prices, destroying the Russian ecology and beauties of Siberia. Chinese are making the building materials from Russian wood, but Chinese are selling to Russians the lowest-quality building materials, that were made from sawdust, while normal-quality materials Chinese are holding for themselves. Russia have a status of a resource colony in Russo-Chinese economic relations. And at now China would also use the situation by colonizing Russia more - Samsung and Apple already leaved Russian market, and Chinese companies would take it. Europe at now started the programm of removal from dependence from Russian gaz and oil. Russian economy is totally dependent on oil and gaz. Putin, like street bagger would run to China for economic deal. And Chinese wouldn't made this deal equal with Russians. Putin before the 2022 was an independent president, but after this war he would simply the executer of orders from Bejing.
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Russia don't have reasons to invade any other countries. Russia invaded Ukraine, because Ukraine after the democratic revolution of 2014 wanted to join NATO, and Russia counts NATO as a millitary threat . Also, Putin wants to supress democratic pro-Western revolution and return Ukraine into its sphere of influence . For the same reasons Russia have invaded Georgia in 2008. And if we would look at the map, we would see that Russia didn't fully occupied Georgia in 2008 . That means, that Putin's target isn't expansion and conquest. If Putin wanted the conquest and expansion, Georgia was occupied by Russia fully in 2008, but Russia didn't fully occupied the Georgia - only some northern parts. This is the evidence, that Russia isn't targeting expanstion, but Russia is targeting to not allow neighbouring countries to join NATO, because Russia counts NATO as a threat .
The Russian millitary operation in Ukraine is something like the US operations against Iraq - US were concerned of Iraq's nuclear programm, and Russia is concerned of NATO spreading to the East and American nukes in Poland. Also, the reasons of Russian invasion of Ukraine are familliar to reasons of US sanctions against Cuba - Russia is afraid of NATO, and US were afraid of Soviet rockets on Cuba. Russian actions at now a similliar to US and UK actions against Iran - in 1953 Iran's government started to nationalize British-owned oil productions. As an answer UK sponsored the revolutionaries in Iran to overthrew the government and revolution had a success - Western property was denationalized and returned to owners. Iran after the pro-Western revolution was a Western sphere of influence. But later, in 1979 the religious revolution had happened in Iran, and new Iranian government started anti-Western politics, like natinalization of oil productions. United States started to sanctione and seriously isolate Iran for no reason, and at now isolated Iran is a very poor country. But what Iran did against the US? Just what? Iran after the 1953 was Western oil colony, and after 1979 Iran nationalized its oil productions, and US are sanctioning Iran because they want to supress it. And America is dreaming about the return of Iran into their sphere of influence, like Russia (Putin) is dreaming about the return of Ukraine.
And this is hypocritical for US to blame and call Russia as an agressor, because America is doing the same things as Russia. Russia is agressor, and peaceful countries deserved the right to blame Russia. But not America, because America invaded Iraq and isolated Cuba and Iran for the same reasons, for which Russia invaded Ukraine. And this is very hypocritical, that America didn't faced the sanctions and isolation, while Russia faced sanctions and isolation for war. Double standarts and hypocrisy.
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In 2014 USA backed with money and propaganda a revolution, coup in Ukraine, changing power in this country, while Russia was investing money into Ukraine for years since 2000s. So USA basically robbed Russia, and Russia as an answer captured Crimea. Russia came for its share of Ukraine. This is how this war started, basically. Russia just wants its share which USA simply stolen from Russia by organizing a revolution in Ukraine. Crimea is just basically Russian territory with MAJORITY of 60% of population being Russians, and just minority of 16% of Ukrainians, which was transfered from Russia to Ukraine by Soviet government. After the collapse of USSR Russia wanted friendship and cooperation with Ukraine, and Russia recognized Crimea as Ukrainian. But American backed revolution in Ukraine changed this and Russia came to liberate Crimea at first place, and Crimean Russian population wanted to reunite with Russia for years, they are still happy that they are in Russia and support Putin and SMO. Later Russia played reverse UNO card and backed coups in the Donbass, leading to creation of Donetsk and Luhansk separatists, who declared independence from Ukraine. But instead of going to war, Putin wanted to trade this territory back to Ukraine in exchange of Russian political influence on Ukraine. And Putin had a very good deal with Ukrainian president Poroshenko, but they both made 2 mistakes - Putin lost control over Donbass rebels and they didn't wanted to make a peace deal with Uktaine. The same way Putin lost control over Prigojin and Wagner group in 2023. While Ukrainian president Poroshenko lost control over his parliament and Ukrainian parliament also rejected peace deal. So, Putin and Poroshenko made another deal - Ukraine DIDN'T returned Donbass back, but Russia was allowed to invest money into media and political parties inside Ukraine, and pro-Russian party was leading elections on 2nd place in Ukrainian parliament with 20% of vote, until Zelensky came to power and started censorship and purges against free media and his opponents in Ukraine. So, Russia lost the only one peaceful mean of influence over Ukraine and Russia used military soultion.
