Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "What might happen if Russia does attack Ukraine?" video.
-
3
-
3
-
2
-
@off_grid_javelin Russia have the same strategy in terms of tank production as USA - we are modernizing our old equipment to new standarts. Russia have in majority T-72 tanks, but they are modernized. The most numerical Russian tank is T-72-b3, 1600 were in Russian army in 2020, it was made in 2016, but technologically this tank is comparable to American tanks from late 2000s. Ukraine have even worser situation with military tech, but common - who is using tanks in 2022? Tanks are useless in modern combat. Ukrainians are using drones and light anti-tank weaponary, ambush tactics. Russia have little amount of aviation, + lack of aircraft fuel, + Russian pilots not so educated, as NATO pilots, + you need to aim aviation on enemy. Also, you can shoot down a plane by anti-air, while drones are light and hard target to them. Drones don't need aim. You can produce drones more massively and cheaper, and they don't need an educated pilot. Tanks are useless in 21st century - I think T-34 is even better combat vehicle in 2022, than T-72-b3 or T-90.
Russia at now have manpower shortage, because war wasn't declared, this is special military operation, and Russian contract soldiers are able to simply reject proposal to serve in Ukraine, and they are doing this massively. Russia don't have mobilization, and in autumn there would be castling in Russia - conscripts would be sent home from the frontline, while new untrained conscripts would face Ukrainian troops, that already have combat experience. And this would be probably a moment, when we would totaly lose the war.
Russian army in Ukraine already outnumbered, contract troops are rejecting service, there is no mobilization, soon there would be castling. Land vehicles are dependent on infantry suppourt, and Russia, having small number of soldiers are sacrficing its tanks and vehicles - Russian casualities in terms of vehicles are much higher than Ukrainian.
2
-
2
-
How do you now the scales of casualities - who lost more and who lost lesser? Let's be honest - Russians sent desant in south of Kiev, the city would be completely surrounded in few days, cutted off from supplies. Without supplies, without ammo and food Ukrainian troops have no chances. If Kiev would be surrounded, Ukrainians in the city would have limited amount of ammo to fight. Russians in 2 days passed several dozens of kilometres in all frontline, reaching and passing Dniepper on south, surrounding Kharkiv, Sumi and Mariupol. Let's not forget, that Russians at now don't have any numerical advantage over the Ukrainians on the land. What would happen, if they would have numerical advantage? Russians without any numerical advantage in just 2 days passed few dozens of kilometres into Ukrainian territory, and surrounded major cities. Yes, they didn't captured this cities yet, but this is question of time - the urban area in the millitary history always was the place, that hard to storm and easy to defend. Russians have total air and naval numerical advantage, Russians have rockets. If we would be honest, Ukrainian people at now have no chances. Russian army would suffer losses - its "defense" ministry already bought 50 thousands bags... But anyway, Ukraine would be occupied. And probably Ukrainian army suffer the same amount of casualities, as Russian army, because Ukrainian and Russian army have the same level of training and equipment. The Ukrainians have defensive advantage in casualities, but Russians have total air numerical advantage and aviation suppourt.
- This is the HONEST position.
This would be a tradegy for all World...
1
-
1
-
1
-
1