Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "Military Summary"
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@FerencHonkoop In Crimea in 2013, prior to annexation, according to statistics from the Ukrainian Interior Ministry, Russians made up 60% of the population, while Ukrainians made up just 16% of Crimea's population in 2013. In other words, Crimea is Russian territory, where the vast majority of the population is Russian. Crimea itself was originally part of Russia. Crimea was originally part of the Russian Soviet Republic. But in 1954, the Soviet government, by its short-sighted decision, handed over Russian territory, where the overwhelming majority of the population is Russian, transfered this territory from Russian Soviet Republic to Ukrainian Soviet Republic. In 1991 the USSR collapsed. Russia liberated itself and other countries from the USSR. For 23 years, since 1991, Russia was absolutely satisfied with the fact that Crimea was part of Ukraine, while Ukraine was a friendly country.
But in 2014, a coup took place in Ukraine. Under such conditions, Russia was forced to conduct a rescue evacuation operation and evacuate Russian territory with 60% of the Russian population to Russia. The local population is happy to reunite with Russia. I know this because I myself communicated with the Crimeans live and in social networks. 60% of the population of Crimea before the annexation were Russians, and these Russians were happy to return to their native harbor, to return to Russia. The Ukrainian army gave Crimea away without a fight, which again proves that it is not Ukrainian.
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War is a very expensive and financially costly business. You need a lot of money to supply troops by ammo and equipment, you need a strong economy. Wars are won by economics and logistics, not arrows on the map. Ukraine is a poor corrupt post-Soviet country. Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe, if we don't count Russia as a European country. Corruption and poverty was everywhere in Ukraine even before the war started. And when the war actuallu started, Ukraine's economy simply collapsed as a result of migration and mobilization. The Ukrainian economy has suffered much more from the war, than the Russian economy suffered from sanctions. Without the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have been defeated a long time ago.
For the last 15 months, West provided Ukraine with about 200 billion euros of financial assistance. These are six annual state budgets of Ukraine. Three annual budgets (72 months) of the country for 15 months of 2022-23. 25 Ukrainian military budgets. Before the war, in 2021, for example, Ukraine spent about 8 billion euros on the army, about 20% of the state budget. In last 15 months, Ukraine was allocated 200 billion euros of financial assistance. Without this help, Ukraine would not be able to wage war for economic reasons, and Russian tanks would have been in Odessa and Kyiv for a long time. If not for the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have capitulated in the summer of 2022.
And Russia, in fact, is not fighting against Ukraine. Russia is fighting against the entire Western Bloc.
As for arms supplies, they amount to about $50 billion. Russia spent so much money before the war on rearmament of the army in 5 years. Ukraine has exhausted its reserves of Soviet artillery ammunition and is now fighting with American artillery and American ammunition. Without these American guns, Ukraine would have no guns at all. At the same time, Ukraine fires several times less ammunition every day than Russia. And even so, Britain, the USA and Poland do not have enough production capacity to provide the AFU. Their production is lower than consumption. If it were not for the support of the West, Russia would have already captured the whole of Ukraine twice.
In 2023 West increased the scale of military assistance to Ukraine. Without this help, Ukraine
would have been defeated a long time ago, and one cannot say that allegedly "Russia cannot defeat one weak Ukraine." Because Russia is fighting not only against Ukraine, but against Ukraine with huge support from the West, and this support, from an economic point of view, many times exceeds the capabilities of the Russian economy.
The reason for all the failures and defeats of the Russian army is the insufficient initial number of troops. On February 24, 2022, when the war began, Russia fielded only about 100 thousand soldiers against Ukraine. Plus several tens of thousands of soldiers from the DPR and LPR. There were about 150 thousand soldiers in Ukraine already on the first day of the war. That is, at the beginning of the war, the number of the two armies was comparable. And as you know, a numerical advantage of at least one and a half times is needed for a successful offensive. Ukraine began to mobilize already on the first day of the war. In the first two months of the war, the Russian army was still able to move somewhere, but over time the Russian offensive stalled, due to the fact that Ukraine had been mobilizing since the first day of the war, and the number of the Ukrainian army was growing every day. The Russian offensive is bogged down by superior Ukrainian numbers. In the first seven months, Russia fought against Ukraine with a relatively small contingent of contract soldiers, without conscripts and without mobilization. Thanks to the numerical superiority that the APU accumulated during the 7 months of the war, the APU was able to launch a successful offensive in September 2022. But the Ukrainian army won stupidly due to numerical superiority. In other words, it's not an equal fight. In equal conditions, the Russian army demonstrated a much higher combat capability in March 2022. As of mid-April 2022, the Russians have seized territory in Ukraine the size of England. Do not forget that the Ukrainian army is much stronger than the French, German or British army. Ukraine on February 24, 2022 had ~ 150 thousand soldiers and 1000 tanks, the AFU is the largest army in Europe. For comparison, Britain in 2021 had about 70 thousand soldiers and 200 tanks. Germany has 80,000 soldiers and 400 tanks, and France had 120,000 soldiers and 600 tanks in 2021. As of February 24, 2022, the Ukrainian army was the most numerous and mechanized in all of Europe, not counting the Russian army.