At now Trump is ready to make a deal with Russia dividing Ukraine 50/50. Nothing personal, just business. USA have backed with money and media revolution, change of power in Ukraine in 2014, so Russia which invested money, territories and people into Ukraine was robbed, USA simply have stolen everything from Russia, and at now USA are taking responsibility for their actions, and using diplomacy instead of war. Russia IS reliable ally and partner, unlike European Union, and in early 2000s there was an attempt of friendship between USA and Russia. When 9/11 attack happened, Putin was the first president in the World who called American president, and Russia even allowed its airspace and territory for American army going to war on terror in Afghanistan. USA and Russia need to be at least neutral and not cause problems to each other.
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China isn't Russian friend - Chinese economy depends on the Western property rights - Chinese economy was built as a labor market for Western companies. China have more trade with US, than with Russia, and Chinese students and immigrants in US at now are normal thing. The US is main investor of Chinese economy. This is a lie, that China and USA are enemies - the government needs the picture of foreign enemy for propaganda, to unite people in the country and distract people from social problems. China and US aren't enemies - de facto Chinese economy depends on Western World as a labor market. The Chinese aren't able to build something by their numerical brains and hands. Their economy was build by Western World. And Western World, which is controlling exchange rates, depends on cheap products from China. But both Chinese and American governments are lying to their people, by picturing this "enemy". In reality China isn't suppourting Russia - China is using the moment to supress Russia in Chinese-Russian economic deals. There is no secret, that Russian-Chinese economic deals aren't equal. Russia suffering more and gaining lesser from trading with China. For example, in 2014, when Russia invaded Crimea, Russia isolated herself from the West, the West sanctioned Russia for annexation of Crimea in 2014. But Russia depends on oil and gaz trade and import of technologies. And Russia had no choise, but to build gaz pepeline to China. This peoject was very expensive to Russia, and China in 2015 simply used the situation - China was bying Russian gaz by much lower prices than Global average. China also cuts down Russian forests in Siberia for low prices, destroying the Russian ecology and beauties of Siberia. Chinese are making the building materials from Russian wood, but Chinese are selling to Russians the lowest-quality building materials, that were made from sawdust, while normal-quality materials Chinese are holding for themselves. Russia have a status of a resource colony in Russo-Chinese economic relations. And at now China would also use the situation by colonizing Russia more - Samsung and Apple already leaved Russian market, and Chinese companies would take it. Europe at now started the programm of removal from dependence from Russian gaz and oil. Russian economy is totally dependent on oil and gaz. Putin, like street bagger would run to China for economic deal. And Chinese wouldn't made this deal equal with Russians. Putin before the 2022 was an independent president, but after this war he would simply the executer of orders from Bejing.
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@kingsleykester8167 The Russians invaded Ukraine without numerical superiority, despite the fact that the attacking side suffers more losses, especially Kiev - a city of four million with twenty-storey buildings. Cities are always very difficult to storm. Russian troops are stuck in the suburbs of Kiev. There is no mobilization in Russia, while it is underway in Ukraine, and therefore the Ukrainian side is gradually accumulating a numerical advantage. The Russian command, realizing that Kiev could not be taken with the available forces, withdrew troops from all regions of Ukraine, except the east and south. By the way, Ukrainians absolutely incompetently surrendered the south of their country, did not pay enough attention to the south, although they could stop the Russian offensive right on the border, in a very narrow Crimean isthmus, where the terrain is quite open. A narrow open corridor with one road. Ukraine missed a huge chance. Russian Russians became a distraction maneuver of the Russian army, because while Ukrainians were occupied by Kiev, the Russians encircled Mariupol and consolidated their success in the east of Ukraine.
