Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "Russian tank penetrates near Kotlyarivka | Guevo almost recaptured by RF [29 March 2025]" video.
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Russia is not capable to fight a longterm war with entire NATO or Europe, Russia is at 4th year of war with Ukraine. Even considering the fact that Ukraine had best military in Europe already before the war, and Western aid boosted strength of Ukraine for ~1.5-2 times equalizing it with Russia, without Western backing, Russia could have defeated Ukraine in ~1 year, Ukrainians simply could have run out of ammo and artillery shells by that point. But with Western aid powers were equalized and Russia is on 4th year of war with just 10% of Ukraine captured since 2022.
West actually deceived Ukraine with military aid, NOT giving Ukraine enough weapons to defeat Russia on purpose, because Ukrainian victory isn't profitable for West, West wants an endless war of attrition against Russia by using Ukraine as a tool. So for all this 3 years West was giving a very small, not enough amount of help to Ukraine ON PURPOSE, Ukraine was deceived and used as tool in war of attrition. But this help was enough to equalize power with Russia.
At now Russia have a military that is numerically 5-6 times larger than at the start of the war (170 thousand Russian troops was initial number, now Russians have about 900 thousand at the frontline and Ukraine have an army of 1100 thousand soldiers), the whole Europe have nearly 600 thousand infantry servicemen, but Europe is not united and there are many small militaries which wouldn't help. Also, unlike Europe, Russia gained extreme EXPERIENCE of real full scale war of 21st century, Russian troops that are fighting in Ukraine have huge combat experience, they are using drones massively, unlike European militaries with no experience. But Europe have 10 times more economic power and 5 times more population, so in longterm Russia will obviously lose, especially considering that this war military build up costed Russian people already a high inflation and Russian society is tired of war. I doubt that Russia will go beyond Ukraine even if Ukraine will be captured fully.
Also, unlike war in Ukraine, Russia simply don't have a reason to fight with Europe. War in Ukraine started originally after American backed coup in Ukraine in 2014. America and Europe supported a pro-Wetsern coup in Kiev, and Russia as the only post Soviet regional power responded with its own coups in Crimea and Donbass. So, this war is a result of the competition of global powers for the spheres of influence, America and Europe have supported a coup in Ukraine, a change of government, while Russia is ready to fight for its sphere of influence against Western hygemony. And war in Ukraine started in 2022 only after 8 years of diplomacy and negotiations. Putin didn't wanted this war, Putin was actually trying to avoid this war, Putin tried to solve everything with making a deal with West. This war happened only after 8 years of Russia trying to use diplomacy, and even when war broke out Putin was thinking that it will be a 2 week walkthrough with low casualities and low harm, and when the first blood appeared, Putin started peace talks with Ukraine already at the 5th day of war, and during Istambul peace talks Russia offered Ukraine a proposal of pre-war border. Putin is actually much more peaceful and diplomatic that you might think, and war started only after diplomatic failures and war was managed unprofessionally.