It is quite easy to defeat the Russian army when Russia is fighting without mobilization, when Russia is fighting without conscripts, when Russia is fighting with a limited contingent of 100 thousand soldiers, and you already have a comparable army on the first day of the war, and you are mobilizing from the first day of the war, and the West also gives you unlimited resources to wage war. Unlimited amount of money, a huge amount of weapons. And in the end, despite all these weapons, despite all this help, despite the numerical superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia still wins in the end - 60% of the Kherson region, half of the Zaporozhye region, 80% of the Luhansk region have been occupied by Russia since February 24, 2022 and Russia holds this territory against Western tanks and tens of billions of US dollars as military aid.
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War is a very expensive and financially costly business. You need a lot of money to supply troops by ammo and equipment, you need a strong economy. Wars are won by economics and logistics, not arrows on the map. Ukraine is a poor corrupt post-Soviet country. Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe, if we don't count Russia as a European country. Corruption and poverty was everywhere in Ukraine even before the war started. And when the war actuallu started, Ukraine's economy simply collapsed as a result of migration and mobilization. The Ukrainian economy has suffered much more from the war, than the Russian economy suffered from sanctions. Without the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have been defeated a long time ago.
For the last 15 months, West provided Ukraine with about 200 billion euros of financial assistance. These are six annual state budgets of Ukraine. Three annual budgets (72 months) of the country for 15 months of 2022-23. 25 Ukrainian military budgets. Before the war, in 2021, for example, Ukraine spent about 8 billion euros on the army, about 20% of the state budget. In last 15 months, Ukraine was allocated 200 billion euros of financial assistance. Without this help, Ukraine would not be able to wage war for economic reasons, and Russian tanks would have been in Odessa and Kyiv for a long time. If not for the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have capitulated in the summer of 2022.
And Russia, in fact, is not fighting against Ukraine. Russia is fighting against the entire Western Bloc.
As for arms supplies, they amount to about $50 billion. Russia spent so much money before the war on rearmament of the army in 5 years. Ukraine has exhausted its reserves of Soviet artillery ammunition and is now fighting with American artillery and American ammunition. Without these American guns, Ukraine would have no guns at all. At the same time, Ukraine fires several times less ammunition every day than Russia. And even so, Britain, the USA and Poland do not have enough production capacity to provide the AFU. Their production is lower than consumption. If it were not for the support of the West, Russia would have already captured the whole of Ukraine twice.
In 2023 West increased the scale of military assistance to Ukraine. Without this help, Ukraine
would have been defeated a long time ago, and one cannot say that allegedly "Russia cannot defeat one weak Ukraine." Because Russia is fighting not only against Ukraine, but against Ukraine with huge support from the West, and this support, from an economic point of view, many times exceeds the capabilities of the Russian economy.
The reason for all the failures and defeats of the Russian army is the insufficient initial number of troops. On February 24, 2022, when the war began, Russia fielded only about 100 thousand soldiers against Ukraine. Plus several tens of thousands of soldiers from the DPR and LPR. There were about 150 thousand soldiers in Ukraine already on the first day of the war. That is, at the beginning of the war, the number of the two armies was comparable. And as you know, a numerical advantage of at least one and a half times is needed for a successful offensive. Ukraine began to mobilize already on the first day of the war. In the first two months of the war, the Russian army was still able to move somewhere, but over time the Russian offensive stalled, due to the fact that Ukraine had been mobilizing since the first day of the war, and the number of the Ukrainian army was growing every day. The Russian offensive is bogged down by superior Ukrainian numbers. In the first seven months, Russia fought against Ukraine with a relatively small contingent of contract soldiers, without conscripts and without mobilization. Thanks to the numerical superiority that the APU accumulated during the 7 months of the war, the APU was able to launch a successful offensive in September 2022. But the Ukrainian army won stupidly due to numerical superiority. In other words, it's not an equal fight. In equal conditions, the Russian army demonstrated a much higher combat capability in March 2022. As of mid-April 2022, the Russians have seized territory in Ukraine the size of England. Do not forget that the Ukrainian army is much stronger than the French, German or British army. Ukraine on February 24, 2022 had ~ 150 thousand soldiers and 1000 tanks, the AFU is the largest army in Europe. For comparison, Britain in 2021 had about 70 thousand soldiers and 200 tanks. Germany has 80,000 soldiers and 400 tanks, and France had 120,000 soldiers and 600 tanks in 2021. As of February 24, 2022, the Ukrainian army was the most numerous and mechanized in all of Europe, not counting the Russian army.