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@kingsleykester8167 Before the war, Russia had a land army of 360 thousand soldiers. Ukraine has 160 thousand. Against 160 thousand Ukrainian soldiers, Russia used about 150 thousand of its soldiers. At the same time, in Russia, the army remained at the pre-war level, since the war has not been formally declared and there is no mobilization, and in Ukraine everyone is put under arms. Two months later, the Ukrainians had a serious numerical advantage, and the Russian army got bogged down. At the same time, Russia almost does not use conscripts, and fights only with contract soldiers, while Ukraine uses untrained cannon fodder against Russia, which has total superiority in artillery and aviation. Ukrainian contractors, on the other hand, have anti-tank weapons and drones. Russian contractors are not as good as the Ukrainian ones, and in an equal battle, Ukrainian contractors defeat the Russians. Now neither side can achieve success anymore
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@nrw64 famine in the USSR was caused by the fact that the United States stopped selling grain due to drought. The Soviet government did not suit him on purpose. Labor camps were in America, and during the First World War, Russian emigrants were imprisoned in American camps. In Soviet camps (gulags), for 30 years, less than a million people were kept with a population of 160, in America, over the same 30 years - 700,000, with a population of 140. That is, there were as many people in American gulags as in Soviet ones. And there were almost no innocent convicts there, there were massive police checks and amnesty. The state did not control the executions. Stalin did not kill anyone, executions were not his doing, those who were in the gulags deserved their punishment
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@Дмитрийоколов-ч8щ да, но модернизированные версии уступают Западным аналогам.
В случае России я думаю что лучше сделать новый танк - экипаж стоит гораздо дороже танка, пусть не в деньгах, но во времени и количестве.
В российской армии есть серезная проблема, которая заключается в низкой выживаемости экипажей. В советских танках, таких как Т-72, Т-80 и Т-90, довольно часто при попадани снаряда взрывается боекомплект. Экипаж взрывается и сгорает в адских температурах, а башня улетает. Танк Т-114 "Армата" как раз таки отличался тем, что у него башня необитаема, а экипаж сидит под толстой передней бронёй. И при взрыве боекомлекта экипаж выживает. И то, что Т-114 не пошел в производство из-за коррупции, это плохо. В 2014 году Минобороны обещало к 2020 году вооружить армию 2300 таких танков. Если бы это произошло, сейчас бы было меньше погибших экипажей. А были бы выжившие, обученные экипажи с боевым опытом.
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@davothegreat9990 Russia may declare mobilization. What sanctions will prevent Putin from doing this? Putin did not announce the mobilization, because it would anger the people. Putin counted on a quick and easy victory over Ukraine, they wanted to take Kiev in 3 days. Putin did not plan and did not prepare for a protracted war. Without mobilization, Putin's army got bogged down in the Donbas - Ukrainians have at least numerical equality, besides they have been building fortifications for 8 years. The Russian army is almost not advancing. However, the scary thing is that Putin will someday declare mobilization, he will have no other choice. And then Russian recruits will meet face to face with Ukrainian soldiers who will already have extensive experience in combat operations. And the Ukrainian army will be very numerous by that time, which means that the scale of battles and losses in Russia will be much higher. If this war lasts another half a year, Russia will declare mobilization, and then there will be a meat grinder in general. They will go to Kiev again. Hundreds of thousands of dead, the war will go on for 2-3 years
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In 2014 USA backed with money and propaganda a revolution, coup in Ukraine, changing power in this country, while Russia was investing money into Ukraine for years since 2000s. So USA basically robbed Russia, and Russia as an answer captured Crimea. Russia came for its share of Ukraine. This is how this war started, basically. Russia just wants its share which USA simply stolen from Russia by organizing a revolution in Ukraine. Crimea is just basically Russian territory with MAJORITY of 60% of population being Russians, and just minority of 16% of Ukrainians, which was transfered from Russia to Ukraine by Soviet government. After the collapse of USSR Russia wanted friendship and cooperation with Ukraine, and Russia recognized Crimea as Ukrainian. But American backed revolution in Ukraine changed this and Russia came to liberate Crimea at first place, and Crimean Russian population wanted to reunite with Russia for years, they are still happy that they are in Russia and support Putin and SMO. Later Russia played reverse UNO card and backed coups in the Donbass, leading to creation of Donetsk and Luhansk separatists, who declared independence from Ukraine. But instead of going to war, Putin wanted to trade this territory back to Ukraine in exchange of Russian political influence on Ukraine. And Putin had a very good deal with Ukrainian president Poroshenko, but they both made 2 mistakes - Putin lost control over Donbass rebels and they didn't wanted to make a peace deal with Uktaine. The same way Putin lost control over Prigojin and Wagner group in 2023. While Ukrainian president Poroshenko lost control over his parliament and Ukrainian parliament also rejected peace deal. So, Putin and Poroshenko made another deal - Ukraine DIDN'T returned Donbass back, but Russia was allowed to invest money into media and political parties inside Ukraine, and pro-Russian party was leading elections on 2nd place in Ukrainian parliament with 20% of vote, until Zelensky came to power and started censorship and purges against free media and his opponents in Ukraine. So, Russia lost the only one peaceful mean of influence over Ukraine and Russia used military soultion.