So just chill bro, Russia isn't threating Europe, there is nothing that Russia needs from Europe, and no such rhetoric inside Russia, I am telling this to you as Russian, I am Russian citizen, there is NO any agressive rhetoric against Europe in Russia. In case with Ukraine, there was an 8 years old information war and 8 years of propaganda from both sides. So your whole point makes no sence, Russia doesn't need and doesn't want to invade Europe, we have NO interests in Europe, we want to only retake Ukraine from the Western sphere to our sphere of influence and nothing more. The only thing we want is to secure our sphere of influence against other global powers such as America, China or Europe. In 2014 America and Europe supported a coup in Ukraine, and now our military is retaking Ukraine back to Russian orbit. We have NO disputes with Baltic nations, we have NO disputes with Poland, we have NO disputes with Finland, Putin stated many times that we want peace, trade and good relations with European Union because you were our best gas buyers and car suppliers
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@jdm4198 I already said my point of view as a Russian citizen who understand post-Soviet politics very well. Russia is NOT fighting against entire NATO, NATO and West economically and in military sphere are much stronger than Russia. And America is capable to give Ukraine enough weapons to defeat Russia. But America doesn't do it because it is strategically bad for America. Russia is a strategic enemy, and from American point of view it is better to make an ENDLESS war where Russia will be losing manpower, economy, political stability and resources. West have promised Ukraine a weapons and victory over Russia, and it was a LIE, West deceived and used Ukraine, not giving them enough weapons to defeat Russia, but enough weapons to balance with Russia as equals. We were doing the exactly same during Vietnam war. Soviet Union was supplying weapons to communist Vietnam in war against America. Soviet Union had 60 thousand tanks, dozens of millions of artillery shells back then, thousands of anti-air. If Soviet Union wanted to defeat America in Vietnam quickly, it was possible to do. But from strategic, logical and rational point of view, it is better to inflict as many casualities to your opponent as possible, so we were giving to Vietnam a very small but stable stream of military aid for all 10 years of war. America and Europe are doing to Ukraine the exact same thing USSR was doing to Vietnam - lying and manipulating and giving very small amount of weapons just for balance, to equalize power, and nothing more than that. Without Western backing, our millitary could have defeated Ukraine in few months - one year, Western military backing as it can be seen from proven statistics of Ukrainian vehicle and weapon casualities in Kursk region boosted Ukrainian military power by 30-50%. Ukraine had and have quite powerful military even without the West, but now ~1/6 of their vehicles, rifles and equipment is Western (or Kusrk front was held by elite units with such equipment), they have sattelite and CIA backing from USA, and some part of artillery shells and ammo are also Western. This boosts their power by 1.5-2 times. West could have done better by training 400 Ukrainian pilots in these 3 years and giving Ukraine 400 fighter jets, ~20% of their stockpile, but if they want to defeat Russia this is fair deal for them. But in reality UK trained 5 Ukrainian pilots. Just 5
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@UAConstantine unlike Russia, America had no need in little green men. Russia had a need in little green men, because Russia needed to quickly respond to coup in Kiev by its own coups and Russia used directly its personel from military and FSB. Because Russia was a responding side that needed to quickly respond. America wasn't responding, America was the one who started it in the first place, so America had much more covered long term strategy.
Ukraine as a state is oligarchy, which means that all political parties and media in Ukraine is ruled or lobbied by oligarchs. Before 2014, Russia and European Union were economically competing over Ukraine, so Ukrainian economic elites, oligarchs, divided into pro-Western and pro-Russian, and Ukrainian political parties, mass media and people divided into pro-Western and pro-Russian. President Yanukovich wasn't pro-Russian, in fact he was trying to balance between Russia and European Union, but Russian economic influence was very big, it was bigger than European. So when Yanukovich wanted to sign a deal with European Union, Russia started to threat Ukraine with trade tariffs, and Yanukovich was forced to NOT sign a deal with European Union. This provoked massive pro-Western protests in Kiev in the first place, and originally Ukrainian oligarchs have paid poor students to came to protests and oligarch-controlled mass media escalated the protests. This is basically how all protests work in all countries. People don't have collective minds like ants, and one by one, not united, people are unsecure. if you want to organize a protest, you need to start from small artificial protest and then other people will join, you first pay money to crowd, film them on camera, show this on TV and social media and tens of thousands of inspired people come to join the protest. This is how all protests work in all countries, it is all about money. It is IMPOSSIBLE to start any protests without money, because you need the first, initial crowd of people that will be shown in mass media, so entite population of country will see it and some other people will join.
In 2013 America have bought 99% share of Ukrainian Novatek company, basically America simply bought Russian gas pipeline in Ukraine. Also Shell corporation had plans to extract Ukrainian gas to replace Russian gas and they signed few contracts. Later American money, American media and even American politicians helped the protests - in december 2013 senator John McCain came to Kiev, he gave an inspiring speech in front of protestors. What American senator forgot in another country, thousands of kilometers from his homeland, giving an inspiring speech to protesters who want to overthrow the government and take power? Later, in january 2014 the head of American State Department, Victoria Nuland, came to Ukraine, she talked with Ukrainian politicians in charge of protests, also gave an inspiring speech to people, and gave famous cookies to protestors. And again a question rises - what American senator and head of state department were doing in Kiev during revolution? Just imagine a situation, that during a January 6th 2021 protests in USA, Russian foreign minister Lavrov comes to Washington, talks with Trump, gives a speech to protestors, gives them cookies, and later protestors storm Capitoli, Senate and White House and overthrow Biden. This is what happened in Ukraine.
