Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "Russian invasion of Ukraine [2 March 2023]" video.
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@fiorino4554 war is a very expensive and financially costly business. Ukraine's economy collapsed as a result of the war. The Ukrainian economy has suffered from war much more than the Russian economy has suffered from sanctions. Without the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have been defeated long ago. In 2022, the West provided Ukraine with about 120 billion euros of financial assistance. These are three annual state budgets of Ukraine. Three annual budgets (36 months) of the country for 10 months of 2022. 15 military budgets. Before the war, in 2021, for example, Ukraine spent about 8 billion euros on the army, about 20% of the state budget. In 2022, Ukraine was allocated 120 billion euros of financial assistance. Without this help, Ukraine would not be able to wage war for economic reasons, and Russian tanks would have been in Odessa and Kiev for a long time. If not for the financial assistance of the West, Ukraine would have capitulated in the summer of 2022. And Russia, in fact, is not fighting against Ukraine. Russia is fighting against the Western Bloc. Russia is fighting against part of NATO.
The United States, Britain and France have nuclear weapons, and Russia also has nuclear weapons. Therefore, a direct military conflict between Russia and NATO is impossible. And the West uses Ukrainians and Ukraine instead of its own soldiers.
As for arms supplies, they amount to about $30 billion. Russia spent so much money before the war on rearmament of the army in 3 years. Ukraine has exhausted its reserves of Soviet artillery ammunition and is now fighting with American artillery and American ammunition. Without these American guns, Ukraine would have no guns at all. At the same time, Ukraine fires several times less ammunition every day than Russia. And even so, Britain, the USA and Poland do not have enough production capacity to provide the AFU. Their production is lower than consumption. So, in fact, Russia is fighting against NATO. If it were not for the support of the West, Russia would have already captured the whole of Ukraine twice in last year.
The reason for all the failures and defeats of the Russian army is the insufficient initial number of troops. On February 24, 2022, when the war began, Russia fielded only about 100 thousand soldiers against Ukraine. Plus several tens of thousands of soldiers from the DPR and LPR. There were about 150 thousand soldiers in Ukraine already on the first day of the war. That is, at the beginning of the war, the number of the two armies was comparable. And as you know, a numerical advantage of at least one and a half times is needed for a successful offensive. Ukraine began to mobilize already on the first day of the war. In the first two months of the war, the Russian army was still able to move somewhere, but over time the Russian offensive stalled, due to the fact that Ukraine had been mobilizing since the first day of the war, and the number of the Ukrainian army was growing every day. The Russian offensive is bogged down by superior Ukrainian numbers. Do not forget that Ukrainians have been preparing for war for 8 years and building fortifications in the east of the country. In the first seven months, Russia fought against Ukraine with a relatively small contingent of contract soldiers, without conscripts and without mobilization. Thanks to the numerical superiority that the APU accumulated during the 7 months of the war, the APU was able to launch a successful offensive in September 2022. But the Ukrainian army won stupidly due to numerical superiority. In other words, it's not an equal fight. Under equal conditions, the Russian army demonstrated a much higher combat capability in March 2022, capturing huge amount of territory. As of mid-April 2022, the Russians have seized territory in Ukraine the size of England.
Do not forget that the Ukrainian army is much stronger than the French, German or British army. Ukraine on February 24, 2022 had ~150 thousand. soldiers and 1,000 tanks, the AFU is the largest army in Europe. For comparison, Britain in 2021 had about 70 thousand soldiers and 200 tanks. Germany has 80,000 soldiers and 400 tanks, and France had 120,000 soldiers and 600 tanks in 2021. As of February 24, 2022, the Ukrainian army was the most numerous and mechanized in all of Europe, not counting the Russian army.
It is quite easy to defeat the Russian army when Russia is fighting without mobilization, when Russia is fighting without conscripts, when Russia is fighting with a limited contingent of 100 thousand soldiers, and you already have a comparable army on the first day of the war, and you are mobilizing from the first day of the war, and the West also gives you unlimited resources to wage war. Unlimited amount of money, a huge amount of weapons. And in the end, despite all these weapons, despite all this help, despite the numerical superiority of the AFU, at the end of one year Russia is still winning - 60% of the Kherson region, half of the Zaporozhye region, 30% of Donetsk region and 70% of the Luhansk region have been occupied by Russia since February 24, 2022. This means that, on average, over the past year, the Russian army has acted more successfully than the Ukrainian army, and Russia is still winning. On early march 2023 for example Russia encircled Bakhmut, cutting off from supplies the Ukrainian army in the city.
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@fiorino4554 As for the size of the army, Russia has a million military personnel. However, Russia has a fleet, nuclear troops, aviation, air defense. And out of a million military personnel, Russia has about 440 thousand infantrymen, marines and paratroopers. Of these, half are conscripts who do not participate in the war. And half of the contractors. Of the 200 thousand contract soldiers, not all agreed to go to fight in Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Many signed a contract for one or two months, and returned to Russia in April-May 2022. Many took vacations. Thus, for the first 7 months of the war, Russia fought with a limited contingent of 100-120 thousand soldiers, plus 40 thousand rebel soldiers from the DPR and LPR. Russia fought without mobilization and is still fighting without conscripts. Thus, on the first day of the war, Russia had approximately 150,000 soldiers. Ukraine had a comparable army already on the first day of the war, while Ukraine began to mobilize from the first day of the war. And for a successful offensive, a numerical superiority of at least one and a half times is needed. The Russian army, with equal numbers, captured vast territories in the first month of the war, and even after leaving the north of Ukraine, the area occupied by Russia was comparable to the area of England. However, the Russian offensive eventually stalled in the superior Ukrainian numbers. By September, Ukraine had accumulated a sufficient numerical superiority, and went on the offensive. Russia also began to mobilize. The Russian professional contract army showed excellent results for 7 months of the war from February 24 to September 2022
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