At now Trump is ready to make a deal with Russia dividing Ukraine 50/50. Nothing personal, just business. USA have backed with money and media revolution, change of power in Ukraine in 2014, so Russia which invested money, territories and people into Ukraine was robbed, USA simply have stolen everything from Russia, and at now USA are taking responsibility for their actions, and using diplomacy instead of war. Russia IS reliable ally and partner, unlike European Union, and in early 2000s there was an attempt of friendship between USA and Russia. When 9/11 attack happened, Putin was the first president in the World who called American president, and Russia even allowed its airspace and territory for American army going to war on terror in Afghanistan. USA and Russia need to be at least neutral and not cause problems to each other.
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@РимидалвВешаген и да, я вот вопрос тебе задам - а зачем СССР вообще заключил пакт Молотова-Реббинтроппа? С какой целью Сталин согласился на предложение немецкого министра иностранных дел заключить пакт, согласно которому СССР бы агрессивно расширился в Восточной Европе и стал бы пособником Гитлеровской Германии?
СССР боялся, что Германия нападет? Так у СССР и Германии до раздела Польши не было общих границ, а Германия бы не напала на Польшу без гарантий ненападения со стороны СССР, для чего собственно Риббентропп и летал в Москву. Да и к тому же сам СССР рвался в бой против Германии во время Чехословацкого кризиса, и во время Московских переговоров летом 1939 СССР прямо хотел вступить в войну против Германии на стороне Союзников и Польши.
Если Сталин, у которого кстати танков, солдат и самолетов было в пять раз больше, чем у Германии, так боялся нападения Гитлера, то почему Сталин хотел вступить в войну против Германии в 1938, поддержав Чехословакию, почему Сталин хотел вступить в войну против Германии в 1939, поддержав Польшу, и почему такой боязливый Сталин сам позволил Гитлеру заполучить границу с СССР, которой до раздела Польши в 1939 году не было?
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@РимидалвВешаген Сталин не хотел войны. Ага, и именно поэтому государственной идеологией СССР была Мировая революция, гимном был Интернационал, существовала организация Комминтерн. "Мы раздуваем пожар МИРОВОЙ, церкви и тюрьмы сравняем с землей". "Наше отечество - все человечество". Когда СССР вторгался в Польшу и Финляндию, в советских газетах писалось об освободительном походе советских войск по освобождению польских и финнских рабочих от капитала.
Государственной идеологией СССР была Мировая коммунистическая революция - агрессивное военное распространение коммунизма и советизма. СССР с самого начала своего существования был агрессивным военнизированным государством, которое хотело вторгаться, нападать на другие страны и народы, чтобы распространить Мировую революцию. После Второй Мировой войны СССР установил в освобожденных государствах Восточной Европы марионеточные правительства. Мирный СССР помогал развязать войну в Корее и Вьетнаме, Анголе, Афганистане. СССР давил восстания жаждущих свободы жителей Восточной Европы танками. СССР спонсировал коммунистические революции по всему Миру. Это было агрессивное людоедское государство, и Сталин был таким же агрессором и людоедом, как и Гитлер. Просто цели экспансии были разные.