Also fun fact - America spent 5 billion dollars on propaganda and mass media in Ukraine in period of 1991-2013. This money were spent to bribe Ukrainian politicians and Television to form a positive view of West among Ukrainian people. 5 billion dollars. So, by 2013, 37% of Ukrainian population supported idea of joining European Union, while 32% supported Russia and others didn't cared. In reality European Union doesn't want Ukraine to be part of it. Ukraine is very corrupted, oligarch-ruled poor post-Soviet country with little difference from Russia. And such corrupted and poor country have ZERO chances to become part of European Union. In reality, Ukrainian oligarch wanted Yanulovich to be gone for a different reason - Yanukovich was re-distributing oligarch property and assets to his family, and oligarchs were of course unhappy with that, so when deal with European Union failed, oligarchs just used this for excuse, while in reality becoming part of European Union was never real for Ukraine and it was NOT a reason for protests. The only thing that changed after coup in 2014 is that oligarchs re-distributed property back from Yanulovich's mafia, while Ukrainian population got nothing from promised - European Union REJECTED proposal to join, while cutting economic ties with Russia was a disaster for Ukrainian economy because trade with Russia was larger than with EU.
But, let's return to original topic. Ukrainian oligarchs paid money for 24/7 toilets, 24/7 food, Molotov coktails, weapons and even military helmets to protestors, and one of Ukraine's oligarchs, Poroshenko, who became a president 2 months later, proudly was saying that he paid for all this. Ukrainian oligarchs and some American money have paid for 24/7 food and toilets with heating during winter, weapons and military helmets for protestors in Kiev. Later the first blood appeared, when Ukrainian policemen, who were used to brutally supress Crimea's Tatar and Russian protests for indepdendence from Ukraine (1994-2013), brutally supressed and killed now Ukrainians themselves in Kiev. Yes, that's right, Ukrainian policemen who killed people in Kiev, this exact special police unit, were the same Ukrainian policemen who were brutally supressing Russian and Tatar protests in Crimea that occured in Crimea 1994-2013. Also Ukrainian oligarchs paid money to naz%s, because in post Soviet countries naz%s are very healthy strong men with this romantic revolutionary ideas, who want a fight, and during this protests Ukrainian oligarchs paid money to naz%s, so naz% squads were also fighting police. Later protestors just started to kill policemen with molotov coktails, captured state buildings and president flee from Ukraine to only country he can flee - Russia. After this Russian troops came to Crimea and Russia's FSB came to Donbass to organize the crowd of tens of thousands of pro-Russian protestors. And these people from Donbass, under FSB leadership, later were fighting against Ukrainian army who came to them with bad intentions, and 20 thousand of volunteers from local population were fighting for 5 months before the first ever Russian soldier crossed the border in september 2014. Pro-Russian separatists in the Donbass were fighting without Russian support for 5 months, before first ever Russian soldier appeared. This is a proof that these coups in the Donbass were the people's will, like coup in Kiev. Our philosophy is built on rejecting hypocrisy - if pro-Western Ukrainians in Kiev had a right of self-determination, then Russians in Crimea and pro-Russian population in the Donbass also had such a right of self-determination. We will divide Ukraine into spheres of influence together with West, like East and West Germany. Russia tried to secure its sphere of influence from foreign great powers. Yes, originally we wanted to take Kiev and set puppet regime. We failed. Now the only logical thing that Zelensky must do for his people is make a peace deal to prevent further useless deaths. Ukraine will be divided between Europe and Russia anyways, there is no need of further continuation of war, we in Russia were surprised by your resistance, you held well, now, let's end this. What Ukraine did in last days - violated an energy ceasefire. Europe rejected our proposal of ceasefire and grain deal in Black Sea. Why are you doing that? You want the Russian army to take more of your territory? Trump gave Zelensky a chance to end the war at best possible conditions and Zelensky decided to violate ceasefire striking Russian energy infrastructure and Europe rejected lifting sanctions from Russian grain, making ceasefire in the Black Sea impossible, while Zelensky sees EU as Ukraine's new masters.
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