It is quite easy to defeat the Russian army when Russia is fighting without mobilization, when Russia is fighting without conscripts, when Russia is fighting with a limited contingent of 100 thousand soldiers, and you already have a comparable army on the first day of the war, and you are mobilizing from the first day of the war, and the West also gives you unlimited resources to wage war. Unlimited amount of money, a huge amount of weapons. And in the end, despite all these weapons, despite all this help, despite the numerical superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia still wins in the end - 60% of the Kherson region, half of the Zaporozhye region, 80% of the Luhansk region have been occupied by Russia since February 24, 2022 and Russia holds this territory against Western tanks and tens of billions of US dollars as military aid.
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@lepetitroquet9410 Russia lost territory near Kharkiv because Ukraine had numerical superiority. Russia fought against Ukraine without mobilization, and Russia still fighting without conscripts. At that time Russia had nearly 100-120 k soldiers in the frontline, there were more Ukrainian soldiers in the frontline, than Russian, Ukraine had numerical advantage. At now, due to the mobilization, Ukraine don't have any numerical advantage at now. And at now we see, that Ukrainian Southern counteroffensive is no match to Kharkiv offensive. In 1.5 months Ukraine captured 6 villages, losing dozens of Western tanks and hundreeds of vehicles. This is failure. At now we see, that Ukrainian army is using outdated and bad tactics, by moving armored columns into Russian minefields. Ukrainian army is poor trained and poor equipped cannon fodder with bad tactics, the only reason of their success near Kharkiv in the september 2022 was numerical superiority because Russia fought without mobilization.
Russian troops in september-october 2022 succesfully repelled all Ukrainian attacks near Kherson, but in november 2022 Russian troops abandoned Kherson and west bank of Dnipro river because all bridges across river were destroyed and Russians had problems with supplies without bridges. But Russian army wasn't defeated on the battlefield, Russian army for the 2 months succesfully repelled all Ukrainian attacks, but was forced to abandon this territory because of the lack of supplies.
Ukrainian army don't have any real, fair victories
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According to the official statistics of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, in 2013 there were 50/50 Russian and Ukrainian populations in the Donbas. In 2014, an illegal anti-constitutional anti-Russian coup took place in Kiev with the support of the West. Victoria Nuland, the head of the US State Department, came to the Maidan and handed out cookies to paid protesters. It was an anti-Russian coup organized by the West. Russian people who live in the south-east of Ukraine, and who voted for pro-Russian politicians until 2014, did not agree with the coup in Kiev. Therefore, in the spring of 2014, anti-Maidan protests began in the Donbas. And in April 2014, there was a seizure of administrative buildings in Donetsk and Lugansk and the declaration of independence of the DPR and LPR. Russian people, who make up about 50% of the population of Donbass, wanted to separate from Ukraine and join Russia. On April 14, 2014, Ukraine launched the so-called "anti-terrorist operation" - the ATO in the Donbas. Ukraine considered the Russian protesters "illegal separatists," and Ukrainian troops went to the Donbass to "restore the territorial integrity of Ukraine." Hypocrisy and double standards are immediately evident here. An illegal anti-constitutional coup took place in Kiev shortly before these events. In other words, the Maidan protesters carried out their revolution by illegal methods. If the people on the Maidan had the right to self-determination, then the Russian people in the Donbas also had such a right. If the protesters on the Maidan had the right to carry out their revolution in a bloody and illegal way, and several dozen people died on the Maidan, then the Russian protesters in the Donbass had the same right to carry out their revolution in a bloody and illegal way. But the Kiev regime hypocritically went to war against the Russian people in the Donbas. Russia aims to protect the right to self-determination of these people. The UN Charter guarantees peoples the right to self-determination. And the Russian people in the Donbas, who in 2014 wanted to separate from Ukraine and join Russia, have such a right. And the Russian army will provide them with the right to self-determination and life in Russia by pushing the state border of Russia to the west.
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