Что касаемо событий Второй Мировой, то я опять же скажу, что Сталин, который как вы говорите не хотел войны, хотел ввести войска в Чехословакию в 1938, на случай немецкого вторжения. А еще СССР хотел летом 1939 заключить военный альянс с Союзниками, узнайте про так называемые Московские переговоры. СССР не боялся войны с Германией, и более того, до сентября 1939 года СССР рвался в бой и пытался ввязаться в войну, а еще лучше чиркнуть спичкой первым. С Чехословакией и Польшей не получилось, ибо Союзники пытались оттянуть войну и боялись того, что СССР так сильно рвется в бой, и с Союзниками поэтому договориться не удалось, и тогда Сталин согласился на предложение уже Германии о разделе сфер влияния. Переговоры между Германией и СССР и переговоры между Союзниками и СССР проходили в одно и то же время. В августе 1939 Сталин по сути выбирал между двумя предложениями.
До Советско-Финнской войны советская армия считалась сильнейшей в Мире, до Финнской войны немецкое командование считало советскую армию сильнее немецкой. Это было обусловлено во многом тем, что у СССР было очень много военной техники - в 1939 году у СССР было около 16 тысяч танков, в то время как у Германии их было 3 тысячи, у Франции 4 тысячи и у Британии менее тысячи танков. При этом Германия и СССР были злейшими врагами. Германия хотела разнести Союзников, и хотела начать с вторжения в Польшу, однако Гитлер, который боялся войны с как тогда считалось превосходящей советской военной машиной, не мог вторгнуться в Польшу без пакта о ненападении с СССР, однако враждебный по отношению к Германии СССР нужно было еще уговорить на этот пакт, и для этого Германия решила отказаться от некоторых своих завоеваний в Восточной Европе в пользу СССР - вместе с пактом о ненападении шел секретный протокол о разделе сфер влияния в Восточной Европе, как плата за советское согласие. Пакт о ненападении между СССР и Германией совершенно не нужен был Сталину, но он был жизненно необходим Гитлеру, Германия бы не напала на Польшу, если бы не был заключен пакт с СССР. СССР - виновник Второй Мировой. Параллельно с предложением Риббентроппа Молотов и Сталин рассматривали и предложение Союзников - Союзники понимали, что в Германия сейчас хочет напасть на Польшу, и потому Союзники хотели купить нейтралитет у Советского Союза, а еще лучше заключить контракты о советском ленд-лизе для Польши. Однако переговоры с Союзниками зашли в тупик, потому что Союзники хотели оттянуть войну, а СССР, который видел в Германии злейшего врага, бряцал оружием и хотел объявить войну с Германией, СССР рвался в бой, что и отпугнуло Союзников, и переговоры провалились. Поскольку переговоры с Союзниками провалились, СССР и заключил с Германией пакт, предложенный Риббентроппом
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Putin believed in his own propaganda about the alleged Bandera in Ukraine, and thinking that the Ukrainian people were suppressed by their state, Putin expected to take Ukraine in 3 days. This is evidenced by the words of Russian propaganda (I live in Russia), as well as the situation at the front now. Russian military command apparently didn't prepared sufficient supplies, and the Russian troops don't have any numerical superiority over the Ukrainian army, although the attacking side suffers greater losses than the defending side. At the same time, Ukrainians have high morale, and Russians are demoralized and don't want to fight with the fraternal people. The Russian army is advancing without normal supplies and doesn't actually establish control over the territory, moving with the help of convoys vulnerable to ambushes on the roads. And after 2 weeks, the Russian army got bogged down, having just reached Ukrainian cities and achieved average success - Kherson and Melitopol were occupied, Mariupol and Chernihiv were taken in encirclements. There is no supply in the encirclements. And the Ukrainian troops in the encirclements are doomed.
Russia need to reinforce the Ukrainian theather and form the frontline, stopping the attack by roads and establishing control over the territories. Russians need to build supply infastructure. When Russians doing this, Ukrainians would have opportunity to mobilize manpower and counterattack. Russia would win this war, but there would be high casualities from both sides and the war would last for a long time. Of course, the real fighting capability of a Russian army is much and much higher, Russians showed themselves not well in Ukraine only because of small numbers, low motivation of Russian soldiers to fight against brother people, and poor supplies, because Russian command wanted to take Ukraine in 3 days.
There is possibility that Russia would accept a peace threaty, like in 2008 - when Russia didn't fully conquerred Georgia and peace threaty was made. The only difference, is that Russian army in 2008 wasn't defeated.
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Russia don't have reasons to invade any other countries. Russia invaded Ukraine, because Ukraine after the democratic revolution of 2014 wanted to join NATO, and Russia counts NATO as a millitary threat . Also, Putin wants to supress democratic pro-Western revolution and return Ukraine into its sphere of influence . For the same reasons Russia have invaded Georgia in 2008. And if we would look at the map, we would see that Russia didn't fully occupied Georgia in 2008 . That means, that Putin's target isn't expansion and conquest. If Putin wanted the conquest and expansion, Georgia was occupied by Russia fully in 2008, but Russia didn't fully occupied the Georgia - only some northern parts. This is the evidence, that Russia isn't targeting expanstion, but Russia is targeting to not allow neighbouring countries to join NATO, because Russia counts NATO as a threat .
The Russian millitary operation in Ukraine is something like the US operations against Iraq - US were concerned of Iraq's nuclear programm, and Russia is concerned of NATO spreading to the East and American nukes in Poland. Also, the reasons of Russian invasion of Ukraine are familliar to reasons of US sanctions against Cuba - Russia is afraid of NATO, and US were afraid of Soviet rockets on Cuba. Russian actions at now a similliar to US and UK actions against Iran - in 1953 Iran's government started to nationalize British-owned oil productions. As an answer UK sponsored the revolutionaries in Iran to overthrew the government and revolution had a success - Western property was denationalized and returned to owners. Iran after the pro-Western revolution was a Western sphere of influence. But later, in 1979 the religious revolution had happened in Iran, and new Iranian government started anti-Western politics, like natinalization of oil productions. United States started to sanctione and seriously isolate Iran for no reason, and at now isolated Iran is a very poor country. But what Iran did against the US? Just what? Iran after the 1953 was Western oil colony, and after 1979 Iran nationalized its oil productions, and US are sanctioning Iran because they want to supress it. And America is dreaming about the return of Iran into their sphere of influence, like Russia (Putin) is dreaming about the return of Ukraine.
And this is hypocritical for US to blame and call Russia as an agressor, because America is doing the same things as Russia. Russia is agressor, and peaceful countries deserved the right to blame Russia. But not America, because America invaded Iraq and isolated Cuba and Iran for the same reasons, for which Russia invaded Ukraine. And this is very hypocritical, that America didn't faced the sanctions and isolation, while Russia faced sanctions and isolation for war. Double standarts and hypocrisy.
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@emphasizeflies7382 I would copy my analysis.
Russians had invaded Ukraine without numerical superiority, while Ukraine is the largest land millitary in Europe after Russia. Ukraine have far more tanks, than Germany, Poland, Britain or France. If the quality of troops is equal, according to the law of millitary science attacking side is suffering more casualities.
The major 2 reasons, why Russian invasion had failed in first few weeks:
1) Joung Russian soldiers aren't motivated to fight against brother Slavic people, a lot of Russians have relatives in Ukraine, probably some Russian soldiers have relarives in Ukraine (Millitary crimes probably were commited by soldiers of Asian and Islamic nationalities or by Russian police forces, not by Russian troops of Slavic nationality, I saw the video
from Ukrainian-Russian historian and opinin-leader Mark Solonin about this). Russian soldiers are mentally and morally supressed, they don't want to fight against brother Slavic people. Opposite - Ukrainians have moral boom, they are fighting for their homeland. Also, civillian deaths would demoralize Russians and rise the morale of Ukrainians.
2) Russian command probably believed in its own propaganda, and commanders in Kremlin were thinking, that they would take all of Ukraine in 3 days without resistance, and Russian troops would be met with flowers. And Russian command simply didn't prepared for a war - Russians didn't planned, that they would face the resistance, they thought that they would take all of Ukraine in 3 days, and this is why Russians at now have poor logistics and preparation. Russians were invading Ukraine by moving in columns, very dangerous for ambushes.
Russia have a population of 146 million people, while Ukraine have the population of 40 million. The life standarts, economy and corruption in Russia and Ukraine are in the same level, but Ukrainians probably worked on corruption in their army, and also Ukrainian army was trained by Western specialists. Also, Ukrainians have modern Western AT weapons and drones.
After 3 weeks Russians had stopped their invasion, and at now they are reinforcing and forming the frontline, they made a pause. Russians are dasapointed of their first plan, and they refused it, retreated from Kyiv to regroup and resupply in the Donbass region.
I think that casualities ratio between Russia and Ukraine is ~2 to 1 in favour of Ukraine.
After 2 months of war Russians still didn't started mobilization, while Ukrainian army is growing. Probably Ukraine already have numerical superiority over Russia in the frontline.
I think that war would end up to V day on 9th of May.
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